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Global Financial Imbalances: The Future Impact of Asian and Middle East Surpluses
Karen Johnson April 24, 2006
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Exchange Rates: Chinese RMB
Source: FRB weights
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Exchange Rates: Korean Won
Source: FRB weights
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Exchange Rates: Japanese Yen
Source: FRB weights
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Current Account Balance (% of GDP)
Source: IMF WEO
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Current Account Balance (% of GDP)
Source: IMF WEO *Hong Kong, Korea, Singapore, Taiwan
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Global Oil Prices (WTI)
Source: Commodity Research Bureau
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Revenue Flows to Fuel Exporters
Source: IMF WEO
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Foreign Exchange Reserves
Source: IMF *Indonesia, Malaysia, Philippines, Singapore, Thailand, Hong Kong
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Foreign Exchange Reserves: Aggregate of Fuel Exporters
Source: IMF *No data available for Turkmenistan, Iran, Iraq, or Syria **2005 data not yet available for Angola, Rep. of Congo, Equatorial Guinea, Gabon, Sudan, Bahrain, UAE, or Yemen
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Portfolio Inflows to the United States
Source: Treasury International Capital System ( *Indonesia, Malaysia, Philippines, Singapore, Thailand, Hong Kong **Bahrain, Iran, Iraq, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, UAE
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Inflation: Consumer Prices
Source: IMF WEO
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Gross Issuance of Chinese Sterilization Bonds
Source: Bloomberg
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Distortions Implicit subsidy to exports
Distort allocation of domestic fixed investment Continue to attract capital inflow
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Downside of Reserve Accumulation
Complications posed for monetary policy Distortions on bank behavior Limits on financial sector development Price signals altered by the exchange rate
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