1. Managing Democracy Elections in Iran
As a hook show a few of the music videos of Goodluck Jonathan (ones for the different tribes) Ask the kids – why is music so important to a campaign? (The vote using pictures/stamps – 75% males/60% of females are literate in Nigeria/50% live in extreme poverty only 20% have access to clean water)
Neither country is a substantive democracy; procedural? Not yet.
Nigeria: – about 80% voter turnout; 2011 just over 53% - very hard to examine data because there is so much fraud and intimidation
Iran: % - again lots of fraud
Elections in
Iran

2. Managing Democracy: Iran RELATED VOCABULARY:
Electoral Role of the Guardian Council
Jurist’s Guardianship
Equality with Difference
Theocratic Democracy
Elite Recruitment
Guardian Council: Must approve the candidates; “quasi veto” over any legislation

3. Managing Democracy: Iran
Supreme Leader: “Super-Supreme Leader” Head of State – but he does not travel outside of Iran; rarely talks in public (President Head of Gov’t)
Assembly if Religious Experts always has a running of list of candidates for the job; “supervise” the SL (can technically remove the SL)
Layers, and layers to make sure everything is in accordance with Islamic Law

4. SMD- MMD Combo, 25% min Islamic Consultative Assembly: Majlis
Since 2007, 207 Electoral Districts (202 have Muslim majorities)
Emphasized that this is a CONSULTATIVE legislative body (like the Russian Duma)
To Run:
Master’s Degree
Pledge loyalty to Islamic Republic
“Pious” practicing Muslim
No “notorious” reputation
In good health; years old
Islamic Consultative Assembly:
Majlis

5. +5 Seats for “Recognized Religious Minorities”
Managing
Democracy: Iran
+5 Seats for “Recognized Religious Minorities”
Majlis: Fluid Parties = Broad Coalitions
Broad Coalitions,
2000
Conservatives 54
Reformists 189
Independents 42
2004
Conservatives 156
Reformists 39
Independents 31
2008
Conservatives 195
Reformists 51
Independents 39
2012 [Round 1 only]
Conservatives 143
Reformists 59
Independents 9
In 2000 = 80% turnout
2004 – 5400 candidates – 2500 DQ’d (including 80 sitting MP’s – not pious enough; or vocal against the SL) 4x as many as 2000
- turnout down to 50-55%
2008 – 2000 DQ’d of 4500 (90% of those were reformists)
2012 – 5400 candidates (2000 DQ’d – supports of Pres Ahmad & reformists)
Turnout ??? The government claimed is was very high 90 minutes after the voting started on March 2

6. +5 Seats for “Recognized Religious Minorities”
Managing
Democracy: Iran
+5 Seats for “Recognized Religious Minorities”
Majlis: Fluid Parties = Broad Coalitions
Broad Coalitions,
2012 [Round 1]
Conservatives 143
Reformists 59
Independents 9
2012 [Round 2 (65 seats)]
Conservatives (Anti-Prez) 41
Conservatives (Pro-Prez) 13
Independents 11
TOTAL: Conservatives 197
Independents 20
Reformers 59
In 2000 = 80% turnout
2004 – 5400 candidates – 2500 DQ’d (including 80 sitting MP’s – not pious enough; or vocal against the SL) 4x as many as 2000
- turnout down to 50-55%
2008 – 2000 DQ’d of 4500 (90% of those were reformists)
2012 – 5400 candidates (2000 DQ’d – supports of Pres Ahmad & reformists)
Turnout ??? The government claimed is was very high 90 minutes after the voting started on March 2

7. Managing Democracy: Iran

8. Managing Democracy: Iran 2013 Presidential Elections June 14th, 2013
24 Possible Candidates
The Guardian Council is not finished vetting the candidates
Will Esfandiar Rahim Mashaei run?(Ahmadinejad’s chief of staff) Are they playing the Putin-Medvedev musical chairs game?
Predicted to be a very close election…
In 2000 = 80% turnout
2004 – 5400 candidates – 2500 DQ’d (including 80 sitting MP’s – not pious enough; or vocal against the SL) 4x as many as 2000
- turnout down to 50-55%
2008 – 2000 DQ’d of 4500 (90% of those were reformists)
2012 – 5400 candidates (2000 DQ’d – supports of Pres Ahmad & reformists)
Turnout ??? The government claimed is was very high 90 minutes after the voting started on March 2

9. 2005 Presidential Election 2009 Presidential Election
Managing
Democracy: Iran
2005 Presidential Election
Rafsanjani: Rd 1 21%, Rd 35.9%
Ahmadinejad: Rd %, Rd %
2009 Presidential Election
Ahmadinejad: Rd %
Mousavi: Rd %
Cracks in
the system?
2009
Green
Movement
2005 Ahmadinejad was preferred by the SL (allegations of fraud) promised to fight for right to have Nuclear power; $$ to the poor, stand strong against the US (total of 5 candidates)
2009 Mousavi color was green (still on house arrest today)
Gov’t announced winner 2 hours after the polls closed
Widespread fraud – 2 districts had over 100% turnout! If the results were accurate Ahmadinejad would have had to won 45% of the Reformist vote to achieve the results
Prostests started the next day June 13th, 2009
Gov’t crackdown – detained oaver allegation of rape, torture – several died in prison
Gov’t censorship of the media
Shut down all cell towers, the internet/twitter
Created a “Cyber Police” in 2009 – 250,000 employees to police the internet – China has 50,000
Neda Soltani died during the demonstrations – that is in the Hauss book

10. Managing
Democracy: Iran
Cracks in
the system?
2009
Green
Revolution

11. Managing Democracy: Iran Neda Soltani
The Death of Neda Sholtani – 26yr old girl shot in the face while talking on her cell phone – images/footage all over youtube within minutes – the face of the movement
Read
Neda Soltani

12. Death in Tehran