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Update presentation for OMHRA April 12, 2018
Comprehensive Plan Review Update presentation for OMHRA April 12, 2018
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Today’s agenda Welcome and introductions 2017 Financial Highlights
OMERS in a changing world The Comprehensive Plan Review Your thoughts: an interactive exercise Open discussion Comprehensive Plan Review
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11.5% Net Return 94% Funded $95B Net Assets 2016 HIGHLIGHTS
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Net assets $ billion Comprehensive Plan Review
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6.2% $5.7B 6.0% $5.4B Discount Deficit rate Positive trends 2016 2017
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Our funded status Percentage funded Year Comprehensive Plan Review
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OMERS in changing world
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Looking ahead We are obviously pleased with the short-term results
Mindful of the challenges and risks that lie ahead Based on its formal mandate, the SC Board voted unanimously in to launch a Comprehensive Plan Review A matter of prudent management and good governance A tangible extension of OMERS legacy of innovation and change An opportunity to rethink the Plan in response to realities that are largely beyond our immediate control Comprehensive Plan Review
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Plan maturity With fewer contributing members to make up for potential investment losses, the Plan will become more vulnerable to economic downturns 2030+ 1:1 Comprehensive Plan Review
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Longevity When people collect pensions for longer periods, the result is increased Plan liabilities and, by extension, higher Plan costs Years beyond age 65 Comprehensive Plan Review
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Active Membership Growth in 25 Years
Workforce trends Any decline in membership intensifies our maturity challenges – and makes the Plan even more susceptible to economic shocks Active Membership Growth in 25 Years Baseline Good Bad Ugly Comprehensive Plan Review
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Economic factors We are highly dependent on future investment income
Our funded position We are highly dependent on future investment income The strong investment returns of recent years are going to be difficult to match in the future Particularly as the world’s population ages What we owe (eventually) Its Economic Value (risk-free) Our Funding Target Comprehensive Plan Review
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CPP Enhancements Total contributions CPP enhancement will increase costs and benefits for both members and employers We need to consider how our Plan should adjust to this reality, if at all Comprehensive Plan Review
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The comprehensive plan review
Two key questions emerge as we look to and beyond: Can OMERS current benefit and contribution levels be sustained (improved) over the longer term? Regardless, is there a better and more equitable way to deliver the pension promise in a changing world? Comprehensive Plan Review
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The opportunity & Obligation
Model the Plan’s long-term financial health Assess what members, unions, employers and sponsors really want and need from the OMERS Plan, today and in the future Consider a range of design options within an identified cost range Determine what, if any, potential benefit changes warrant consideration Comprehensive Plan Review
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Our ultimate goal Ensure that the Plan remains sustainable, meaningful (relevant) and affordable for generations to come Comprehensive Plan Review
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The Comprehensive Plan Review
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Discount rates across the country
Real Rate of Return Inflation Discount Rate Active:Inactive Ratio Real Risk-Free 0.30% 2.00% 2.30% OTPP 2.75% 4.80% 0.89 LAPP 3.25% 5.25% 1.65 OP Trust 3.40% 5.40% 0.96 HOOPP 3.45% 5.45% 1.73 Win. Civic Emp. PP 3.50% 5.50% 1.13 Win. Police 1.00 NLTPP 2.50% 6.00% 1.75 BCMPP 6.25% 1.50 CAAT 3.60% 5.60% 0.43 OPB 3.70% 5.70% 1.51 NL PSPP 3.75% 2.25% 0.95 NS Teachers 4.15% 6.15% NSPSSP 0.68 OMERS 4.20% 6.20% 0.94 HRM 4.30% 2.10% 6.40% 1.20 Real Rate of Return Comprehensive Plan Review
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Discount rates (2016): Major Ontario plans
According to the 2020 strategy, OMERS intends to reduce the discount rate to 5.75% by 2025 (or sooner) Active: Inactive Ratio 0.89 0.96 1.73 1.51 0.94 Comprehensive Plan Review
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Considering the impact
6.0% 17.4% 4.8% 22.5% Comprehensive Plan Review
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Comprehensive Plan Review
