1. CAFE SG 23 November Brussels
Draft recommendation on guidance for developing and reporting national programmes under the NECD
On behalf of WG Implementation
Andreas Barkman
European Environment Agency
To highlight the general need to look into the link between the EU ETS and the annual GHG inventory
Highlight some potential issues which may impact future inventory reviews, base year emissions and assigned amounts
To provide a background presentation to a tour-de-table on how Members States view the link between the EU ETS and the GHG inventory

2. Objectives of this presentation
Present content of first draft recommendations from the Working group on implementation on: Guidance for developing and reporting National Programmes under NECD
Focus on what would be reported to the Commission
The Working group on implementation has build their work on a proposal for guidelines that had been drafted beforehand by ENTEC (ENTEC 2005) in the framework of a consultancy study for DG Environment

3. Background - general 2006 is an important year: NEC revision
Modelling and consultations for the NEC revision finalized. Proposed revised NEC tabled
Kyoto implementation
New projections and underlying assumptions available during under National Allocation Plans under the EU ETS
Assigned amounts defined
…..Path towards Kyoto for most MS more or less defined

4. Background - National Programmes
Reporting on National Programmes in 2002/3 proved to be:
Not timely
Not complete
Not consistent
Not comparable
…..generally poor…
Possible reasons include:
First reporting
Not enough guidance to MS in NEC directive

5. It it therefore clear that…
Official reporting by MS of national programmes and projections end of 2006 will be important to better understand MS views on their prospects to reach their NEC ceilings. Particularly given potentially new information emerging second half of 2006
Better guidance on national programmes will be be needed

6. Guidance will bring a number of benefits:
National Programmes that fully comply with the requirements of the NECD
Greater harmonisation of reporting requirements
Reducing the administrative burden
Facilitating consistency, comparability etc.
Facilitating mutual learning
Higher quality projections enabling identification of any required additional policies and measures

7. Overall guidance structure
General guidance of how to develop national programme
Guidance of what and how to reporting to the Commission

8. General outline of national programmes reported by Member States (MS) to the Commission
Executive Summary
Political and administrative procedure of adoption of national programme
Policies and measures
Emission inventories and projections
Geographical distribution of emissions
Evaluation and monitoring of the national programme

9. Executive Summary Shall be included
Shall highlight whether NEC ceilings will be met?
Shall be no more than maximum 10 pages
Courtesy translation in English is strongly recommended

10. MS shall report on political and administrative procedure of adoption of national programme and shall include:
Basic description of the procedure for preparation and adoption;
Regulatory status of the national programme;
Authorities that have been involved in the development of the programme;
Consultation(s) that undertaken with stakeholders;
Co-ordination with other national plans, programmes and reporting requirements (GHG MM, LRTAP, LCP etc)

11. Policies and measures (PAMs)
MS shall review and list important NEC and non NEC specific PAMs for each main aggregate sector.
PAMs should be presented by relevant aggregated sectors similar to reporting under the GHG MM: The following sectors should be considered:
Energy sector (without transport)
Transport
Industrial processes
Solvent and other product use
Agriculture
Waste

12. MS shall report information about PAMs:
Name and brief description of policy or measure;
Objective of the policy or measure.
Which NECD pollutant(s) affected;
Type of policy instrument;
Status of implementation of the policy or measure
Responsible bodies for implementing the policy or measure
Aggregated quantitative estimate of the impact of PAMs on emissions of each NECD pollutant in 2010.
The impacts of this measure on greenhouse gas emissions
Common format shall be used in tabular form

13. Emission inventories and projections - general
MS shall report historic emissions and projections
Reporting of emissions data shall be in a common spreadsheet format
A methodology section shall be included in main report describing methods, assumptions data sources used. Thorough description of QA/QC procedures and uncertainties based on EMEP/CORINAIR Guidebook and IPPC guidance

14. Emission inventories and projections
MS shall use full NFR format for reporting including relevant memo items
MS should report emissions data from 1980 onwards if available
MS shall at minimum report data from latest year available and the data for the base year for projections
MS shall ensure time series are consistent and back-calculated in line with UNECE guidelines

15. Emission inventories and projections
MS shall report projections for 2010 for all NECD pollutants
Reporting should be made on aggregated source sectors similar to reporting under the GHG MM and reported policies and measures
MS shall include a ‘With measures projections’ (cf. GHG MM)
MS shall report an ‘With additional measures’ projection (cf. GHG MM) if the NECD ceiling is projected to be exceed or within 10% of ceiling
MS shall ensure that PAMS underpinning projections shall be consistent with PAMs reported separately for main source sectors

16. Emission inventories and projections
MS shall report documented activity data and key socio-economic assumptions and model parameters underpinning projections
MS shall ensure transparency and consistency by building on the GHG MM reporting requirements - on mandatory and recommended parameters
Differences in key assumptions between what is reported under NECD and GHG MM should be explained as far as possible
…but timing issues 31/ vs. 15/3 2007

17. Emission inventories and projections
Member States are encouraged to report on sensitivities in their projections: high, medium, low scenarios

18. Example of projections with existing and additional measure
NECD
target

19. Geographical distribution of emissions
Article 6(2) of the NECD requires Member States to indicate in their national programmes if any significant changes in the geographical distribution of emissions are anticipated in If no changes are anticipated then this should be specified in the national programme.

20. Evaluation and monitoring of the national programme
MS are recommended to include a list of the indicators used for monitoring the progress of the programme.
The list should indicate for each indicator to which part of the programme. For each indicator, the initial value and an indication of the envisaged development over time in the years up to 2010 could be included in the report.
The list could be given in tabular form.

21. Thanks for listening!

22. Scope of national programmes
Pollutants: SO2, NOx, VOC & NH3
Timescales: Present to 2010
Sources: All sources excluding international shipping and aviation outside of the LTO cycle
Sectoral Scope: Historic emissions and for 2010 should be reported for the source sector categories set out in the nomenclature for reporting (NFR). Projections to be reported on aggregate source sectors