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FIN 440: International Finance

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1 FIN 440: International Finance
Topic 3-FX Quotations Larry Schrenk, Instructor

2 Learning Objectives Explain the structure and mechanisms of the FX market. Explain the spot market. Convert FX rates between American and European terms.

3 An Additional Resources
Yahoo! Currency Converter Investing.com Forex Data FX Abbreviations List

4 Overview Spot Market Conversions

5 1. The Spot Market

6 FX Rates Foreign Exchange (FX or Forex) Foreign Exchange Risk is
How much one currency is worth in terms of another? Transfer of purchasing power FX rates are volatile and uncertain Foreign Exchange Risk is The possibility that the value of an investment, cash flow, return might change due to changes in exchange rates for currencies.

7 Current FX Rates 1.7769 dollars are worth one pound.
NOTE: Yen quotations are to 6 places, not 4.

8 Currency Abbreviations
Every currency has a three letter abbreviation Since ‘dollar’, ‘franc’ and ‘pound’ ambiguous FX Abbreviations List AUD Australian Dollar (AU$) CAD Canadian Dollar (C$) CHF Swiss Franc (CHF) EUR Euro (€) GBP British Pound (£) HKD Hong Kong Dollar (HK$) JPY Japanese Yen (¥) USD United States Dollar ($)

9 FX Notation I–Technical
S(j/k) price of one unit of k in terms of j Or the number of j needed to buy 1 k. S($/¥) is 1 yen in terms of dollars Or the number of dollars to buy 1 yen. NOTE: In this notation either symbols (¥) or abbreviations (JPY) can be used, e.g., S(¥/$) = S(JPY/USD)

10 ←Number of these to buy 1 of these→
FX Notation II S($/AU$) = S($ / AU$) ←Number of these to buy 1 of these→

11 FX Notation II S($/AU$) = .8363 means...
You need to pay USD for AU$ 1. Spot rate for Australian dollars is $ An Australian dollar is worth $ AU$ 1 = $

12 ‘Yours’ versus ‘Theirs’
Spot Rate: The immediate rate Direct Quotation: From ‘your’ currency If an American works for a firm in Germany, ‘your’ currency is the euro. Indirect Quotation: From ‘their’ currency If an American works for a firm in Germany, ‘their’ currencies are the yen, American dollar, Kuwaiti dollar, etc. What about an American working for a German firm in Japan? ▪

13 American Terms FX Quotation in American Terms
Non-dollar currency priced in US dollars S($/___) = number of US dollars to buy 1 ___. In American terms, $ is before the ‘/’. S($/C$) = number of US dollars to buy 1 Canadian dollar S($/C$) = $0.9422

14 European Terms FX Quotation in European Terms
US dollars priced in a non-dollar currency S(__/$) = number of ___ to buy 1 US dollar In European terms, $ is after the ‘/’. S(C$/$) = number of Canadian dollars to buy 1 US dollar S(C$/$) = C$ (September 2008) NOTE: The non-dollar currency need not be ‘European’.

15 Reading the FX Table I European Terms American Terms Cross Rates ▪

16 Reading the FX Table II European Terms
It takes yen to buy one dollar. ▪ European Terms: How many non-dollar units does it take to buy one dollar?

17 Reading the FX Table III
American Terms It takes $ to buy one euro. ▪ American Terms: How many dollars does it take to buy one non-dollar unit?

18 Reading the FX Table IV Cross Rates
It takes C$ to buy one pound. ▪ Cross Rates: How many non-dollar units does it take to buy a different non-dollar unit?

19 Reading the FX Table V Cross Rates: How many non-dollar units in the row does it take to buy a non-dollar unit in the column? ▪

20 Appreciation/Depreciation I
When there is more demand for the pound, Pound appreciates relative to the U.S. dollar S($/£) exchange rate increases More dollars to buy one pound. When there is less demand for the pound, Pound depreciates relative to the U.S. dollar, S($/£) exchange rate decreases Less dollars to buy one pound. ▪

21 Appreciation/Depreciation II
If S($/£) = 1.80 You need to spend more than $1 for a pound. IMPORTANT: This does not mean the pound is ‘stronger’ or more in demand than the dollar. ‘Stronger’/’more in demand’ refers to change over time If yesterday S($/£) = 1.80, and now S($/£) = 1.70, The dollar has become ‘stronger’ or more in demand relative to the pound, Because it takes fewer dollars to buy one pound.

22 Appreciation/Depreciation III
Remember supply and demand curves Dollar Demand and Supply of Pounds ▪ Supply of Pounds Demand for Pounds What Happened?▪

23 2. Conversions

24 Converting between American and European Terms I
American and European terms are inverses (or reciprocals), i.e., If you convert $1.74 From dollars to pounds, Then pounds to dollars You still have $1.74

25 Converting between American and European Terms II
American Terms S($/CHF) = ($ buys 1 Swiss franc) European Terms How many Swiss francs to buy 1 US dollar? ‘Reverse’ for European → American Terms ▪

26 Converting between American and European Terms: Examples
European → American American → European

27 What if... S(£/$) = S($/£) = 1.855

28 Current Data (19 January 2018)

29 General Rules of Thumb Most currencies are worth less than the USD
If the FX rate between the US Dollar and another currency is less than 1, the rate is probably in... American Terms, i.e., S($/Non-Dollar) Exceptions GBP (£) and EUR (€) A few other minor currencies It takes a lot of yen to buy anything


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