1. Mission Canyon Fire Prevention
Eli Kersh-Oliva
Delwin Leung
Viviane Vincent
Peter Thermos
Tyler Eck

2. Mission Canyon

3. Data Sources Santa Barbara County Fire Captain David Neels
Dr. Dar Roberts
Dr. Ray Smith

4. Original Objective of Project
To create a potential fire hazard map using a combination of variables in a predictive model.
Vegetation, Slope, Streets and Houses would be used to determine areas of high risk.
The final map would provide the fire department with a tool to identify areas that needed greater attention.
To provide the MCPA with visual aids to create general public awareness.

5. Original Methods of Project
Mapping of the Mission Canyon through the use of:
Overlays
Buffer
Proximity
Euclidian Distance
Resample
Reclassify
Multicriteria Decision Making (AHP)
Raster Calculator

6. Data Layers & Maps

9. DEM

10. Slope

12. Roads Layer

13. Euclidian Distance Layer

15. What Went Right
Excellent advice from faculty and County Fire included: Dr. Ray Smith, David Neels and Dar Roberts.
Once we had the data layers, our group was able to work with the data effectively.
Highly motivated group members and great group chemistry throughout the project.

16. What Went Wrong
Coordinating data between agencies was very difficult. We encountered many problems during this process.
Accuracy of data was a major issue, especially with the vegetation layer.
30 meter resolution was the best that we could possible use and create.

17. What Else Went Wrong
“It’s a good idea to use AHP, though software access will have to be worked out.”
-Dr. Goodchild

18. AHP 1 Original template that we worked with.
Structure Distance to Vegetation
Structure Distance to Road
Slope
Vegetation type 1
Vegetation Type
Original template that we worked with.

19. Structure further than 300 feet from roadway
AHP
Fuel Risk
Structure further than 300 feet from roadway
Slope 1 8
1/7
1/8
1/6 7 6
David Neels’ estimate: AHP Matrix

20. AHP Final weights that were used: x=[1,8,.14286;.125,1,.16667;7,6,1]
0.2180
0.0574
0.7247

21. Hazardous Area Map

22. Key Lessons Coordination with agencies and faculty.
Simplifying the methods.
Using real-world situation to create useful and informative maps for public and private use.

23. Recommendations
Fire risk needs to become the central issue of all future development and planning of Mission Canyon.
Identifying extremely high fire danger that would be potential candidates of brush clearance.
Greater public awareness for residents.