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On a sheet of white paper
1. Draw the greenhouse effect and how it works (Try your best) 2. Write 5-10 facts about climate change 3. Is climate change a hoax, naturally caused, man-made, or a mix of natural and man-made? Give at least 2 reasons to support your answer
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Greenhouse Effect, Climate Change
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Greenhouse effect Natural heating of Earth’s surface
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How Greenhouse Effect Works
Infrared, visible, and ultraviolet light enter our atmosphere Ground, water, and vegetation absorb this light – reradiates from ground as infrared light GHG can absorb the infrared radiation, causing vibration and reradiation of infrared radiation throughout space Selective absorption
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Clues to Earth’s Climatic Past
Can be found in glaciers and ice core samples Scientists sample gases in ice and infer climatic changes High concentrations of sulfur can be linked to volcanic eruptions Dendrochronology Tree ring growth Vary in size based on climate during year
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Climate for past 1000 years Warm period during 11th-14th centuries, but still cooler than 20th century 15th-19th centuries – slight cooling Little Ice Age in Europe – unusually cold summer followed by bitterly cold winter
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Temperature Changes over 100 Years
Early 1900s – global temps began to rise Late 1900s and early 2000s – warmest temperatures on record for past 1000 years Has risen 0.6°C over past 100 years Earth’s climate hasn’t risen more than 2°C in past 10,000 years Heating is not uniform US experiences less of the warming than the rest of the world Most warming is noticeable at night
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What Stabilizes Earth’s Climate
1. The ocean 2. Plants 3. Weather
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Ocean Impact on Global Temperatures
Currents - moderate climate – transport warmer air and water around Earth Upper ocean stores 3 times heat of atmosphere IF there is a surplus of carbon dioxide, it will react with water and form carbonic acid, which will lower ocean pH and kill organisms, cause coral reefs to bleach
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Impact of CO2 Levels on Photosynthesis and Methane Emissions
More CO2 = photosynthetic organisms can absorb it and use it for photosynthesis Depends on the type of plant and the climate it was originally found in (plant maturity)
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Methane Emissions Methane – 4x more powerful than CO2
Wetlands, cows, landfills Methane could be released if the permafrost in the tundras start to melt or methane hydrate is extracted from the ocean floor for natural gas supplies
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Water vapor – greenhouse feedback (positive feedback)
Earth enters warming trend Slowly causes more rapid evaporation More water vapor can trap more infrared energy, intensifying greenhouse effect **If unchecked, would go until all water evaporates from oceans**
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Snow-albedo feedback (positive feedback)
Increase in surface temperatures would cause snow and ice to melt in polar latitudes Melting would reduce albedo, allowing more solar energy to reach surface, increasing temperatures
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Negative Feedback Warming planet emits more infrared radiation
Overtime, it would slow the rise in temps and stabilize climate
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Current CO2 Levels 400ppm Projected to rise to ppm by the end of the century Other greenhouse gas levels (methane, nitrous oxides, etc.) are increasing, which compounds the warming problem Projected total warming is about 3°C
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What Will Have Largest Impact?
Water vapor greenhouse feedback loop because it will cause the largest climate change in the shortest time
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Ocean Acidification
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How Ocean Acidification Works
CO2 (aq) + H2O H2CO3 HCO3− + H+ CO32− + 2 H+. 1. Ocean’s pH = slightly basic 2. CO2 reacts with seawater to produce carbonic acid, releasing hydrogen 3. Hydrogen binds with carbonate ions to form bicarbonate, reducing carbonate ions in water Corals, mollusks, sea stars, and other organisms having more difficult time absorbing carbonate
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Global Warming vs. Greenhouse Effect
Natural process of heating our atmosphere by trapping infrared radiation Natural process but influenced by humans Steady rise in Earth’s average temperature
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Human Activities that influence Earth’s climate
Industrial Revolution – fossil fuels Deforestation Cultivation of rice paddies – (methane) provide food Landfills – methane
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Possible Consequences of Global Warming
Landmasses heat faster than anywhere else, especially northern latitudes (North Pole, Greenland) Boreal forests (low albedo) surround tundras (high albedo) If melting occurs and boreal forests expand, they can accelerate warming
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Local Precipitation Shifts
Projected to increase in northern latitudes, less in subtropics In 20th century, 10% increase of precipitation levels in middle and high latitudes Direct change in local water supplies Possible desertification in Amazon
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Rise in Sea Level During 20th century, there was a 15cm rise globally
Sea levels are predicted to rise by at least 30cm during next century
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Changes in Polar Ice North Pole is melting while South Pole is adding ice (Antarctica)
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2007 – IPCC Wrote a paper outlining findings and predictions of Earth’s climate shifting Some of the things written: Cold days and nights are decreasing; being replaced with hot days, hot nights, and heat waves Water vapor concentrations have significantly increased since 1980s Since 1961, ocean temperatures have increased to a depth of at least 3000m beneath the surface and oceans are absorbing 80% of heat
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Average temps. In the Arctic have increased twice as fast as anywhere else on Earth
Mid-latitude winds have increased in intensity in both hemispheres Tropical cyclonic storms will likely intensify (wind speeds and rainfall amounts) due to warmer oceans More intense droughts in tropics and subtropics since 1970 Glaciers and ice caps have declined in both hemispheres (not including Antarctica or Greenland) Even if we stopped CO2 today, we’d still feel effects for 1000 years until CO2 cycled out of atmosphere With all factors included, it is extremely unlikely that Earth’s climate change is due to natural causes alone
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Curbing Global Warming
Reduce greenhouse gas emissions by reducing fossil fuel consumption
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What has been done to reduce greenhouse gas emissions?
1992 – Rio Earth Summit 106 nations committed to reducing carbon dioxide and other greenhouse gases to 1990 levels by 2000 Convention did not require countries to meet this requirement
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1997 – Kyoto Protocol 161 nations involved Resulting treaty said that:
38 developed nations to cut greenhouse gas emissions by 5.2% below 1990 levels Developed were targeted because average per capita emissions are 6 times higher than developing country Developing countries do not have to make any cuts in greenhouse gas emissions Allows for emission trading By 2001, US Congress had not ratified the treaty (still haven’t ratified in 2012)
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2016 – Paris Agreement Goal – strengthen global response to climate change Keep global temperature rise this century below 2 degrees C above pre-industrial levels Pursue efforts to limit temperature increase even further to 1.5 degrees C To strengthen countries to combat climate change with technology
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