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Risk Assessment: A Practical Guide to Assessing Operational Risk

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Presentation on theme: "Risk Assessment: A Practical Guide to Assessing Operational Risk"— Presentation transcript:

1 Risk Assessment: A Practical Guide to Assessing Operational Risk
Chapter 19: Business Aspects of Operational Risk Assessment Elyce Anne Biddle, PhD West Virginia University 9/21/2018

2 Business Aspects of Operational Risk Assessment
Objectives Introduce Business Aspects Present Prevention through Design’s Role in Making the Business Case Present Case Studies that support the Business Case 9/21/2018

3 Business Aspects of Operational Risk Assessment
Objective Control the risk of hazards Process Risk assessment hazard id, risk value, control Funding competition value Business Case 9/21/2018

4 Business Case Definition “what’s in it for the company” Outputs
Financial Net present value (NPV) Internal rate of return (IRR) Return on investment (ROI) Discounted payback period (DPP) Non-Financial Customer satisfaction Corporate Social Responsibility Product defects Corporate reputation RISK REDUCTION 9/21/2018

5 HOW ??? WHAT INSTRUMENTS?? WHAT TOOLS?
Business Case HOW ??? WHAT INSTRUMENTS?? WHAT TOOLS? 9/21/2018

6 The Business Case Development Tool
History Value Strategy User’s Guide TODAY Business Case Tool-General Industry Business Case Tool-Specialized Event, Industry, Conditions 9/21/2018

7 The Business Case Development Tool
Figure 19.1 Opening page of the Business Case Developer Tool 9/21/2018

8 The Business Case Development Tool
Figure 19.2 The Business Case Developer Tool - Step 1 9/21/2018

9 The Business Case Development Tool
Step 1--formative background phase Step 2--current state of risk Step 3--solution(s) Step 4--process changes leading to financial/non-financial measures. Step 5--report 9/21/2018

10 Business Case Examples
Case Example One: Post Incident In July 1999 three workers were killed in a crane collapse during the construction of a stadium pictured in Figure 19.3 before the incident. A crane was lifting a section of the roof weighing over 450 tons when it collapsed (pictured after the collapse in Figure 19.4) (next slide). OSHA’s investigation revealed that crane's rated load was exceeded when the roof section was first lifted off the ground; workers were not kept clear of the suspended 450 ton load during the morning of the lift; and personnel platforms were used to lift workers during dangerous weather conditions. 9/21/2018

11 Business Case Examples
Case Example One: Post Incident Figure 19.3 Stadium Construction before Collapse Figure 19.4 Extensive Damage to Stadium after Collapse. 9/21/2018

12 Business Case Examples
Cost Categories Expenses (in millions of dollars) Construction Costs 413.9 Interest paid on bonds 330.8 Repairs 100.0 Jury Awards 99.0 TOTAL 943.7 Table 19.1 Costs incurred as a result of the stadium collapse 9/21/2018

13 Business Case Examples
Case Example Two: Regulatory Requirement Tetrachloroethene or Perchloroethylene (also known as PERC - CAS NO ) has long been recognized as an effective cleaning solvent and for the past 60 years has been the most commonly used solvent in the garment cleaning industry. As a volatile organic solvent, PERC poses serious health hazards if work and environmental exposure is not properly controlled. PERC can affect the body through respiratory and dermal exposure. 9/21/2018

14 Business Case Examples – Case 2
Developing a Business Case began with investigating the financial advantage of each garment cleaning process. Table 19.2 presents a comparison of the initial cost of equipment and installation for five of the more common processes. Interestingly, these costs confirmed that professional wet-cleaning was a viable option for exploration by those organizations who were interested in reducing the exposure to PERC in the profession garment cleaning industry in the 1990’s. Process Machine Installation PERC Dry Cleaning $43,900 $2,500-5,000 Hydrocarbon $61,000 $5,000-6,000 GreenEarth (Liquid Silicone) $63,000 CO2 $140,000 $50,000 Wet Cleaning $40,000 $2, Table 19.2 Comparison of costs - Source: Fong, Chowdhury, Houghton, Komlenic & Villalobos, 2006 9/21/2018

