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Published bySkye Mansell Modified over 10 years ago
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Returns to Style using Style Researchs Markets Analyzer Asia x Japan x China A End March 2011
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International Experience Style Investing works Value and Small Cap works long term Best Value Markets – China, Japan and Korea Most markets have small cap premium High beta stocks do not generally perform well
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Overview Value works long term – like in other markets – Sales to Price best over 10 years – 4.1% pa XS return Small cap performs better than large cap – Like other markets High Beta does not work – like other markets Nothing works consistently – Top 10 inconsistent over different time periods
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Approach Use Style Researchs Market Analyzer Benchmark = market – All stocks with market cap of USD 100 million Analysis after country & sector adjustment – Factor screen within countries and sectors – Eliminates country and sector bias Rebalanced every 6 months – Repriced every month – Includes dividends
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Value
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Book to Price
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Dividend Yield
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Earnings Yield
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Cashflow Yield
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Sales to Price
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EBITDA to Price
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Growth
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Return on Equity
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Growth in Earnings per Share
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Income to Sales
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Sales Growth
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Forecast Earnings
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Forecast Earnings Revisions
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Other
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Market Cap
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Beta
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Price Momentum – 6 months
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Price Momentum – 12 months
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Quality
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Low Accrual
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Debt to Equity
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Stability of Earnings Growth
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Sustainable Growth Rate
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Stability of Sales Growth
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Stability of Forecast Earnings
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Returns to Style – last 10 years Value and Quality works! SA, annualised
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10 year XS returns
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Weight: Market Cap, Rebal 6 mths Xs Return 4.1% pa T/over 35% pa
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Weight: Market Cap, Rebal 3 mths Xs Return 4.4% pa T/over 52% pa
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Weight: Earnings, Rebal 6 mths Xs Return 8.7% pa T/over 74% pa
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Comparison
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XS Monthly Return
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XS 3 Monthly Return
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Sales to Price XS Return 12 month Forecast
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overview Value works long term – like in other markets – Sales to Price best over 10 years Small cap works better than large cap – Like other markets High Beta does not work – like other markets Nothing works consistently – Top 10 inconsistent over different time periods – Rebalance and weighting schemes make a difference
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