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Continuous Probability Distributions

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Presentation on theme: "Continuous Probability Distributions"— Presentation transcript:

1 Continuous Probability Distributions
Created by Tom Wegleitner, Centreville, Virginia Edited by Olga Pilipets, San Diego, California

2 for every individual value of x.
Review Requirements for Probability Distribution P(x) = 1 where x assumes all possible values. 0  P(x)  1 for every individual value of x. Page 197 of Essentials of Statistics, 3rd Edition Copyright © 2007 Pearson Education, Inc Publishing as Pearson Addison-Wesley.

3 Graphs The probability histogram is very similar to a relative frequency histogram, but the vertical scale shows probabilities. page 197 of Essentials of Statistics, 3rd Edition Probability Histograms relate nicely to Relative Frequency Histograms of Chapter 2, but the vertical scale shows probabilities instead of relative frequencies based on actual sample results Observe that the probabilities of each random variable is also the same as the AREA of the rectangle representing the random variable. This fact will be important when we need to find probabilities of continuous random variables - Chapter 6. Copyright © 2007 Pearson Education, Inc Publishing as Pearson Addison-Wesley.

4 Standard Normal Distribution
This section presents the standard normal distribution which has three properties: 1. It is bell-shaped. 2. Symmetric about the mean 3. Area under the curve is 1 Figure 6-1 Copyright © 2007 Pearson Education, Inc Publishing as Pearson Addison-Wesley.

5 Standard Normal Distribution
= 0  = 1 ( x- )2 -1 e2 f(x) =  2 p Figure 6-1 Formula 6-1 Copyright © 2007 Pearson Education, Inc Publishing as Pearson Addison-Wesley.

6 Definition The sampling distribution of the mean is the distribution of sample means, with all samples having the same sample size n. all samples are taken from the same population. Copyright © 2007 Pearson Education, Inc Publishing as Pearson Addison-Wesley.

7 Definition The sampling distribution of a proportion is the distribution of sample proportions, with all samples having the same sample size n taken from the same population. Copyright © 2007 Pearson Education, Inc Publishing as Pearson Addison-Wesley.

8 Sampling Distributions
Interpretation of Sampling Distributions We can see that some statistics are good when using a sample statistic to estimate a population parameter since they target the population parameter. They are called unbiased estimators. Unbiased estimators: mean, variance, proportion Statistics that do not target population parameters: median, range, standard deviation Copyright © 2007 Pearson Education, Inc Publishing as Pearson Addison-Wesley.

9 Central Limit Theorem Given:
1. The random variable x has a distribution (which may or may not be normal) with mean µ and standard deviation . 2. Simple random samples all of size n are selected from the population. (The samples are selected so that all possible samples of the same size n have the same chance of being selected.) Copyright © 2007 Pearson Education, Inc Publishing as Pearson Addison-Wesley.

10 Central Limit Theorem - cont
Conclusions: 1. The distribution of sample x will, as the sample size increases, approach a normal distribution. 2. The mean of the sample means is the population mean µ. 3. The standard deviation of all sample means is  n Copyright © 2007 Pearson Education, Inc Publishing as Pearson Addison-Wesley.

11 Practical Rules Commonly Used
1. For samples of size n larger than 30, the distribution of the sample means can be approximated reasonably well by a normal distribution. The approximation gets better as the sample size n becomes larger. 2. If the original population is itself normally distributed, then the sample means will be normally distributed for any sample size n (not just the values of n larger than 30). Copyright © 2007 Pearson Education, Inc Publishing as Pearson Addison-Wesley.

12 x =  µx = µ  n Notation the mean of the sample means
the standard deviation of sample mean  (often called the standard error of the mean) µx = µ n x = Copyright © 2007 Pearson Education, Inc Publishing as Pearson Addison-Wesley.


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