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Institute for Human Development
Globalizing India Dev Nathan Institute for Human Development New Delhi Duke University, USA
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Why Economic Growth? For itself? As means to human development?
Two measures Economic development – GDP or GDP per capita Human development – HDI Is there a relation between GDP (GNI) and HDI?
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HDI Three components of HDI Income Educational attainment
Health /nutrition status Is there a relation between income (GDP) and human development (HDI)? As component As instrumental variable
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GNI and HDI Low HDI – Avg. 0.456 Medium HDI – Avg. 0.630
High elasticity of HDI with respect to GNI (>1) Medium HDI – Avg Medium elasticity (0.75 to < 1) High HDI – Avg Low elasticity (between 0.50 to 0.75) Very High HDI – Avg Very low elasticity
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HDI of Regions Arab States - 0.641 East Asia and the Pacific - 0.671
Europe and Central Asia LA and C South Asia Sub-Saharan Africa LDCs
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Does we need economic growth for human development?
Distinguish between countries at different HDI levels Need for growth falls with increase in HDI Our need for growth as instrumental to human development is different from the need of capital to grow
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Structure of world economy
Developing economies – middle to low income, including emerging economies Developed economies – high income Asia, Africa and Latin America Market of about $12 trillion, or 36 percent of global gross domestic product in 2012, up from 10 percent in 1980
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Projected Income for India by OECD
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Size of economies GDP - per capita income and population size
With population more than thrice that of USA, at one-third the per capita income, the Chinese and Indian economies will be larger than that of the US In PPP terms even earlier
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Growing Openness of the Indian Economy?
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Key External Debt Indicators
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India: Poverty Ratio among Social Groups, 1993-94, 2004-05 and projected to 2015-16
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