1. Designing Policies for Reducing Vehicle GHG Emissions: A California Perspective
Emily Wimberger
California Air Resources Board
TE3 Conference
October 28, 2016
California Air Resources Board

2. Outline California Climate Strategy
California GHG emissions from transportation
Achieving long-term climate and air quality targets
Considerations and extensions
California Air Resources Board

3. California Air Resources Board

4. California Climate Strategy
California Air Resources Board

5. California Climate Strategy
California Air Resources Board

6. California GHG Emissions
Source:
California Air Resources Board

7. Light-Duty Vehicle GHG Emissions
Light-duty vehicles account for 70% of transportation GHG emissions
Source: Emissions Trends Report
California Air Resources Board

8. Trends in On-Road Light Duty Gasoline Emissions
Source: Emissions Trends Report
California Air Resources Board

9. Policy Drivers for GHG Reductions in the Transportation Sector
Governor Brown’s call to reduce petroleum use in cars and trucks by up to 50 percent by 2030
Mobile Source Strategy
Vehicle technology standards and regulation
Reductions in VMT
Achieve criteria pollutant standards
Sustainable Freight
SB 350 widespread transportation electrification
California Air Resources Board

10. Draft Reference Scenario10
California Air Resources Board

11. Beyond the Reference Case
Known commitments to 2030
SB 350
Mobile Source Strategy
SB 1383 – Short Lived Climate Pollutants
SB 375
Closing the gap
Enhance and extend existing programs
New policies and prescriptive regulations
California Air Resources Board

12. Considerations and Extensions
Impact of transportation policies nested in economy-wide policies
Distributional impacts of transportation policy
Localized health and cross-media impacts
Scope of transportation fuels and vehicles
Regulatory objective function
Feasibility and timing of implementation
California Air Resources Board

13. Specific Considerations
Kellogg
Implementation and flexibility
Distribution of impacts
Regulator’s optimization
Price collar extension
Anderson, Fischer, and Egorenkov
Expansion of fuels
Infrastructure and vehicle costs
California Air Resources Board