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Extending the Analysis of

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Presentation on theme: "Extending the Analysis of"— Presentation transcript:

1 Extending the Analysis of
16 C H A P T E R Extending the Analysis of Aggregate Supply

2 SHORT-RUN AND LONG-RUN
AGGREGATE SUPPLY Short Run - Period in which nominal wages (and other input prices) remain fixed as the price level increases or decreases Long Run - Period in which nominal wages are fully responsive to previous changes in the price level

3 SHORT-RUN AGGREGATE SUPPLY
A higher price level increases profits and output moving the economy from a1 to a2. AS1 P2 a2 Price Level P1 a1 o Qf Q2 Real domestic output

4 SHORT-RUN AGGREGATE SUPPLY
A lower price level decreases profits and output moving the economy from a1 to a3 . AS1 P2 a2 Price Level P1 a1 P3 a3 o Q3 Qf Q2 Real domestic output

5 LONG-RUN AGGREGATE SUPPLY
A higher price level results in higher nominal wages and thus shifts the short-run aggregate supply to the left . ASLR AS2 b1 AS1 P2 a2 a1 Price Level P1 o Qf Real domestic output

6 LONG-RUN AGGREGATE SUPPLY
A lower price level results reduces nominal wages and shifts the short-run aggregate supply to the right . ASLR AS2 b1 AS1 P2 a2 AS3 a1 Price Level P1 P3 a3 c1 o Qf Real domestic output

7 EQUILIBRIUM IN THE EXTENDED AD-AS MODEL
ASLR AS1 Price Level P1 a AD1 o Qf Real domestic output

8 DEMAND-PULL INFLATION
ASLR AS2 AS1 c P3 Price Level P2 b P1 a AD2 AD1 o Qf Q1 Real domestic output

9 COST-PUSH INFLATION Occurs when short-run AS shifts left Price Level o
ASLR AS2 AS1 Price Level P2 b P1 a AD1 o Q2 Qf Real domestic output

10 COST-PUSH INFLATION Even higher price levels
Government response with increased AD ASLR AS2 AS1 Even higher price levels c P3 Price Level P2 b P1 a AD2 AD1 o Q2 Qf Real domestic output

11 COST-PUSH INFLATION If government allows a recession to occur
ASLR AS2 AS1 Price Level P2 b P1 a AD1 o Q2 Qf Real domestic output

12 COST-PUSH INFLATION If government allows a recession to occur Nominal
ASLR AS2 AS1 Nominal wages fall & AS returns to its original location Price Level P2 b P1 a AD1 o Q2 Qf Real domestic output

13 THE INFLATION-UNEMPLOYMENT
RELATIONSHIP Normally, there is a short-run trade-off between the rate of inflation and the the rate of unemployment. Aggregate supply shocks can cause both higher rates of inflation and higher rates of unemployment. There is no significant trade-off over long periods of time.

14 Price Level o Real domestic output
EFFECT OF CHANGES IN AGGREGATE DEMAND ON REAL OUTPUT AND THE PRICE LEVEL AD0 AS Price Level P0 o Q0 Real domestic output

15 Price Level o Real domestic output
EFFECT OF CHANGES IN AGGREGATE DEMAND ON REAL OUTPUT AND THE PRICE LEVEL AD0 AD1 AS Price Level P1 P0 o Q0 Q1 Real domestic output

16 Price Level o Real domestic output
EFFECT OF CHANGES IN AGGREGATE DEMAND ON REAL OUTPUT AND THE PRICE LEVEL AD0 AD1 AD2 AS Price Level P2 P1 P0 o Q0 Q1 Q2 Real domestic output

17 Price Level o Real domestic output
EFFECT OF CHANGES IN AGGREGATE DEMAND ON REAL OUTPUT AND THE PRICE LEVEL AD0 AD1 AD2 AD3 AS P3 Price Level P2 P1 P0 o Q0 Q1 Q2 Q3 Real domestic output

18 Annual rate of inflation Unemployment rate (percent)
THE PHILLIPS CURVE CONCEPT 7 6 5 4 3 2 1 As inflation declines... unemployment increases Annual rate of inflation (percent) Unemployment rate (percent)

19 GLOBAL PERSPECTIVE 1992 1997 2002 The Misery Index, Selected Nations
Canada Italy 15 10 5 U.K. France U.S. Germany Japan 1992 1997 2002 Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics

20 Aggregate-Supply Shocks Stagflation’s Demise Short-Run Phillips Curve
THE LONG-RUN PHILLIPS CURVE Aggregate-Supply Shocks Stagflation’s Demise Short-Run Phillips Curve Long-Run Vertical Phillips Curve Disinflation

21 Supply-Side Economics Taxes and Incentives to Work
TAXATION AND AGGREGATE SUPPLY Supply-Side Economics Taxes and Incentives to Work Incentives to Save and Invest Laffer Curve

22 THE LAFFER CURVE 100 Tax rate (percent) l Tax revenue (dollars)

23 THE LAFFER CURVE 100 Tax rate (percent) m l Tax revenue (dollars)

24 THE LAFFER CURVE 100 n Tax rate (percent) m l Tax revenue (dollars)

25 THE LAFFER CURVE Maximum Tax Revenue Tax rate (percent)
100 n Tax rate (percent) m m Maximum Tax Revenue l Tax revenue (dollars)

26 Taxes, Incentives, and Time Inflation or Higher Interest Rates
Criticisms of the Laffer Curve Taxes, Incentives, and Time Inflation or Higher Interest Rates Position on the Curve Rebuttal and Evaluation

27 aggregate supply shocks long-run vertical Phillips curve disinflation
KEY TERMS short run long run Phillips curve stagflation aggregate supply shocks long-run vertical Phillips curve disinflation supply-side economics Laffer curve Copyright McGraw-Hill/Irwin, 2005 BACK END

28 Up next... Economic Growth Chapter 17


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