15 Business Case Examples – Case 2
The differences in operational costs between wet and dry cleaning processes were collected in nine case studies and presented below and the next slide. Monthly Expense Firm 1 Firm 2 Firm 3 Firm 4 Firm 5 Firm 6 Firm 7 Firm 8 Firm 9 Solvent 50 100 90 56 66 133 929 200 113 Detergent 53 16 21 39 5 13 83 Water 44 20 n.a. 73 111 Electricity 89 143 187 93 300 244 156 642 364 Gas 278 466 221 267 488 552 438 435 Filters 60 25 11 23 40 882 7 Hazardous Waste 54 35 117 Machine Upkeep 147 239 132 172 158 298 119 Equipment 430 299 270 375 Regulatory Fees 108 81 91 48 74 65 TOTAL $1,359 $1,470 $1,004 $1,071 $1,577 $1,608 $3,365 $2,247 $1,723 Table 19.3 Monthly Operating Expenses for Dry Cleaning Processes – Source: Sinsheimer, Grout, Namkoong & Gottlieb, 2004 9/21/2018

16 Business Case Examples – Case 2
Monthly Expense Firm 1 Firm 2 Firm 3 Firm 4 Firm 5 Firm 6 Firm 7 Firm 8 Firm 9 Solvent Detergent 121 246 82 167 63 60 300 400 Water 34 30 n.a. 540 91 Electricity 50 115 132 75 120 144 140 324 292 Gas 266 510 255 353 387 334 408 Filters 762 Hazardous Waste Machine Upkeep 24 83 Equipment 208 280 193 379 Regulatory Fees TOTAL $ 703 $1,133 $590 $801 $811 $994 $2,179 $1,379 $1,593 Table 19.4 Monthly Operating Expenses for Wet Cleaning Processes - Source: Sinsheimer, Grout, Namkoong & Gottlieb, 2004 Firm 1 Firm 2 Firm 3 Firm 4 Firm 5 Firm 6 Firm 7 Firm 8 Firm 9 Cost Reduction $656 $337 $414 $270 $765 $614 $1,185 $867 $130 Average Savings: $582 monthly Table 19.5 Cost Reductions in Operating Expenses Using Wet Versus Dry Cleaning Processes Source: Sinsheimer, 2008 9/21/2018

17 Business Case Examples – Case 2
Base Versus Comparison Net Present Value PERC versus Wet Clean $29,061 Hydrocarbon versus Wet Clean $31,924 GreenEarth versus Wet Clean $53,099 CO2 versus Wet Clean $170,911 PERC versus Hydrocarbon ($2,863) PERC versus GreenEarth ($24,038) PERC versus CO2 ($141,850) Table Net Present Value of Alternative Garment Cleaning Processes 9/21/2018

18 Business Case Examples – Case 2
The results demonstrate that the wet-cleaning process is the best selection from a financial perspective—even without the probable reduction in occupational injury and illnesses or improvements in productivity that are typically included in Net Present Value calculations and could have been easily added using the Business Developer Tool. The effect on the environment was considered in nearly every wet- cleaning study, regardless of the other issues considered. Furthermore, public presentation often referred to the wet-cleaning process as being a “green” solution—pointing to the associated positive corporate social responsibility of making the change. 9/21/2018

19 Business Case Examples – Case 3
Case Example Three: Operational The University of California, Davis Agricultural Ergonomics Research Center, AgSafe (a nonprofit occupational safety and health organization), and NIOSH worked collaboratively in two separate efforts to reduce or eliminate ergonomics risks factors for grape harvest workers in the wine grape industry in northern California. The initial effort conducted the risk assessment, which began with the description of the following work process, illustrated in Figure (next slide) 9/21/2018

20 Business Case Examples – Case 3
Case Example Three: Operational Figure 19.5 Wine grape harvest process consists of six basic tasks 9/21/2018

21 Business Case Examples – Case 3
Case Example Three: Operational A robust risk assessment led to recommending a smaller sized tub to minimize injuries from lifting and carrying cut grapes in the original study. Table 19.7 provides the changes in risk assessment associated with implementing this simple PtD solution. Large Tub Small Tub Lifting force 57 lbs (season average) 46 lbs (season average) Sliding force 19-22 lbs (terrain differences) 13-16 lbs (terrain differences) NIOSH Lifting Equation 3.4 2.4 Energy Expenditure 47.7% of aerobic capacity 45% of aerobic capacity Back injury probability 0.64 0.60 Table 19.7 Risk Factor Comparison presented in the 2006 publication by Myers, Miles, Faucett, Fathallah, et al. 9/21/2018

22 Business Case Examples – Case 4
Case Example Four: Post-Operational Management of a large not-for-profit hospital planned to replace all existing soiled linen and trash collection receptacles with new containers of a single size and shape. This provided an opportunity for the risk management authority responsible for the safety and health of workers to explore alternative trash bags with the goal of reducing occupational injury and illnesses associated with lifting and carrying bags containing linen and trash. 9/21/2018

