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Inequality, Mobility, and the Election Department of Economics
Mark R. Killingsworth Department of Economics Rutgers University October 15, 2012
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What’s happening? During 1980’s-2000’s, wage gaps got considerably wider… between top and bottom of the income distribution between different education groups (college/hs, etc.), experience groups, and age groups within demographic and skill groups (e.g., persons with same age-sex-education-occupation-industry) Upward mobility has slowed down, reinforcing inequality strong correlation between earnings of fathers and earnings of their kids Big social changes (Charles Murray, Coming Apart: The State of White America) over 50% of births to women under 30 now occur outside marriage between , % of births outside marriage has risen for every racial group (e.g., for women > HS, < BA: 49% => 68% for blacks; 38% => 60% for whites)
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Immigration (especially of unskilled workers)
Why did it happen? supply of skilled workers rose (relative to unskilled workers) , but demand for skilled workers (relative to unskilled workers) increased by much more Immigration (especially of unskilled workers) international trade shifts/changes (imports tend to be made by unskilled, exports by skilled workers; industries hit hard by imports tend to be highly concentrated, unionized, and high-wage) technological change raises demand for skilled, reduces demand for unskilled decline in unions decline in “real” minimum wage (…but what is cause, and what is effect?)
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What to do about it? – Some possibilities
more and better programs for education, retraining and apprenticeship (vouchers? cheaper student loans?) change entitlements (welf are, etc.) expand Earned Income Tax Credit Infrastructure programs
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