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International Trade
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Balance of Payments Accounts – payments both enter and exit the U.S.
Current Account – no long term liabilities are created Balance of Payments on Goods and Services a. Exports – imports Factor Income Payments for the use of factors of production (land, labor, capital, entrepreneurial ability) International Transfers Money sent by immigrants to their families in other countries
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Balance of Payments Accounts
Current Account – no long term liabilities are created Financial Account – buying and selling of assets that create future liabilities Current Account + Financial Account = 0 1. In the U.S. the current account is usually negative – we import more than we export 2. This puts dollars in foreign hands 3. Those $ used to buy assets in the U.S. – making financial account positive.
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Are the following activities part of the current account or the financial account?
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Harley-Davidson USA purchases $25 million in production machinery from a Japanese company.
Current account
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Mike Johnson, U.S. entrepreneur, invests $50 million to develop a theme park in Malaysia
Financial account
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A Chinese company sells $1 million worth of berets to the U.S. Army.
Current account
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Each month, Ima Grent, who recently arrive in the U. S
Each month, Ima Grent, who recently arrive in the U.S., sends half her paycheck to her sister in Poland. Current account
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A Brazilian investor buys five $10,000 U.S. Treasury bonds.
Financial account
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Review of Current Accounts.
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How much is the merchandise trade balance? $200 – 80 = $120
Payments from foreigners Payments to foreigners Sales of assets to foreigners Purchase of assets from foreigners Goods $200 $80 - Services 50 20 Factor Income 70 10 Transfer Payments Official Sales and purchases 100 300 Private sales and purchases -- 80 How much is the merchandise trade balance? $200 – 80 = $120 How much is the balance of payments on goods and services? ($ ) – ( ) = $150 How much is the Net International factor income? 70 – 10 = 60
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How much are Net international transfer payments? 10 – 20 = -10
Payments from foreigners Payments to foreigners Sales of assets to foreigners Purchase of assets from foreigners Goods $200 $80 - Services 50 20 Factor Income 70 10 Transfer Payments Official Sales and purchases 100 300 Private sales and purchases -- 80 How much are Net international transfer payments? 10 – 20 = -10 What is the balance of payments on current accounts? (200 – 80) + (50 – 20) + (70 – 10) + (10 – 20) = 200 What is the balance of payments on financial accounts? (100 – 300) + (80 – 80) = -200
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Foreign Exchange Market
A. Goods and services produced in a country must be paid for in that country’s currency B. Exchange rates 1. price set by supply and demand in the global economic market 2. the price of domestic currency is expressed in terms of another currency a. $1 domestic currency = X foreign currency
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Cost of foreign currency in U.S. dollars 1 foreign currency = $X
Cost of U.S. dollar in foreign currency 1 dollar = X foreign currency May August Mexican Peso 0.1101 0.1502 9.083 6.6558 British Pound 1.4 1.8 0.71 0.56 Canadian Dollar 0.64 0.63 1.5625 1.5873 European Euro 0.87 0.91 1.149 1.099 Swedish Krona 0.094 0.093 10.638 10.753 Japanese Yen 0.0083 0.0090 May August Dinner costs 500 Mexican Pesos Hotel room costs 30,000 Yen BMW costs 85,000 euros in Germany Swedish meatballs cost 30 kronor Pants cost 72 pounds in London Jacket costs 1,800 Canadian dollars $55.05 $75.10 $249.00 $270.00 $73,977.37 $77,343.04 $2.82 $2.79 $101.41 $128.57 $ $
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C. Graph 1. X axis – dollars demanded at a given rate
2. y axis – exchange rate 3. The supply of U.S. dollars is determined by U.S. demand for foreign goods, services, and investments. 4. The demand for U.S. dollars is determined by foreign demand for U.S. goods, services, and investments. Euros_ Dollars Other currency Currency you are analyzing
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D. Appreciate 1. a country’s currency is more valuable in terms of other currencies 2. Demand for the currency goes up 3. Supply of the currency goes down 4. an increase in the exchange rate 5. When a dollar appreciates you get more foreign currency for your $ 6. exports decrease, imports increase
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E. Depreciate 1. a country’s currency is LESS valuable in terms of other currencies 2. Demand for the currency goes down 3. Supply of the currency goes up 4. a decrease in the exchange rate 5. When a dollar depreciates you get less foreign currency for your $ 6. exports increase, imports decrease
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Did the dollar appreciate or depreciate?
