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Winston Churchill High School
Inflation AP Macroeconomics David Mayer Winston Churchill High School North East ISD San Antonio, TX ]
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Inflation… what is it? An increase in the economy’s price level
The price level is the weighted average of prices A decrease in money’s purchasing power
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What causes inflation 2 immediate causes (what starts it)
Demand-pull Cost-push Ultimate cause (what sustains it) Too much money chasing too few goods This can lead to hyperinflation The wage-price spiral
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How’s inflation measured
Consumer Price Index (CPI) Used to measure consumer inflation Market basket approach Quick, efficient Ignores consumer substitution, quality changes GDP deflator Measures entire economy’s inflation Includes everything Used to deflate nominal gdp
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2 ways inflation is reported
CPI Headline inflation Includes entire CPI market basket CPI Core inflation Excludes food and energy because they are volatile
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Who does inflation effect?
Everybody Who wins? Those with large debt Those who borrowed at low fixed interest rates Those who make fixed payments Who loses? Those with large cash savings Those who lent at low fixed interest rates Those receiving fixed payments
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Expectations Expecting inflation causes inflation
Consumers demand more Producers supply less The role of the central bank Control actual inflation by controlling expected inflation The importance of credibility
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Disinflation and Deflation
Decrease in the inflation rate Going from 7% inflation to 2% inflation Disinflation is good for the economy Referred to as price stability Deflation Negative inflation rate prices falling Deflation is bad for the economy Creates perverse incentive to delay spending on durable goods and capital investments
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