1. Factors affecting poor health status
Mehtab Karim
Panel Discussion at SDPI
December 4, 2017

2. Leete and Jones in the early 1990s, took quite a pessimistic view of prospects for South Asia:
Coupled with high population growth rate, “endemic poverty, social conservatism, the low status of women, and ethnic and religious conflicts constrain government policies, severely reducing the possibility of sustained economic growth

3. Overall Adult Literacy Rate (% 15+) 33 76 43 79 30 69
However, during the past 25 years major improvements have occurred in all the indicators, at a much faster rate in Bangladesh and India, but at a slower rate in Pakistan.
Indicator
Bangladesh
India
Pakistan
1990
2016
GNP Per Capita (US $)
180
1,359
340
1,709
370
1,468
Overall Adult Literacy Rate (% 15+) 33 76 43 79 30 69
Female Adult Literacy Rate (% 15+) 22 70 29 60 19 44
Births attended by skilled personnel (%) 13 42 39 81 24 55
Infant Mortality Rate (per 1000 live births)
106 28 95 35 68
Expectation of Life at Birth (years) 51 72 59 67
Av. Population Growth Rate (past 10 years)
2.6
1.1
2.1
1.2
3.0
Total Fertility Rate (per woman)
4.9
4.1
2.3
6.6
3.9
Women in reproductive ages using contraceptives (%) 32 64 40 66 12
Human Development Index
.186
.579
.308
.624
.311
.550
Sources: UNDP: Human Development Report and World Bank: World Development Report

4. SDGs affected by rapid population growth
Goal 1. End poverty in all its forms everywhere
Goal 2. End hunger, achieve food security and improved nutrition
Goal 3. Ensure healthy lives and promote well-being for all at all ages
Goal 4. Ensure inclusive and equitable quality education…
Goal 5. Achieve gender equality and empower all women and girls…
Goal 6. Ensure availability and sustainable management of water and sanitation
for all…
Goal 7. Ensure access to affordable, reliable, sustainable, and modern energy
for all
Goal 8. Promote sustained, inclusive and sustainable economic growth, full and
productive employment and decent work for all
Goal 9. Build resilient infrastructure, promote inclusive and sustainable
industrialization…
Goal 10. Reduce inequality within and among countries
Goal 11. Make cities and human settlements inclusive, safe…
Goal 12. Ensure sustainable consumption and production patterns

5. Population of Pakistan and Bangladesh (million): 1950-2040

6. Population Growth in Provinces of Pakistan as reported in Censuses conducted in 1951 to 2017

7. Annual Population Growth Rates