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Samantha King, Jill Jones MD, Russ Waitman PhD

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1 Outcomes for patients undergoing TIPS insertion at KUMC since 01-JAN-2010
Samantha King, Jill Jones MD, Russ Waitman PhD PRVM 868 Biomedical Informatics Driven Clinical Research Final Presentation Thursday, December 1st, 2016

2 What is TIPS? Transjugular intrahepatic portosystemic shunt
Used in patients with severe portal hypertension (usually from advanced liver disease) Indications: refractory ascites or bleeding esophageal varices Creates an artificial shunt from the portal vein to the hepatic vein, allowing blood to bypass the fibrotic liver. This relieves pressure downstream.

3 Research Interest Masters thesis project: ultrasound elastography measurement of splenic stiffness before and after TIPS insertion Hypothesis: there will be a significant decrease in splenic stiffness after TIPS Long-term goal: validate splenic elastography as an accurate tool to monitor shunt function in TIPS patients In doing background research for this project, I found a wide array of dysfunction rates in literature I found data on in-hospital mortality, but could not find data on overall mortality I could not find much data on TIPS in transplant patients

4 Background Benito et al. in 2004: “The reported cumulative rate of dysfunction ranges between…” (pooled data from several studies) Benito A, Bilbao J, Hernández T, Martinez-Cuesta A, Larrache J, González I, Vivas I. Doppler ultrasound for TIPS: does it work? Abdom Imaging Jan-Feb;29(1): PubMed PMID: TIME FRAME DYSFUNCTION RATE In the first six months 17-73% In the first year 23-87% In the first two years 80-83%

5 Study Design: Heron query
Cohort: all patients undergoing TIPS insertion since 01-JAN-2010 “Shopping cart” of data including CPT codes (TIPS insertion, TIPS revision, transplant) Diagnosis codes Vital status/death date Resulting query: 322 patients

6 Aims Aim #1: Characterize the population of patients undergoing TIPS insertion at KU. Aim #2: Quantify prognosis for TIPS patients in terms of: Need for TIPS revision Undergoing liver transplantation Mortality Aim #3: Determine how the prognosis differs based on etiology of liver disease

7 Aim #1 Characterize the population of patients undergoing TIPS insertion at KU.

8 Aim #1: Characterize the population: sex
FEMALE MALE

9 Aim #1: Characterize the population: race
WHITE

10 Aim #1: Characterize the population: age

11 Aim #1: Characterize the population: vital status
LIVING

12 Aim #2 Quantify prognosis for TIPS patients in terms of:
Need for TIPS revision Undergoing liver transplantation Mortality

13 Aim #2: Quantify prognosis
Time zero = initial TIPS insertion 6 MONTHS 1 YEAR 2 YEARS REVISION? TRANSPLANT? DEATH? REVISION? TRANSPLANT? DEATH? REVISION? TRANSPLANT? DEATH?

14 Aim #2: Quantify prognosis
Initial cohort: 322 patients Endpoints: TIPS revision Liver Transplant Death Exclusions: 11 patients with “Deceased (death date unknown)” were excluded. 13 patients with negative value for “Time to transplant” or “Time to revision” were excluded. Excluded: 11 patients “Deceased (death date unknown)” Excluded: 2 patients time_to_revision < 0 Excluded: 11 patients time_to_transplant < 0 Final analysis cohort: 298 patients

15 Aim #2: Quantify prognosis: Revisions
How many patients needed at least one revision? 90/298 = 30% What is the average number of revisions per patient? 0.45

16 Aim #2: Quantify prognosis: Revisions
Among those who did undergo shunt revision, what was the average time from insertion to 1st revision? days / = 0.77 years Time zero = initial TIPS insertion Average time to first revision 6 MONTHS 1 YEAR 2 YEARS

17 Aim #2: Quantify prognosis: Transplant
47 (16%) patients had a transplant at some point after TIPS insertion Among those who did undergo transplant, what was the average time from TIPS to transplant? days / = years Time zero = initial TIPS insertion Average time to transplant 6 MONTHS 1 YEAR 2 YEARS

18 Aim #2: Quantify prognosis: Mortality
82 (27.5%) patients died Among those who died, what was the average time from TIPS insertion to death? days / = years Time zero = initial TIPS insertion Average time to death 6 MONTHS 1 YEAR 2 YEARS

19 Dysfunction Benito et al
Aim #2: Quantify prognosis: summary Revision? Transplant? Died? Dysfunction Benito et al By 6 months 17% (51) 7% (21) 15% (46) 17-73% By 1 year 22% (66) 10% (30) 21% (62) 23-87% By 2 years 27% (79) 14% (42) 24% (72) 80-83%

20 Aim #3 Determine how the prognosis differs based on etiology of liver disease.

21 Aim #3: Prognosis by etiology
Most common causes of cirrhosis in the US: Hepatitis C virus infection Alcoholic liver disease Nonalcoholic fatty liver disease Diagnoses I pulled from Heron (ICD9 and ICD10 codes): NASH/NAFLD Alcoholic cirrhosis Hepatitis B Hepatitis C Autoimmune Hepatitis Primary Biliary Cirrhosis Primary Sclerosing Cholangitis

22 Aim #3: Prognosis by etiology
Time zero = initial TIPS insertion 30 DAY WINDOW I pulled diagnosis codes from HERON because I am interested in stratifying prognosis post-TIPS based on underlying etiology of liver disease. Because my goal was to establish the cause of liver disease, I put a temporal qualifier around each diagnosis. I considered the patient as having that diagnosis as the cause if their liver disease if it was present before TIPS insertion, or within 30 days after. DIAGNOSIS = “ETIOLOGY”

23 Aim #3: Prognosis by etiology
How many patients have each of the listed diagnoses? (see right) These do not add up to 322. I was expecting these diagnoses to give me a pretty clear indication of the etiology of each patient’s cirrhosis, but it turns out that quite a few patients don’t have any of the listed diagnoses, and quite a few have more than one.

24 Aim #3: Prognosis by etiology
So how many patients have none of the listed diagnoses? How many have one? More than one? Num_dx is the number of distinct diagnoses that each patient has

25 Aim #3: Prognosis by etiology
Solution for now: analyze alcoholic liver disease vs. “other” “Alcohol” = any patient with a diagnosis of alcoholic cirrhosis (could be their sole dx, or they could have others in addition) →151 patients “Other” = any patient who does not have a diagnosis of alcoholic cirrhosis (could have no listed dx, could have multiple others besides alcohol) →147 patients

26 Aim #3: Prognosis by etiology: Revisions

27 Aim #3: Prognosis by etiology: Transplant

28 Aim #3: Prognosis by etiology: Mortality

29 Future of this project Refine how we set “etiology” of liver disease. Should I have included additional etiologies? Maybe I could stratify by num_dx? How I will use this data “Preliminary studies” in the grant I am working on Thesis defense Student research forum? “Background” section of the manuscript for my masters project?


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