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FY 2014 Budget Review & FY 2015 Budget oUTlook
Business March 19, 2014
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Budget Review & Outlook
WSU funding situation: High cost structure (faculty salaries are on par with peer research universities) Low tuition rates (tuition rates are on par with regional Michigan universities) State support has decreased (FY 2002 $240 M; FY 2013 $183 M) Decreases in General Fund fund balances over last several years WSU has relied on enrollment growth and tuition increases to balance the budget from FY 2001 to FY 2010 FY 2001 to FY 2010: fall credit hours increased by 52,138 over this time or 1.8% per year on average; in addition, tuition rates increased by 8.3% on average Recently enrollment has declined and tuition restraint has prevented substantial tuition increases FY 2010 to FY 2014: fall credit hours decreased by 22,355 over this time or -2.4% per year on average; in addition, tuition rates increased by 4.9% on avg. FY 2015 & FY 2016: fall credit hours continue to decline; tuition rates expected to be approximately 3.2% or less. Projected future decline in Research funding will have negative impact on General Fund budget Governors’ FY 2105 Higher Education proposed budget for WSU includes: State Appropriation increase of $7.3 M, which is a 1.3% over total general fund budget Tuition restraint of 3.2% for undergraduate resident students All incremental State Appropriations are conditional upon meeting requirement of tuition restraint
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Enrollment Trends Credit Hours: fall 2000 to fall 2015
Projections Credit Hours production are at approximately same levels as fall 2002 Faculty headcount has increased by 8% since fall 2002
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Total Research & Development Expenditures
$ in Millions Proj. Total R & D expenditures are projected to decrease because of Federal Grants & Contracts funding reduction ICR Revenues $ in Millions Current ICR projections are: FY 2014 = $31 M; FY 2015 = $29 M FY 2015 projected ICR revenues are 25% below FY 2012 levels Proj. Proj.
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Financial Aid Budget Changes
($000) Institutional Financial Aid increased by 38% or $17 M from FY 2010 to FY 2014 Need-based aid grew by 139% during this time The $17 M increase accounts for 52% of the total expenditures increases at WSU since FY 2010 For FY 2015 & FY 2016, it is assumed that the financial aid budgets will increase at the rate of tuition
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FY 2015 State Higher Education Budget
Total MPU increase of 6.1% or $76.9 M WSU Allocation was $7.3 M or 4.0% Base Restoration $5.8 M Performance Funding $1.5 M Undergrad Critical Skills Awarded $378 k—22% of funding Research Expenditures $509 k—11% of funding Metrics Compared to Peers $652k—67% of funding Six Year Graduation Rate Total Degree Completion (includes graduate degrees) Inst. Support as % of Core Expenditures Student Receiving a Pell Grant Impact on Total General Fund Budget Total General Fund Budget = $576.5 M State allocation of $7.3 M equates to 1.3% increase on total budget Requirements to receive any incremental funding: Resident undergraduate tuition increase below 3.2% WSU Suggested Improvements for Metrics Incorporating Pell Grant data Revising Peers List Larger weight in improvement
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Enrollment Update--YTD
Review FY 2015 & FY 2016 Assumptions Revenue Assumptions State Appropriations FY 2015 = 4.0% FY 2016 = 3.0% Tuition & Fees Rate increase of 2.9% for both years (and all programs) Enrollment Changes FY 2015 = -2.6% FY 2016 = -1.5% Indirect Cost Recovery FY % decrease or $4 M FY Stable Investment Income FY 2015—decrease of $1 M FY 2016—at FY 2015 levels Expenditure Assumptions Compensation: Academic= 2.5% Non-Academic = 2.0% Utilities MBRB = $1.1 M ATEC = $0.3 M Fringes FY 2015 = 4.0% FY 2016 = 4.0% Additional initiatives: FY 2015 Campaign $1.5 M Retention $0.5 M Debt Service $0.3 M MBRB $TBD FY 2016 Debt Service $1.3 M
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Enrollment Update--YTD
Preliminary FY 2015 & FY 2016 Budget Outlook
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POTENTIAL REDUCTIONS CONCEPTS
Budget reductions for Schools/ Colleges will not allocated ATB Metrics will be used to determine allocations President and Provost will also determine changes in budgets Potential Metrics to be used Enrollment changes Research productivity Philanthropy Degrees awarded Retention Profitability Community Engagement
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Metric Analysis Enrollment Metric (4x) Research Metric (2x)
Fall 2010 to Fall 2014 (projection) 50% weighted on where course was offered 50% weighted on student major Research Metric (2x) Research Awards per FT Faculty Member FY 2010 base year compared to three year average FY 2011 to FY 2013 Philanthropy (2x) Retention (1x) FTIAC retention where appropriate Fall 2009 base compared to three year average Degrees Awarded (2x) Undergraduate, Graduate and Professional Degrees considered Profitability (2x) Only direct revenues and expenses considered (State Appropriations and overhead not included) “Profit Generator”—considered if School / College was a profit maker “Margin Changes”---recognizes Schools / College where financial position has improved Community Engagement (1x) Changes in number of students served in “Out of Classroom Learning Experiences All scoring was typically compared to Total University averages
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Undergrad Change = -10%; Graduate Change = -42%
Business Total Enrollment Faculty & Staff Undergrad Change = -10%; Graduate Change = -42% Total Change = -20% FT Faculty Change = -16% FT Staff Change = 3%
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Accounting Fall 2009 to Fall 2013 Undergrad Change = -1.7%;
Total Change = -0.9%
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Business & Finance Fall 2010 to Fall 2013 Undergrad Change = -11.1%
Total Change = -26.6%
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Marketing & Supply Chain Mgmt.
Fall 2010 to Fall 2013 Undergrad Change = 19.1%; Grad Change = N/A% Total Change = 19.1%
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Mgmt. & Information Systems
Fall 2010 to Fall 2013 Undergrad Change = -18.4%; Grad Change = N/A% Total Change = -18.4%
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Profitability
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FY 2015 Budget Outlook Concerns Positives
Impact of tuition increase above restraint levels Enrollment & ICR concerns Additional costs (debt service; capital campaign, etc.) Positives New leadership Facility improvements MBRB, Macomb, Student Center, Labs Fund Raising at record levels Development of new programs and partnerships OCC Partnership with Nursing; Schoolcraft partnership Retention and Recruitment Strategies Diversification of financial aid
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