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Chapter 23: Output and Prices in the Short Run

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1 Chapter 23: Output and Prices in the Short Run
Copyright © 2017 Pearson Canada Inc.

2 Chapter Outline/Learning Objectives
Section Learning Objectives After studying this chapter, you will be able to 23.1 The Demand Side of the Economy 1. explain why an exogenous change in the price level shifts the AE curve and changes the equilibrium level of real GDP. 2. derive the aggregate demand ( AD ) curve and understand what causes it to shift. ) 23.2 The Supply Side of the Economy 3. describe the meaning of the aggregate supply ( AS curve and understand why it shifts when technology or factor prices change. 23.3 Macroeconomic Equilibrium 4. explain how AD and AS shocks affect equilibrium real GDP and the price level. Copyright © 2017 Pearson Canada Inc.

3 23.1 The Demand Side of the Economy
Exogenous Changes in the Price Level Changes in Consumption Much of the private sector’s total wealth is held in the form of assets with a fixed nominal value. The most obvious example is money. What this money can buy—its real value—depends on the price level. A rise in the price level lowers the real value of money held by the private sector, and a fall in the price level raises the real value of money held by the private sector. Copyright © 2017 Pearson Canada Inc.

4 Changes in Consumption
Changes in the price level change the wealth of bondholders and bond issuers, but because the changes offset each other, there is no change in aggregate wealth. In summary, a rise in the price level leads to a reduction in the real value of the private sector’s wealth. A reduction in wealth leads to a decrease in autonomous desired consumption and to a downward shift in the AE function. A fall in the price level leads to a rise in wealth and desired consumption and to an upward shift in the AE function. Copyright © 2017 Pearson Canada Inc.

5 Changes in Net Exports When the domestic price level rises (and the exchange rate remains unchanged), Canadian goods become more expensive relative to foreign goods. Canadian consumers reduce their purchases of Canadian-made goods, and increase their purchases of foreign goods. Consumers in other countries reduce their purchases of Canadian- made goods. Copyright © 2017 Pearson Canada Inc.

6 Changes in Net Exports A rise in the domestic price level (with a constant exchange rate) shifts the net export function downward, which causes a downward shift in the AE curve. A fall in the domestic price level shifts the net export function upward and the AE curve upward. Copyright © 2017 Pearson Canada Inc.

7 Fig. 23-1 Desired Aggregate Expenditure and the Price Level
An exogenous increase in the price level causes the AE curve to shift downward from AE0 to AE1. The equilibrium changes from E0 to E1 and real GDP falls from Y0 to Y1. Copyright © 2017 Pearson Canada Inc.

8 The Aggregate Demand Curve
The aggregate demand (AD) curve is a curve showing combinations of real GDP and the price level that make desired aggregate expenditure equal to actual national income. A rise in the price level causes the AE curve to shift downward and leads to a movement upward and to the left along the AD curve, reflecting a fall in the equilibrium level of GDP. A fall in the price level causes the AE curve to shift upward and leads to a movement downward and to the right along the AD curve, reflecting a rise in the equilibrium level of GDP. Copyright © 2017 Pearson Canada Inc.

9 Fig. 23-2 Derivation of the AD Curve
As the price level rises from P0 to P1 to P2, the AE curve shifts downward from AE0 to AE1 to AE2. In the bottom graph, a movement occurs up along the AD curve. A change in the price level causes a shift of the AE curve but a movement along the AD curve. (i) Aggregate expenditure (ii) Aggregate demand Copyright © 2017 Pearson Canada Inc.

10 Shifts in the AD Curve Any change—other than a change in the price level—that causes the AE curve to shift will also cause the AD curve to shift. Such a shift is called an aggregate demand shock. For a given price level, an increase in autonomous aggregate expenditure shifts the AE curve upward and the AD curve to the right. A fall in autonomous aggregate expenditure shifts the AE curve downward and the AD curve to the left. The simple multiplier measures the horizontal shift in the AD curve in response to a change in autonomous desired expenditure. Copyright © 2017 Pearson Canada Inc.

11 Shifts in the AD Curve Any change—other than a change in the price level—that causes the AE curve to shift will also cause the AD curve to shift. Such a shift is called an aggregate demand shock. For a given price level, an increase in autonomous aggregate expenditure shifts the AE curve upward and the AD curve to the right. A fall in autonomous aggregate expenditure shifts the AE curve downward and the AD curve to the left. The simple multiplier measures the horizontal shift in the AD curve in response to a change in autonomous desired expenditure. Copyright © 2017 Pearson Canada Inc.

12 Fig. 23-3 The Simple Multiplier and Shifts in the AD Curve
An increase in autonomous expenditure shifts the AE curve upward from AE0 to AE1. The size of the horizontal shift of the AD curve is equal to the simple multiplier times the increase in autonomous expenditure. (i) Aggregate expenditure (ii) Aggregate demand Copyright © 2017 Pearson Canada Inc.

