1. Welcome to
CEBI Fall Summit
General Session

2. Agenda Thursday 1:00 pm – 2:00 pm General Session 2:00 pm – 5:30 pm
National Boards
6:00 pm – 7:00 pm
Reception
7:00 pm – 9:00 pm
Dinner
Friday
7:00 am – 8:30 am
Breakfast
8:30 am – 3:00 pm
National Boards (incl. Noon)
Thursday
1:00 pm – 2:00 pm
General Session
2:00 pm – 5:30 pm
National Boards
6:00 pm – 7:00 pm
Reception
7:00 pm – 9:00 pm
Dinner

3. Agenda
Friday
3:30 pm – 5:30 pm
Roundtables

4. Roundtables
“Who Moved My Cheese?” Carlos Alvarez -- President, Sun State Landscaping
“Selecting and De-selecting People” Tim Gase – President, Peerless Saw Company
“Plan for Success” Dave Crockett -- President/CEO, CenTec, Inc.
“Providing Products & Services to International Markets” Rob Kornfeld — President, Hi-Tech Furnace Systems, Inc.
“Transition of Ownership and Control Between Generations" Fritz Hoffmann -- President, Lunar Tool & Mold

5. Agenda Friday 3:30 pm – 5:30 pm Roundtables 6:00 pm – 7:00 pm
Reception
7:30 pm – 9:30 pm
Dinner
Saturday
7:00 am – 8:30 am
Breakfast
8:30 am – Noon
Executive Briefings

6. Economic Forecasting Forum What’s Your Crystal Ball Saying?
Sensitivity to initial conditions is popularly known as the "butterfly effect", so called because of the title of a paper given by Edward Lorenz in 1972 to the American Association for the Advancement of Science in Washington, D.C. entitled Predictability: Does the Flap of a Butterfly’s Wings in Brazil set off a Tornado in Texas? The flapping wing represents a small change in the initial condition of the system, which causes a chain of events leading to large-scale phenomena. Had the butterfly not flapped its wings, the trajectory of the system might have been vastly different.

7. Economic Indicators Interest Rates CPI (Inflation) Crude Oil Prices
Manufacturing
Housing Starts
GDP Growth
Stock Market Performance

8. Prime Interest Rate

9. Consumer Price Index

10. Crude Oil Prices

11. Manufacturing Index

12. NAM/IW Mfg. Indices
Q4 2000
Q4 2003
Q3 2007

13. NAPM (ISM) Mfg. Survey

14. Housing Starts (US)
485 K
333 K
Avg. = 358 K
Thousands, per quarter

15. US Gross Domestic Product
% Growth vs. Prior Quarter, Annualized

16. NASDAQ, S&P 500, DJIA
Jan03
Nov07

17. What’s your 2008 Forecast? Strong Growth Moderate Growth Flat
Contraction (1 Qtr. GDP )
Recession (2 Consec. Qtrs. GDP )

18. What’s your biggest concern for the economy in 2008?

19. How will you take advantage of an upside or protect yourself from a downside?

20. Is there a way to make money in the current period of uncertainty?

21. http://www. forex-brokerage-firms

23. Economic Forecasting Forum What’s Your Crystal Ball Saying?
Sensitivity to initial conditions is popularly known as the "butterfly effect", so called because of the title of a paper given by Edward Lorenz in 1972 to the American Association for the Advancement of Science in Washington, D.C. entitled Predictability: Does the Flap of a Butterfly’s Wings in Brazil set off a Tornado in Texas? The flapping wing represents a small change in the initial condition of the system, which causes a chain of events leading to large-scale phenomena. Had the butterfly not flapped its wings, the trajectory of the system might have been vastly different.

24. 2008 Events

25. Rancho Valencia Resort and Spa Rancho Santa Fe, CA
CEBI Winter Retreat
Rancho Valencia Resort and Spa
Rancho Santa Fe, CA
February 24-26, 2008
CEBI Winter Retreat
Rancho Valencia Resort and Spa
Rancho Santa Fe, CA
February 24-26, 2008
September , 2006

26. The Blackwell Hotel & Conference Center
CEBI Spring Summit
The Blackwell Hotel & Conference Center
Columbus, OH
April 24 – 25, 2008

27. Virginia Crossings Resort Glen Allen, VA (Richmond)
CEBI Fall Summit
Virginia Crossings Resort
Glen Allen, VA (Richmond)
November 13 – 14, 2008

28. Agenda Thursday 1:00 pm – 2:00 pm General Session 2:00 pm – 5:30 pm
National Boards
6:00 pm – 7:00 pm
Reception
7:00 pm – 9:00 pm
Dinner

29. CEBI Fall Summit