1. Robert Fabek Energy Institute Hrvoje Požar, Zagreb
Crude oil and petroleum products market in Central and South-Eastern Europe until 2030
Robert Fabek
Energy Institute Hrvoje Požar, Zagreb

2. Oil and petroleum products market in Central and South-Eastern Europe

3. Population

4. The 2030 climate and energy framework
at least 40% less greenhouse gas emissions by 2030, compared to 1990
at least 27% renewable energy consumption in 2030
at least 27% improvement in energy efficiency in 2030
taking the next step towards the goal of reducing greenhouse gas emissions by 80-95% below 1990 level by 2050

5. DIRECTIVE 2014/94/EU on the deployment of alternative fuels infrastructure

6. The European alternative fuels strategy
Reduce the EU transport systems oil dependence in order to diversify and secure energy supply.
Reduce EU GHG emissions in line with the Climate and Energy Package, 2030 framework (40-27) and the 2011 White Paper on Transport.
Improve the air quality in urban areas in order to meet EU air quality obligations.
Enhance the competitiveness of the European industry, boost innovation and generate economic growth.

7. Evolution of the global electric car stock
Source: IEA, Global EV Outlook 2016

8. Deployment scenarios for the stock of electric cars to 2030
Source: IEA, Global EV Outlook 2016

9. Crude oil balance

10. Refineries in Central and South-Eastern Europe
13 countries
180 mil. tonnes

11. Petroleum products consumption

12. Petroleum products consumption

13. Production of petroleum products

14. Production of petroleum products

15. Balance of petroleum products

16. Conclusion Reduction of greenhouse gas emissions
Increase of renewable energy consumption
Increase of alternative fuels consumtion
Decrease of demand for motor fuels after 2025
Decrease of utilization of refineries
Need for new investments in refineries
Higher cost of petroleum products
Further closure of refining capacities

17. THANK YOU