13 Determinants of Aggregate Demand (I)
Consumption Changes in wealth, age of consumer durables and consumer expectations will change aggregate demand Investment Changes in interest rates, age of capital goods, business expectations and government policies will change aggregate demand Net exports Change in the value of exchange rate, income levels abroad and price of competitive foreign goods

14 Determinants of AD (II)
Government spending Amount of spending on goods, services, or transfer payments to households or firms Tax rates Money supply

15 23.2 The Supply Side of the Economy
The Aggregate Supply Curve The aggregate supply (AS) curve is a curve showing the relation between the price level and the quantity of aggregate output supplied, for given technology and factor prices. As output increases, less efficient standby plants may have to be used, and less efficient workers may have to be hired, while existing workers may have to be paid overtime rates for additional work. For these reasons, unit cost, which is cost per unit of output, increases. Copyright © 2017 Pearson Canada Inc.

16 Fig. 23-4 The Aggregate Supply Curve
The AS curve is positively sloped. The higher is the level of output, the faster unit costs tend to rise, so the AS curve becomes steeper as output rises. Copyright © 2017 Pearson Canada Inc.

17 Shifts in the AS Curve Shifts in the AS curve caused by exogenous forces are called aggregate supply shocks. A rise in factor prices causes the AS curve to shift leftward. A fall in factor prices causes the AS curve to shift rightward. An improvement in technology causes the AS curve to shift rightward. A deterioration in technology causes the AS curve to shift leftward. Copyright © 2017 Pearson Canada Inc.

18 Fig. 23-5 Shifts in the AS Curve
An increase in factor prices or a deterioration in technology shifts the AS curve leftward from AS0 to AS1. Copyright © 2017 Pearson Canada Inc.

19 Determinants of Aggregate Supply
An increase in AS will result from: A decrease in factor prices Technological improvement An improvement in human capital An increase in the amount of capital An increase in natural resources

20 23.3 Macroeconomic Equilibrium
Fig Macroeconomic Equilibrium Demand behaviour is consistent with supply behaviour only at the intersection of the AS and AD curves. E0 is the macroeconomic equilibrium. Copyright © 2017 Pearson Canada Inc.

21 Changes in Macroeconomic Equilibrium
A shift in the AD curve is called an aggregate demand shock. A shift in the AS curve is called an aggregate supply shock. Aggregate demand and aggregate supply shocks are labelled according to their effect on real GDP. Positive shocks increase equilibrium GDP; negative shocks reduce equilibrium GDP. Copyright © 2017 Pearson Canada Inc.

22 Aggregate Demand Shocks
Aggregate demand shocks cause the price level and real GDP to change in the same direction. Both rise with an increase in aggregate demand, and both fall with a decrease in aggregate demand. Fig Aggregate Demand Shocks Copyright © 2017 Pearson Canada Inc.

23 Fig. 23-8 The Multiplier When the Price Level Varies
An increase in autonomous expenditure causes the AE curve to shift upward, but the rise in the price level causes it to shift part of the way down again. With an upward sloping AS curve, the multiplier is smaller than the simple multiplier. (i) Aggregate expenditure (ii) Aggregate demand Copyright © 2017 Pearson Canada Inc.

24 Fig. 23-9 The Effects of Increases in Aggregate Demand
The effect of any given shift in aggregate demand will be divided between a change in real output and a change in the price level. The steeper the AS curve, the greater the price effect and the smaller the output effect. Copyright © 2017 Pearson Canada Inc.

25 Aggregate Supply Shocks
Fig A Negative Aggregate Supply Shock Aggregate supply shocks cause the price level and real GDP to change in opposite directions. A negative supply shock shifts the AS curve leftward, and the rise in the price level shifts the AE curve downward. (i) Aggregate expenditure (ii) Aggregate demand and supply Copyright © 2017 Pearson Canada Inc.

26 A Word of Warning Many economic events—especially changes in the world price of raw materials—cause both aggregate demand and aggregate supply shocks in the same economy. The overall effect on real GDP in that economy depends on the relative importance of the two separate effects. Copyright © 2017 Pearson Canada Inc.

27 Review 1. Which of the following will cause a positive aggregate supply shock? A) an increase in the price of raw materials B) a decrease in productivity C) a decrease in the price of oil D) a decrease in the price of foreign output E) an increase in the price of foreign output © 2014 Pearson Education Canada Inc.

28 Review Refer to Figure on the left. Suppose that an increase in government purchases by 50 causes the AD curve to shift to the right, as shown. The simple multiplier is ________ and the multiplier is ________. A) 4; 3.2 B) 4; 1.2 C) 2.8; 1.2 D) 4; 2.8 E) 6; 1.2 © 2014 Pearson Education Canada Inc.

29 Review Suppose firms are currently producing beyond their normal capacity. A change in AD leads to a relatively A) small change in price level and a small change in real GDP. B) no change in both price and output. C) large change in price level and a large change in real GDP. D) large change in price level and a small change in real GDP. E) small change in price level and a large change in real GDP. © 2014 Pearson Education Canada Inc.


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