Defining “sustainability” Consistently deliver – through both favourable and adverse circumstances – an appropriate range of benefits within an acceptable range of costs and across generations Guiding principles Secure Relevant Affordable Equitable Simple The design challenge Balance the “appropriate range of benefits” with the “appropriate range of costs” – without favouring one generation over another Our fundamental objective is to ensure that the Plan remains viable – and valued by its many constituents – over the next 20, 50, and even 100 years. Comprehensive Plan Review
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The formula for success
1. DB Model Certainty 2. Core benefits (fixed) Security 3. Levers (conditional) Flexibility 4. Funding Management Strategy Objectivity Sustainability Comprehensive Plan Review
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bookends for modeling purposes
Current plan provisions Best average formula Stepped accrual rate (CPP integration) Optional participation for “qualifying” non-full-time members Enhanced early retirement provisions Complex earnings definition Guaranteed indexing in retirement Pre-retirement indexing Subsidized spousal benefits, but limited optional forms Service cap Disability pension Proposed baseline options Career average formula (with updates) Flat accrual rate (no CPP integration) Mandatory participation for “qualifying” non-full-time members No enhanced early retirement provisions Simplified earnings definition Conditional indexing in retirement No pre-retirement indexing No subsidized spousal benefits, but additional optional forms No service cap No disability pension Other options & considerations Using the current plan as a starting point, the proposed “baseline” provisions serve to define the range of potential options (limits) for modeling purposes Comprehensive Plan Review
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Design options for consideration
Projected reduction in contribution rate resulting from the change Options to include conditional enhancements Comprehensive Plan Review
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The engagement cycle – three phases
Phase 1 – Sponsors March – April Phase 2 – Influencers (April – May) Phase 3 – Members May – June 1. Sponsors* SC Board 3. Members (active & retired) 2. Influencers (employers & unions) *Includes other key stakeholders Comprehensive Plan Review
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Your thoughts: an interactive exercise
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Getting started To respond via text message
Text omerssc to to join the session Text your response to each question – A, B, C… To respond via the internet Go to: The first poll will be on your screen Simply respond to each question Comprehensive Plan Review
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I support the comprehensive plan review:
Strongly disagree Disagree Agree Strongly agree Don’t know Comprehensive Plan Review
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Given the option, My employees would prefer to:
Contribute more to maintain the current OMERS Plan Keep contributions at current levels, but reduce benefits Design a revised Plan that better balances benefit and contribution levels Don’t know Other Comprehensive Plan Review
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Looking forward, what is your biggest people / talent challenge?
Attraction of key talent Retention of key talent Positive churn of key talent (“presenteeism”) Growth of part-time employment Expansion of the gig economy Outsourcing/privatization of core work/services Other Comprehensive Plan Review
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From a pension perspective, How do you expect employees to behave in the future?
Take full advantage of early retirement subsidies Delay retirement beyond their earliest unreduced retirement date Delay retirement beyond age 65 Don’t know Other Comprehensive Plan Review
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which of the following “conditional” provisions would you support:
Conditional indexing Career average formula Variable contribution rates All of the above None of the above Other Comprehensive Plan Review
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Given the pending introduction of an enhanced CPP, OMERS Should:
Retain the current integrated formula (no change) Adopt an updated integrated formula (that reflects increased CPP contributions and benefits) Adopt a flat-rate pension formula (de-integrate from CPP), but retain a bridge benefit Adopt a flat-rate pension formula (de-integrate from CPP) with no bridge Don’t know Comprehensive Plan Review
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OMERs should extend mandatory participation to part-time members:
No; participation should be left to individual employers No, but enhance communication to employers and members to ensure both understand their options/obligations Yes, regardless of employment status/income Yes, but only for employees earning above a defined minimum (e.g., $20,000 annually) Yes, but permit an “opt out” for employees earning less than a defined minimum Answers 4 and 5 combined Don’t know Comprehensive Plan Review
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What other changes/ideas should we consider
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Open discussion
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