May August Dinner costs 500 Mexican Pesos $55.05 $75.10 Hotel room costs 30,000 Yen $249.00 $270.00 BMW costs 85,000 euros in Germany $73,977.37 $77,343.04 Swedish meatballs cost 30 kronor $2.82 $2.79 Pants cost 72 pounds in London $101.41 $128.57 Jacket costs 1,800 Canadian dollars $ $ depreciated depreciated depreciated appreciated depreciated appreciated
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Usually when working exchange problems you will have two supply/demand graphs side by side.
Demand and supply for U.S. dollars Demand and supply for Euros Euros_ Dollars Dollars Euros S S er er D D Q Quantity U.S. Dollars Q Quantity Euros Currency you are analyzing goes here
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Economic Conditions and policies affect exchange rates and shift the curves
1. Interest Rates a. High interest rates attract foreign investors b. Increase demand for domestic currency 2. Income a. as income increases so does consumption of both foreign and domestic goods b. Increase demand for currency 3. Price Level a. A country that experiences inflation will also have a depreciated currency b. They will export fewer goods- lower demand for their currency 4. Taste
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The price of U.S. goods rise relative to the prices of German goods – U.S. goods become more expensive while German goods become cheaper. Americans will demand the less expensive German goods. To buy German goods, they need euros, the demand for euros increases Demand and supply for U.S. dollars Demand and supply for Euros Euros_ Dollars Dollars Euros S S er er D D Q Quantity U.S. Dollars Q Quantity Euros
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To buy euros, the Americans will supply U.S. dollars
The price of U.S. goods rise relative to the prices of German goods – U.S. goods become more expensive while German goods become cheaper. Americans will demand the less expensive German goods. To buy German goods, they need euros, the demand for euros increases To buy euros, the Americans will supply U.S. dollars Demand and supply for U.S. dollars Demand and supply for Euros Euros_ Dollars Dollars Euros S S er1 er er D1 D D Q Quantity U.S. Dollars Q Q1 Quantity Euros
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To buy euros, the Americans will supply U.S. dollars
The price of U.S. goods rise relative to the prices of German goods – U.S. goods become more expensive while German goods become cheaper. Americans will demand the less expensive German goods. To buy German goods, they need euros, the demand for euros increases To buy euros, the Americans will supply U.S. dollars Demand and supply for U.S. dollars Demand and supply for Euros Euros_ Dollars Dollars Euros S S S1 er1 er er er1 D1 D D Q Q1 Quantity U.S. Dollars Q Q1 Quantity Euros
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U.S. Dollar depreciates Euro appreciates
The exchange rate decrease; that is, the number of euros it takes to buy a U.S. dollar decreases The exchange rate increases, that is, the number of U.S. dollars to takes to buy a euro increases Euros_ Dollars Dollars Euros S S S1 er1 er er er1 D1 D D Q Q1 Quantity U.S. Dollars Q Q1 Quantity Euros
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French Tourists flock to Mexico’s beaches
French demand Pesos to pay for their Mexican vacations. French supply Euros to buy the Pesos they need. Demand and supply for Pesos Demand and supply for Euros Euros_ Peso Pesos_ Euros S S er er D D Q Quantity Mexican Pesos Q Quantity Euros
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French Tourists flock to Mexico’s beaches
French demand Pesos to pay for their Mexican vacations. French supply Euros to buy the Pesos they need. Demand and supply for Pesos Demand and supply for Euros Euros_ Peso Pesos_ Euros S S er1 S1 er er D1 er1 D D Q Q1 Quantity Mexican Pesos Q Q1 Quantity Euros Appreciate or Depreciate Appreciate or Depreciate
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French Tourists flock to Mexico’s beaches
Demand and supply for Pesos Demand and supply for Euros Euros_ Peso Pesos_ Euros S S er1 S1 er er D1 er1 D D Q Q1 Quantity Mexican Pesos Q Q1 Quantity Euros Appreciate Depreciate
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U.S. Children Want Videos Produced in Japan
Americans demand Yen to pay for their videos. Americans supply dollars to buy their Yen. Demand and supply for U.S. Dollars Demand and supply for Yen yen__ dollars dollars yen S S er er D D Q Quantity Dollars Q Quantity Yen