23 Business Case Examples – Case 4
Case Example Four: Post-Operational The decision was to evaluate the ergonomic advantages of Litelift™ ergonomic bags compared to the current bags being used in linen collection and disposal. Litelift™ bags are specially designed with a handle in the bottom of the bag, and as the employees tie the top of the bag the tie becomes a second handle. Use of two handles allows the carriers to balance the load while lifting and carrying. 9/21/2018

24 Business Case Examples – Case 4
Case Example Four: Post-Operational The risk assessment of the conventional linen bags began with the description of the following work process, illustrated in Figures 19.6 and 19.7. Potential Back Injuries Figure 19.6 Current process for the collection through disposal of soiled linen Figure 19.7 Hazards and their potential effects recorded 9/21/2018

25 Business Case Examples – Case 4
Case Example Four: Post-Operational With the hazards identified, the next step involved determining the risk factor (RF) for each of the three potential effects. RF in this case is the number resulting from multiplying the probability of the potential effect occurring by a number used to measure the severity of the expected loss in case of the occurrence of the potential effect. The risk to human health is not the only risk associated with workplace hazards. The risk to the continuity of business operations should also be considered. A similar risk assessment matrix was utilized to estimate that risk. Figures 19.8 and 19.9 present the risk assessment results for both types of risk (Next Slide). 9/21/2018

26 Business Case Examples – Case 4
Case Example Four: Post-Operational Figure Risk of health effects is determined and entered in H&S RAM Figure Risk of business continuity loss is determined and entered in B RAM 9/21/2018

27 Business Case Examples – Case 4
Case Example Four: Post-Operational To present a 30,000 ft. view of the current state, hazards and consequences are then presented utilizing a modified Bow-Tie risk assessment methodology shown in Figure The RF numbers are transferred to the modified Bow- Tie risk assessment diagram. 9/21/2018 Figure Modified Bow-Tie diagram Provides Overview

28 Business Case Examples – Case 4
Case Example Four: Post-Operational As was the case in recording the hazards associated with the current process, consideration of PtD concepts, including the hierarchy of controls, should be discussed and documented even though the solution had already been selected. Figure PtD Hierarchy of Controls helps select the “best” solution 9/21/2018

29 Business Case Examples – Case 4
Case Example Four: Post-Operational With the solution being agreed upon, the project continued with a pilot test using the Litelift™ to lift, carry, and dispose of soiled linens. Hazards and consequences for the new bags are presented utilizing a modified Bow-Tie risk assessment methodology again shown in Figure 9/21/2018 Figure Modified Bow-Tie diagram overview of “new” risk assessment associated with the solution

30 Business Case Examples – Case 4
Case Example Four: Post-Operational Calculating the residual risk and risk reduction scores was the final step in the risk assessment. The calculations showed a 37% risk reduction. The results of this analysis are presented in Figure below. However, management acceptance of a PtD solution is not always based on RA alone. As a result the more detailed financial/non-financial analysis is often necessary. Figure Risk reduction recorded in the Tool 9/21/2018

31 Business Case Examples – Case 4
Case Example Four: Post-Operational Completion of the pilot test and the risk assessment portion found in the Tool led to numerous recommendations. It was determined by the team that smaller sized bags would better control the weight of the bag. It was also determined that the unique handle on the lower end of the bag allows lifting with two hands and equal weight distribution. Modification of the training to include two handed lifting techniques using the Litelift™ bags to further reduce the risk of injury or illness was also considered. 9/21/2018

32 Conclusion SH&E professionals agree that hazard identification and risk assessment are critical to protecting the worker. Insuring that the best outcomes for the health and safety of workers requires attention to selecting appropriate solutions, such as those grounded in Prevention through Design concepts. Demonstrating the business value that a solution contributes can be challenging for SH&E professionals who do not have the expertise or experience in such efforts. They must learn the world of business and “corporate speak,” and make the case to executive management that SH&E solutions, activities, and programs are not only necessary, they’re good business investments. 9/21/2018

33 "In God we trust, all others bring data." William Edwards Deming
Conclusion (Cont.) Whether you have a large corporate program, a small department, or single SH&E professional or technician, the Business Case Development Tool makes deriving the Business Case a simple, logical, and easy-to-understand the connection between risk assessment and the bottom line—financial or non-financial. "In God we trust, all others bring data." William Edwards Deming  9/21/2018


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