1. Professor A.K.M. Saiful Islam
DSMHT 403: Climate Modelling and Adaptation
Syllabus
Professor A.K.M. Saiful Islam
Institute of Water and Flood Management (IWFM)
Bangladesh University of Engineering and Technology (BUET)
July 2016

2. Semester: July-December 2016 Semester
Instructor: A.K.M. Saiful Islam, Ph.D.
Professor, IWFM, BUET
Contact: Room No. 309
Tel , Ext (Off.)
Web:
Course Web page:

3. Objectives:
Understanding the concept of Integrated Water Resources Management in relation to Climate Change.
Understanding the climate system and the hydrological cycle.
Being aware of the economic, environmental and social impact of climate.
Understanding of adaptation in relation to water and climate change.

4. Syllebus
1. Introducing Climate Modeling, Types of Climate Models: Energy Balance Climate Model, One dimensional Radiative-convective Climate Model, and Dimensionally Constrained Climate model, General Circulation Models, Paleoclimatic Model, and Projections of Future Climate Change.
2. Processes of Climatic Model Development, Sensitivity of Climate Model & Model Evaluation.
3. Types of adaptation to climate change: anticipatory and reactive.
4. Adaptation characteristics and processes: Components and Forms of adaptation, Climate Stimuli for Adaptation, Adaptation Types and Forms, Systems, Scales, and Actor, Processes and Evaluation of Adaptation
5. Technologies & Options for Adaptation: adaptation in coastal zones, adaptation technologies for water supplies, adaptation options for agriculture, adaptation options for health, infrastructure technologies for adaptation
6. Adaptive Capacity and its Determinants: Economic Resources, Technologies, Information and skills, Infrastructure, Institution, Equity. Enhancing Adaptive Capacity.
7. Climate Change Adaptation Options in Bangladesh, NAPA, Endowed Knowledge Inclusion in Adaptation. 

5. Module-1 Climate System and Hydrologic cycle
Atmosphere
Cryosphere: Sea, Ice sheet, Glacier
Hydrosphere: River, Lakes, ocean interactions
Hydrologic Cycle
Biosphere and Ecosystem
Climate variability and climate change.
Global warming and green house gases
Historic aspects of global climate change
Climate change in South Asian context: Case study

6. Module-2 Prediction of climate change
Global and regional climate change predictions
Dynamic and static downscaling for impact study.
Uncertainty of predictions

7. Module-2 Impact of climate change on water sector
Flood risk assessment
Drought risk assessment
Sea level rise and salinity intrusion
River Erosion and livelihoods
Cyclone and storm surges

8. Module-3
Economic, social and Environmental implications of climate change
Economics of climate change
Social impact of climate change: vulnerable social groups and gender.
Impact of climate change on deltaic ecosystem (arid, coastal and deltaic system).
Implication of climate change on agriculture, food security and livelihood.
Implication of climate change on water supply, sanitation and health (heat stress and vector born diseases).
Vulnerability analysis, adaptive capacity and sensitivity.

9. Module-3 Mitigation measures and adaptation techniques.
Mitigation measures and carbon trading.
Non structural and structural adaptation.
Adaptation techniques in the context of integrated water resource management.

10. Module-4 Policy, laws, international conventions and country program.
Global awareness and IPCC interpretations
Koyoto protocol and other international conventions.
Paris Climate Change Agreement 2015
Responses to climate change: global, national and local
National Climate change strategies and activities.
Institutional arrangements of climate change.

11. Grading
Term Papers 30%
Final Exam %

12. Questions ?