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U.S. Children Want Videos Produced in Japan
Demand and supply for U.S. Dollars Demand and supply for Yen yen__ dollars dollars yen S S S1 er1 er er er1 D1 D D Q Q1 Quantity Dollars Q Q1 Quantity Yen Appreciate or Depreciate Appreciate or Depreciate
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U.S. Children Want Videos Produced in Japan
Americans demand Yen to pay for their videos. Americans supply dollars to buy their Yen. Demand and supply for U.S. Dollars Demand and supply for Yen yen__ dollars dollars yen S S S1 er1 er er er1 D1 D D Q Q1 Quantity Dollars Q Q1 Quantity Yen Depreciate Appreciate
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Japan’s Real GDP Increases
As income in Japan increases, the Japanese purchase more domestic and U.S. goods. Demand for U.S. goods increases, the demand for the U.S. dollar increases, and the number of Japanese yen it takes to purchase a U.S. dollar increases. Demand and supply for U.S. Dollars Demand and supply for Yen yen__ dollars dollars yen S S er er D D Q Quantity Dollars Q Quantity Yen
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Japan’s Real GDP Increases
As income in Japan increases, the Japanese purchase more domestic and U.S. goods. Demand for U.S. goods increases, the demand for the U.S. dollar increases, and the number of Japanese yen it takes to purchase a U.S. dollar increases. Demand and supply for U.S. Dollars Demand and supply for Yen yen__ dollars dollars yen S S er1 S1 er er D1 er1 D D Q Q1 Quantity Dollars Q Q1 Quantity Yen Appreciate Depreciate
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Real Interest Rates in the U.S. increase Relative to Great Britain
The increase in U.S. real interest rates makes investing in the U.S. more attractive to investors in Great Britain. Thus, the demand for the U.S. dollar increases. The supply of the pound increases Demand and supply for U.S. Dollars Demand and supply for British Pound Pound dollars dollars Pound S S er er D D Q Quantity Dollars Q Quantity Pound
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Appreciate Depreciate
Real Interest Rates in the U.S. increase Relative to Great Britain The increase in U.S. real interest rates makes investing in the U.S. more attractive to investors in Great Britain. Thus, the demand for the U.S. dollar increases. The supply of the pound increases Demand and supply for U.S. Dollars Demand and supply for British Pound Pound dollars dollars Pound S S er1 S1 er er D1 er1 D D Q Q1 Quantity Dollars Q Q1 Quantity Pound Appreciate Depreciate
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Europe Experiences a Recession
Demand for U.S. goods decreases and the U.S. dollar decreases as income falls across Europe Demand and supply for U.S. Dollars Demand and supply for Euros Euros dollars dollars Pound S S er er D D Q Quantity Dollars Q Quantity Euros
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Depreciate Appreciate Europe Experiences a Recession
Demand for U.S. goods decreases and the U.S. dollar decreases as income falls across Europe Demand and supply for U.S. Dollars Demand and supply for Euros Euros_ dollars S1 dollars Euro S S er1 er er er1 D D1 D Q1 Q Quantity Dollars Q1 Q Quantity Euros Depreciate Appreciate
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The Price Level in Canada Increases Relative to the United States
Canadians would want to buy more U.S. goods and thus demand more dollars. That means that Canadians would want to supply more Canadian dollars to do so Demand and supply for U.S. Dollars Demand and supply for Canadian $ Canadian $ dollars __dollars__ Canadian $ S S er er D D Q Quantity Dollars Q Quantity Canadian $
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Appreciate Depreciate
The Price Level in Canada Increases Relative to the United States Canadians would want to buy more U.S. goods and thus demand more dollars. That means that Canadians would want to supply more Canadian dollars to do so Demand and supply for U.S. Dollars Demand and supply for Canadian $ Canadian $_ dollars _dollars__ Canadian $ S S er1 S1 er er D1 er1 D D Q Q1 Quantity Canadian $ Quantity Dollars Q Q1 Appreciate Depreciate
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Final Review
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