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The Future of Transit and Autonomous Vehicle Technology

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Presentation on theme: "The Future of Transit and Autonomous Vehicle Technology"— Presentation transcript:

1 The Future of Transit and Autonomous Vehicle Technology
APTA Emerging Leaders Program May 2018

2 APTA Emerging Leaders Program – Team 3
Nick Davidson Transportation Planning Manager Stark Area RTA - Canton, OH Nick Biggar Hayden District Director Greater Cleveland RTA Christina Arthur Traffic Planning Manager Chicago Transit Authority Carly Shapiro, AICP Planner IV HNTB - Detroit, MI

3 Automation Levels Level Features Market No Automation No autonomy
No Automation No autonomy Most cars 1 Driver Assistance Night vision Blind spot detection Surround view parking Around 20,000 cars 2 Partial Automation Steering Acceleration Braking in highway conditions Avoiding collision impacts Luxury cars 3 Conditional Automation Cameras Radar Lidar Possibly in 5 years 4 High Automation Artificial intelligence is capable of handling most functions, but may require human assistance 5 Full Automation Artificial intelligence is capable of handling all driving functions 10 or more years Source: Beede, David, et al. “The Employment Impact of Autonomous Vehicles.” U.S. Department of Commerce Economics and Statistics Administration Office of the Chief Economist, vol. 05, no. 17, 11 Aug. 2017

4 Why Autonomous Vehicles?
Automobiles are parked 95% of the time1 Eliminate most critical cause of crashes2 94% of crashes are due to driver2 2% vehicle equipment, 2% environment, 2% unknown 1.25 million vehicle related deaths annually3 1,175,000 deaths potentially prevented Source: “Want to Know Why Uber and Automation Really Matter? Here's Your Answer.” Fortune, fortune.com/2016/03/13/cars-parked-95-percent-of-time/. “Critical Reasons for Crashes Investigated in the National Motor Vehicle Crash Causation Survey.” Traffic Safety Facts, USDOT, Feb. 2015, crashstats.nhtsa.dot.gov/Api/Public/ViewPublication/ “Global Status Report on Road Safety 2015.” World Health Organization, World Health Organization, 2015,

5 Impact of Autonomous Vehicles
Crash Fatalities in the USA Fatal Crashes Fatalities 2016 34,439 37,461 2015 32,539 35,485 2014 30,056 32,744 Economic and Comprehensive Costs (in Billions) to Society by Type of Crash Crash type Economic Cost Comprehensive Cost All $242 $836 Alcohol-Impaired $44 $201 Speeding $52 $203 Ohio Turnpike spent $1 Million on guardrail repair alone (241 Roadway miles) Efficiency (Resource utilization issue) Health and Safety Issue Economic Issue Source: “Automated Vehicles for Safety.” Automated Vehicles for Safety, National Highway Traffic Safety Administration, 12 Sept. 2017,

6 Narrowing Our Scope

7 Case Studies SMART City: Columbus, OH Keolis: Shuttle in Las Vegas, NV
$40M grant from USDOT SMART city challenge June 2016 Connected Vehicles: traffic light preemption, transit priority, pedestrian detection Keolis: Shuttle in Las Vegas, NV Fully autonomous pilot program Operates 7 hours/day, carries 8 passengers, 250 boardings/day

8 Safety and Security Fare enforcement Perception of personal security
Collisions/Vehicle Safety Passenger Injuries/Emergencies Vehicle Breakdowns Hacking/Terrorism

9 Infrastructure America’s Roads - Grade D (ASCE) Costs Benefits
Sensors and cameras - $50k per mile Resurfacing and pavement markings - $1M per mile Benefits Transit Roadway Other

10 Accessibility 18.7% of Americans have a disability1
Vehicle/Device interaction Door-to-door path Paratransit dependence to independence 18.7% of Americans have a disability Source: 1. United States, Congress, Economics and Statistics Administration, and Matthew Brault. “Americans With Disabilities: ” Americans With Disabilities: 2010 , 2012.

11 Vehicle Functionality
Retrofitting and brand new vehicles Smaller vehicles Increased efficiency and sustainability Forward/backward movements Vehicle miles travelled will increase Technology on board Location and live updates Procuring vehicles now that will need to last into the era of autonomous technology How to retrofit the existing fleet so that it is ready for the flip of the switch. Also thinking about how new vehicles will impact how we operate. Smaller vehicles- Fleets are right-size- fleets are used effectively and there are no more empty buses. Technology on board Location and live updates -More predictable travel times Coordination with other transportation platforms - trip planning is integrated Increase use of public transportation and ride-share platforms Fare payment will be electronic

12 Did you know… “In 2015, 15.5 million U.S. workers were employed in occupations that could be affected (to varying degrees) by the introduction of automated vehicles. This represents about one in nine workers.” Source: Beede, David, et al. “The Employment Impact of Autonomous Vehicles.” U.S. Department of Commerce Economics and Statistics Administration Office of the Chief Economist, vol. 05, no. 17, 11 Aug. 2017

13 Workforce Impacts Elevator operator vs. ticket agent
Leadership Maintenance Planning Operations Elevator operator vs. ticket agent New technical skills and retraining Mechanical, operations, technology, dispatch, road supervisors, bus operators etc. Labor unions Partnering opportunities Fewer accidents means fewer repairs Operations - drivers will no longer be responsible for driving - they will have a new role - assisting with fares, destination/transfer information, serving as back-up in case of issues handle unforeseen circumstances New technologies - dispatch and repair Change in scheduling - reduction in dead head Partnering opportunities New technical program Public private partnerships make services complementary instead of competing leverage advancements of the private sector

14 Next Steps Legislation/Policy Scalable Implementation
22 states have passed legislation, 9 Governors issued executive orders Scalable Implementation Controlled guideways Airport Shuttles Campus Shuttles Utilizing existing infrastructure JTA – Skyway The technology is coming – you can be a driver of it or get driven over by it We drive what this will look like Creating partnerships

15 Autonomous Technology and Your Agency
What is the vision for AV and transit mobility in your city? Have you begun conversations with policy makers? Have you talked to your labor union?


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