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Cotton Economic Update
Beltwide Cotton Conferences January 8-11, 2008 Nashville, TN
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Cotton Prices
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Cotton Production (Mil Bales)
02-06 2007 Share World 109.1 118.8 1. China 28.2 35.5 30% 2. India 16.9 24.0 20% 3. US 20.8 19.0 16% 4. Pakistan 9.4 8.5 7% 5. Brazil 5.5 7.0 6%
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Thousand Acres & % Change from 2006
US Cotton 2007 Planted Area Thousand Acres & % Change from 2006 Mid-South 2,740 -35% West 693 -15% Southwest 5,150 -25% Southeast 2,264 -32%
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Relative Futures Prices at Planting Time
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Change in ’07 Cotton Area
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Cotton Mill Use (Mil Bales)
02-06 2007 Share World 108.9 128.3 1. China 39.1 55.0 43% 2. India 15.3 19.3 15% 3. Pakistan 10.7 12.0 9% 4. Turkey 6.7 7.2 6% 5. US 6.2 4.6 4%
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Annual Change in World Mill Use
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Price Indices
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China Mill Use & Imports
* Crop Year estimated based on PCI Fibres data
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China’s Prices Above A Index
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India Emerging as Exporter
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Indian Cotton Priced Below Other Growths
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US Mill Use & Retail Demand
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US Exports
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Cotton Farm Price
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Relative Futures Prices for ’08 Strong Competition for Acres
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World Cotton S&D Production Expected to Fall Short of Use
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Cotton Futures
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Producers Cooperatives Merchants Ginners Cottonseed Warehouses Manufacturers
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