1. Water Year 2013: Current Conditions and Early Season Outlook in the Colorado River Basin CRFS November 14, 2012

2. Water Year 2013: Entering the Season (what we know now): Coming off one of worst runoff years - Soil Moisture (not good) - Baseflow (not good) ENSO Neutral Conditions (no help) October: Another dry month - Upper Green River Basin near normal November: Not great so far…

3. CBRFC Model Soil Moisture 11/1/12 USGS Monthly Average Streamflow October 2012 (includes regulated flows)

4. Base flows East River at Almont, CO Animas River at Durango, CO Yampa River at Steamboat Springs, CO Green at Warren Bridge, WY

5. Regulated Flows Forecast Volumes

6. ENSO Neutral Sources: cpc.ncep.noaa.gov and iri.columbia.edu/climate/ENSO

7. CPC Forecasts (10/18)

9. Nov. 13, 2012 5 Day Precipitation Total Gage/Radar Mosaic Nov. 13, 2012 7 Day Precipitation Percent Normal

10. November 13, 2012

11. % Current Average % Seasonal Peak Upper Green727 Yampa/White587 Duchesne11315 Upper Colorado547 Gunnison588 Dolores637 San Juan7010

12. November Precipitation Forecasts

13. Early Season ESP