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Partly Verifiable Signals

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Presentation on theme: "Partly Verifiable Signals"— Presentation transcript:

1 Partly Verifiable Signals
Glazer and Rubinstein (ECMA 2004)

2 Information Transmission in Markets
S-R setting with type independent preferences of S Benchmarks: - Cheap Talk (only bubbling equilibrium) - Perfectly (costlessly) verifiable types (only fully revealing equilibrum) Realistic Settings: fact checking is costly and verification is partial Questions: - Uncertainty about verifiability - Which party should verify information? - Optimal verification effort? - Does prior communication improve verification process? - If yes, what is the optimal verification mechanism?

3 Partial verification State space where is an aspect and quality is
Uncertainty about verification (Shin 2003) Low types S strategically withhold negative information Pooling at the bottom Uncertainty mutes R’s skepticism result in asymmetric return dynamics Unaware buyers (Milgrom and Roberts 1986) R unaware which characteristics are relevant S announce high but irrelevant test scores Test scores ignored by R With heterogenous buyers competition among S better than regulation

4 Costly verification Costly verification by a sender (Jovanovic 1982)
Excessive testing and selective reporting (data mining) Welfare loss (as in the signaling literature) Costly verification by a receiver (Townsend 1979) Insurance against wealth shocks S informs about the wealth shock R can verify the claim at some cost Optimal contract: no verification until default Today: capacity constraint (can verify only one aspect)

5 Motivating example A candidate with two characteristics (talent, loyalty) and an employer Decision: hire, not hire Candidate (sender, speaker) - strictly prefers action ``hire’’ - can send a message regarding his characteristics Employer (receiver, listener) - wants to hire only if sum of characteristics above one - has capacity to verify only one characteristic Questions: Can employer reduce probability of a mistake by talking to a candidate? If yes, how should he verify information obtained in the conversation?

6 Glazer and Rubinstein persuasion game
State space with aspect Action space Sender always prefers Acceptance and rejection region Verification mechanism

7 Preferences over Verification Mechanism
Fix Let R preferences over verification mechanisms Type one error Type two error mechanism is R-optimal if it solves Remarks: We search for the best verification mechanism for R Commitment (this assumption is relaxed) More general loss function and arbitrary prior

8 Important classes of Mechanisms
Direct mechanism Deterministic mechanism Bubbling mechanism

9 Does conversation improve welfare?
Consider candidate-employer problem Bubbling mechanism improves over no verification Conversation improves over a ``bubbling’’ mechanism

10 L-principle Assume Consider any three types forming ``L’’
P: For any mechanism the sum of mistake probabilities is ``Mass of independent ``Ls’’ gives a lower bound for the number of mistakes Easy check of mechanism optimality

11 Proof: L-principle Fix mechanism and Let be optimal for


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