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CHANGES IN BARRIER ISLAND ENVIRONMENTS DURING SEA-LEVEL RISE
James C. Gibeaut Bureau of Economic Geology Jackson School of Geosciences The University of Texas at Austin Funding From: Galveston Bay Estuary Program, NOAA through the Texas Coastal Coordination Council, Texas General Land Office, Army Research Office, NASA Texas A&M Sigma Xi Symposium, March 30, 2006 Talk notes: Talk about fault Map the upland boundary and see how much vertical change from 1950’s to 2002 – compare to SL rise Show tide curve at time of lidar survey to illustrate the “elevation classification problem this could present. Talk about bay shoreline erosion – we don’t have the bay shoreline data do we? Look at areas that are within the range of elevation for marsh but are not marsh – figure out why this is – what are the other factors besides elevation that makes a marsh a marsh.
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Texas Coast Brief overview of shoreline types, bays vs. Gulf. Shoreline monitoring is challenging because of the length of shoreline and variety of shoreline types.
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Regressive Barrier Island
( a ) b B A Y R I E S L G U F O M X C y m r g i n d e s w l o v t f - u c h q V p k Z Q 3 1 7 P N Regressive Barrier Island Transgressive Barrier Island
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Transgressive (Matagorda Peninsula)
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Regressive (Galveston Island)
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Color IR Mosaic Gulf of Mexico
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Barrier Island Environments
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University of Texas Airborne Topographic Lidar System (Optech model ALTM1225)
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1 – Meter Lidar Digital Elevation Model
Shaded relief image of digital elevation model of the study area. Banding in open-water areas is oriented parallel to the acquisition flight lines and is the result of about 0.05 m vertical error across the data swaths. The banding is only apparent on the very smooth water surface.
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Habitat Classification Map From Color IR Photography
Data from White et al., 2002
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Average Heights and Standard Deviations of Barrier Island Habitats
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Change Induced by Rising Sea Level
From Brinson, Christian, and Blum, 1995
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Relative Sea-Level Change
Pier 21 - Galveston y = 0.652x R 2 = 0.0 20.0 40.0 60.0 80.0 100.0 120.0 140.0 160.0 180.0 1900 1910 1920 1930 1940 1950 1960 1970 1980 1990 2000 2010 Year Average water level (cm) = 6.52 mm/yr Local land subsidence Global ocean-level rise
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Land Subsidence Relative to Pier 21, 1958 – 1978, mm/yr
Pier 21 tide gauge
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Vertical Accretion Function
Maximum rate = m/yr Vertical Accretion Function Evidence for decreasing rate and max rate from Callaway et al., 1997
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Shoreline Change
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Tide Gauge Record Change Rate = 0.0064 m/yr ) m ( l e v e l e d i t h
2.5 Tide Gauge Record Annual Averages of MHHW at Pier 21, Galveston ) 2 m ( l e v e Change Rate = m/yr l e d i t h g i H 1.5 H i s t o r i c a l l e v e l L i n e a r f i t P r o j e c t e d l e v e l 3 - y r m o v i n g a v e r a g e 1 1900 1920 1940 1960 1980 2000 2020 2040 2060 2080 2100 Y e a r
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Model Flow 1-year loop DEM Yes (original) No Future date reached?
Classify elevation by environment types Environment grid Yes No Adjusted DEM Apply vertical accretion adjustment Output habitat grid 1-year loop Shoreline change data Retreat shoreline Apply sea level adjustment Apply local subsidence adjustment Compute statistics of habitat status Maps Statistics Graphs
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Eight Analysis Areas
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All Areas
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All Areas
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Eight Analysis Areas
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Follets
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Follets
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Eight Analysis Areas
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West Galveston
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West Galveston
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Eight Analysis Areas
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Bolivar
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Bolivar
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