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Materials Yao-Yu Liu.

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Presentation on theme: "Materials Yao-Yu Liu."— Presentation transcript:

1 Materials Yao-Yu Liu

2 Overview

3 Overview

4 Overview Materials vs S&P 500 YTD

5 Recommendation Stock Current Price Target Price Weight Rebalance
Mosaic Co. (MOS) $23.76 $26.60 1.75% -1.00% HOLD/SELL Crown Holdings Inc. (CCK) $59.76 $70.85 1.48% -0.48% Huntsman Corp. (HUN) $30.98 $42.24 0% +1.25% BUY 3.00% Keep S&P Weight

6 Mosaic International leader in producing and marketing concentrated phosphate and potash Products include fertilizers and other finished phosphate products 3 Segments: Phosphates, Potash, and International Distribution

7 Mosaic Drivers Successful integration into emerging markets
Weak dollar Increased demand due to steady population growth

8 Mosaic Risks Instability of currencies in emerging markets
Strong dollar Decrease in commodities prices Government regulation (environmental)

9 Mosaic Relative Valuation

10 Mosaic Target Price Discount Rate: 11% Growth Rate: 4.5%
Current Price: $23.76 Upside Potential: 12%

11 Crown Holdings Inc. Global leader in design, manufacturer, and sale of packaging products Products include steel and aluminum cans for food 3 Areas of Operation: Asia Pacific, Americas, and Europe

12 Crown Holdings Inc. Drivers Development of new facilities
Steady demand Presence in emerging markets strong

13 Crown Holdings Inc. Risks Exchange rate exposure high
High debt of $7.1B compared to revenue of $8B Increase in commodities prices

14 Crown Holdings Inc. Relative Valuation

15 Crown Holdings Inc. Target Price Discount Rate: 11% Growth Rate: 4%
Current Price: $59.76 Upside Potential: 18.60%

16 Huntsman Corp. Multinational manufacturer of differentiated organic and inorganic chemical products. Products include adhesives and polyurethanes 4 Segments: Performance Products, Advanced Materials, Textile Effects, and Polyurethanes.

17 Huntsman Corp. Drivers Increased growth and demand for Polyurethane segment Advanced materials growing rapidly due to advancements in tech Reduction in its debt holdings 3.4x to 2.2x (Debt/EBITDA 2016 to 2017)

18 Huntsman Corp. Risks Cyclical nature makes it dependent on global economic conditions Government regulation (environmental) Exchange rate risk

19 Huntsman Corp. Relative Valuation

20 Huntsman Corp. Target Price Discount Rate: 11% Growth Rate: 4%
Current Price: $30.97 Upside Potential: 36%

21 Mosaic Co. DCF Source: Analyst DCF

22 Crown Holdings Inc. DCF Source: Analyst DCF

23 Source: Bloomberg XLTP DCF
Huntsman Corp. DCF Source: Bloomberg XLTP DCF

24 Overview Q & A


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