1. www.nisra.gov.uk/demography www.qub.ac.uk/nils Linking Vital Events to the Longitudinal and Mortality Studies Joanne Cartland & Karen McConnell Demography & Methodology Branch NISRA Conference 13 February 2013

2. www.nisra.gov.uk/demography www.qub.ac.uk/nils Summary of Presentation Background – NILS/NIMS Background – Vital Events Linking Vital Events to NILS & NIMS

3. www.nisra.gov.uk/demography www.qub.ac.uk/nils Background – NILS/NIMS www.qub.ac.uk/nils

4. www.nisra.gov.uk/demography www.qub.ac.uk/nils What is the NILS? Longitudinal database NILS Sample members (28% sample) Linked to 2001 Census & Other data

5. www.nisra.gov.uk/demography www.qub.ac.uk/nils What is the NILS? 27 year old Female in 1991 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 1991 2001 2011

6. www.nisra.gov.uk/demography www.qub.ac.uk/nils What is the NIMS? Census Record Linkage Study 2001 Census linked to all deaths Linked Census-Mortality Database

7. www.nisra.gov.uk/demography www.qub.ac.uk/nils What NILS Research can be done? Analysis of Census and Event data Analysis of Successive Events –Births –Migration –Mortality Analysis of successive censuses –1991 –2001 –2011

8. www.nisra.gov.uk/demography www.qub.ac.uk/nils Whats Different? Individual Level Microdata High Quality Representative Dataset Security – Secure Setting access only

9. www.nisra.gov.uk/demography www.qub.ac.uk/nils Background – Vital Events www.nisra.gov.uk/demography

10. www.nisra.gov.uk/demography www.qub.ac.uk/nils Vital Events Data General Register Office (GRO) –Births, deaths, marriages & civil partnerships –Live link to RCM system –Data not validated Courts Service –Divorces & civil partnership dissolutions –Quarterly download –Data not validated General Public Registrars RCM system Vital Events Team

11. www.nisra.gov.uk/demography www.qub.ac.uk/nils Vital Events Outputs Outputs –Quarterly Reports –Annual Bulletins –Annual Report –Baby Names All reports and data are available at www.nisra.gov.uk/demography www.nisra.gov.uk/demography NI couples opt for unusual weddings 25/07/12 Lowest number of deaths yet County Down Spectator, 6/12/12 Its a flood of Noahs: Biblical name floats the boat of parents The Belfast Telegraph, 21/12/12

12. www.nisra.gov.uk/demography www.qub.ac.uk/nils Vital Events Interesting Figures The Numbers –Births: 25,000 –Deaths: 14,000 –Marriages: 8,000 –Divorces: 2,000 –Civil Partnerships: 100

13. www.nisra.gov.uk/demography www.qub.ac.uk/nils Vital Events Interesting Facts The Facts –Popular days (2011) Births: 8 & 21 July Marriages: 27 August –Popular marriage venues (2011) Clarion Hotel Clandeboye Lodge –Popular baby names (2012) Jack, James, Daniel Sophie, Emily, Grace

14. www.nisra.gov.uk/demography www.qub.ac.uk/nils Linking Vital Events to NILS and NIMS

15. www.nisra.gov.uk/demography www.qub.ac.uk/nils Aims and Method Aims –Vital Events Statistics by 2001 Census variables –High User Demand (e.g. Education Area-Plans) –Highlight potential use of the NILS & NIMS Method –Vital Events data linked to NILS/NIMS (SQL) –Tables built in Stata –Tables exported to MS Excel

16. www.nisra.gov.uk/demography www.qub.ac.uk/nils Births Linkage Process 100% (207,905) 207,905 births to NI mothers (2001-9) NILS Match NILS 28% sample linked (1-1 match) Census Match NILS data linked to 2001 Census. Unlinked individuals increase each year.

17. www.nisra.gov.uk/demography www.qub.ac.uk/nils Results – Births

18. www.nisra.gov.uk/demography www.qub.ac.uk/nils Community Background (2001) of Births by Year

19. www.nisra.gov.uk/demography www.qub.ac.uk/nils Community Background (2001) of Births by Year

20. www.nisra.gov.uk/demography www.qub.ac.uk/nils Births to Mothers Aged 35+ by Registration Year

21. www.nisra.gov.uk/demography www.qub.ac.uk/nils Results – Deaths

22. www.nisra.gov.uk/demography www.qub.ac.uk/nils Community Background (2001) of Deceased by Year

23. www.nisra.gov.uk/demography www.qub.ac.uk/nils Age of deceased by Community Background (2001) Community Background Deaths Aged Under 50 Deaths Aged 50 or more All Ages 200120052009200120052009200120052009 Catholic 43%47%50%32%33%35%33%34%36% Protestant & Other Christian 54%50%46%67%66%64%66%65%63% Other Religions & No Religion 3%2%3%1% Note: Percentages may not add to 100 due to rounding.

24. www.nisra.gov.uk/demography www.qub.ac.uk/nils Household Tenure (2001) of Deceased by Year

25. www.nisra.gov.uk/demography www.qub.ac.uk/nils Summary of Results Births Catholic births marginally greater than Protestant births Increase in births to mothers aged 35 or more Deaths Protestant deaths outnumber Catholic deaths (2:1) Even in 2009 - 4% of deaths were to people who lived in a communal establishment in 2001

26. www.nisra.gov.uk/demography www.qub.ac.uk/nils Future Directions Publish tables on NILS website Use Linked 2011 Census - Vital Events in NILS/NIMS to update figures

27. www.nisra.gov.uk/demography www.qub.ac.uk/nils Thank you

28. www.nisra.gov.uk/demography www.qub.ac.uk/nils Acknowledgements The help provided by the staff of the Northern Ireland Longitudinal Study/Northern Ireland Mortality Study (NILS/NIMS)and the NILS Research Support Unit is acknowledged. The NILS/NIMS is funded by the Health and Social Care Research and Development Division of the Public Health Agency (HSC R&D Division) and NISRA. The NILS-RSU is funded by the ESRC and the Northern Ireland Government. The authors alone are responsible for the interpretation of the data and any views or opinions presented are solely those of the author and do not necessarily represent those of NISRA/NILS.

29. www.nisra.gov.uk/demography www.qub.ac.uk/nils Linking Vital Events to the Longitudinal and Mortality Studies Joanne Cartland & Karen McConnell Demography & Methodology Branch NISRA Conference 13 February 2013