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Drought Risk in the Big Picture Brian Wardlow and Nicole Wall

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1 Drought Risk in the Big Picture Brian Wardlow and Nicole Wall
National Drought Mitigation Center School of Natural Resources University of Nebraska-Lincoln Photo: Cimarron County, Oklahoma Gary McManus, Oklahoma Climatological Survey, late June, 2008

2 What state do you live in currently?
Washington Idaho Oregon Montana Nebraska Other

3 What group of users do you represent?
Agricultural producer (rancher or farmer) Government agency representative Private business Other

4 When you look to the future, what issue provides the greatest threat to agricultural producers in the Northwest? Drought Climate Change Water Resources Food Economy Other

5 Mayor Campbell, Edina, MO, May 1989
“There’s nothing more frightening than being without water.” Mayor Campbell, Edina, MO, May 1989

6 The Cycle of Disaster Management

7 National Drought Mitigation Center
Founded: at the University of Nebraska-Lincoln Mission: To lessen societal vulnerability to drought by promoting planning and the adoption of appropriate risk management techniques.

8 NDMC Organizational Structure
Mike Hayes Specialists: Climatology Water resources Hydrology Specialists: Ag. Economics Human Dimensions of Drought (socioeconomic) Drought Planning & Mitigation Strategies Specialists: Remote Sensing GIS

9 * * * * * * * RMA supported projects developing
drought tools for agricultural producers.

10 Drought is: A rare event? A normal feature of climate?

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12 Lessons Learned Drought is not just a physical event
Vulnerability plays a major role Vulnerability is dependent upon society Vulnerability is dynamic

13 Lessons Learned Drought is not just a physical event
“Wait and see” is a natural reaction Can suppress timely responses Need a plan in place…with triggers/thresholds

14 Lessons Learned Drought is not just a physical event
“Wait and see” is a natural reaction Communication is critical Overcome fears Essential for public support and buy-in

15 Lessons Learned Drought is not just a physical event
“Wait and see” is a natural reaction Communication is critical Planning ahead is a good investment of resources

16 Drought Planning Progress
Federal level State level American Indian Tribes Local level Municipalities River Basins Counties Producers

17 Does your state have a drought plan?
Yes No Don’t Know

18 1982 Status of State Drought Planning States with plans
States without drought plans

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20 How about you? Do you have a drought plan written down?
Yes No

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26 Workshops on Drought Management Tools
Provide producers and advisors with tools to better understand the linkages between local climate and agricultural production Obtain feedback on what information or tools are needed to better understand these linkages Multiple feedback approaches


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