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Liver only transplants in the UK Question 2: In terms of survival benefit.

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Presentation on theme: "Liver only transplants in the UK Question 2: In terms of survival benefit."— Presentation transcript:

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3 Liver only transplants in the UK

4 Question 2: In terms of survival benefit

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6 2915 (81%) deceased donor after brain death (DBD) liver transplants
Data from UK Transplant Registry (UKTR) Transplant survival: composite outcome of graft and patient survival Conditional analysis on patients surviving at 30 and 90 days 3575 first elective adult NHS group 1 orthotopic liver only txs from deceased donor 2915 (81%) deceased donor after brain death (DBD) liver transplants 660 (19%) donor after circulatory death (DCD) liver transplants 1 January 2006 to 31 December 2013 Three end points post-transplant considered separately 30 days, 1 and 5 years Univariate transplant survival estimates obtained using Kaplan-Meier estimation method survival compared using log-rank test Multivariate Cox regression analysis performed to identify factors associated with transplant survival time from liver transplant to earlier of graft failure or patient death (deaths with a functioning graft included as events)

7 Note: ABO match, time to transplant and donor BMI influential at 30 days but not later on. Donor age influential in the long term

8 DBD survival ~ 80% at 5 years DCD survival ~ 70% at 5 years
Waiting list survival ~ 40% at 5 years Left panel: Survival post transplant. Events: graft failure or patient death, the earliest of the two Cohort: 3575 first elective adult NHS group 1 orthotopic liver only txs from deceased donor 2915 (81%) deceased donor after brain death (DBD) liver transplants 660 (19%) donor after circulatory death (DCD) liver transplants 1 January 2006 to 31 December 2013 Right panel: Survival post registration. Events: patient death 5071 first, adult, elective liver only registrations in the UK

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10 Size: +- 20 kg in donor-recipient match
Blood group compatibility: O donor can go to any recipient; A donor can only go to groups A or AB; B donor can only go to group B or AB; AB donor can only go to group AB.

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12 Emphasise that this is a different cohort than before
Emphasise that this is a different cohort than before. These are registrations whereas, previously, looking at transplants

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14 Benefit conclusion: It is possible that the HR under- or over-estimates the effect of DCD liver tx for certain patient subgroups

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