1. Inside the 2018 Wyoming Workforce Annual Report
Presented by Michael Moore, Editor Research & Planning, Wyoming Department of Workforce Services
Presented at the 2018 Safety & Workforce Summit, Cheyenne, Wyoming, June 20, 2018

2. Research & Planning http://doe.state.wy.us/LMI
OUR ORGANIZATION:
R&P is an exclusively statistical entity within the Wyoming Department of Workforce Services.
WHAT WE DO:
R&P collects, analyzes, and publishes timely and accurate labor market information (LMI) meeting established statistical standards.
OUR CUSTOMERS:
LMI makes the labor market more efficient by providing the public and the public’s representatives with the basis for informed decision making.
Inside the 2018 Wyoming Workforce Annual Report | Research & Planning, Wyoming DWS

3. Labor Market InformationES
"Labor Market Information (LMI) is an applied science; it is the systematic collection and analysis of data which describes and predicts the relationship between labor demand and supply."  - The States' Labor Market Information Review, ICESA, 1995, p. 7.
Different programs and datasets provide insight into different aspects of Wyoming’s labor market and economy:
Quarterly Census of Employment and Wages (QCEW) provides a count the number of jobs worked
Local Area Unemployment Statistics (LAUS) estimates represent the number of persons employed and unemployed
Wage records provide insight into the labor market – demographics, earnings, hours worked, number of employers, etc.
Inside the 2018 Wyoming Workforce Annual Report | Research & Planning, Wyoming DWS

4. Usually distributed at the Workforce & Safety Summit
Wyoming Workforce Annual Report 2018 ES
Published each year
Usually distributed at the Workforce & Safety Summit
Includes information on our regular data in addition to special projects and publications
Past reports available online by clicking on the “Publications” link on our website
Each chapter in the annual report includes a link to where that particular data can be found online.
As we go through this presentation, the first chapters come from our regular data collection so are a little bit heavier. The later chapters focus more on special research and are shorter. The three final chapters focus on workplace safety.
Many of the graphics and tables that you’ll see in this presentation are simplified versions of ones that appear in the annual report. Each graphic includes the page number from the annual report, which includes full citations and more detail.
Inside the 2018 Wyoming Workforce Annual Report | Research & Planning, Wyoming DWS

5. Chapter 1: Wyoming Adds Jobs in Late 2017ES
Chapter 1: Wyoming Adds Jobs in Late 2017
This was the most recent data that became available while we were preparing the annual report. The reason we decided to include this information is the over-the-year increase in jobs late in 2017, the first time since early 2015.
Inside the 2018 Wyoming Workforce Annual Report | Research & Planning, Wyoming DWS

6. Moderate job growth in 2017Q4 (less than 1%)
Chapter 1: Wyoming Adds Jobs in Late 2017 ES
Wyoming lost jobs 2015Q2-2017Q3
Moderate job growth in 2017Q4 (less than 1%)
Figure: Over-the-Year Percent Change in Average Monthly Employment in Wyoming and the U.S.,
As you can see in this graphic, Wyoming lost jobs from 2015Q2 to 2017Q3, and then began seeing some moderate job growth beginning in 2017Q4.
The shaded box represents a period of economic downturn, which we will discuss momentarily. .
See page 5
Inside the 2018 Wyoming Workforce Annual Report | Research & Planning, Wyoming DWS

7. Industries with Job Growth, 2016Q3-2017Q3:
Chapter 1: Wyoming Added Jobs in Late 2017 ES
Industries with Job Growth, 2016Q3-2017Q3:
Mining (700 jobs, 3.6%)
Manufacturing (200 jobs, 2.1%)
Financial Activities (110 jobs, 0.9%)
Professional & Business Services (500 jobs, 2.7%)
Leisure & Hospitality (200 jobs, 0.6%)
Source: Current Employment Statistics.
The industries that added jobs in late 2017 were mining, manufacturing, financial activities, professional & business services, and leisure & hospitality.
Inside the 2018 Wyoming Workforce Annual Report | Research & Planning, Wyoming DWS

8. What is an Economic Downturn?
Chapter 1: Wyoming Added Jobs in Late 2017 ES
What is an Economic Downturn?
A period of at least two consecutive quarters with over-the-year decreases in total employment (number of jobs) and total wages.
Two periods of economic downturn in the last 10 years:
Previous downturn: 2009Q1-2010Q1
Most recent downturn: 2015Q2-2016Q4
Research & Planning has defined an economic downturn as a period of at least two consecutive quarters of over-the-year loss of jobs and total wages.
In the last decade, there have been two periods of economic downturn: the previous downturn, from 2009Q1-2010Q1, and the most recent downturn, from 2015Q2-2016Q4.
Inside the 2018 Wyoming Workforce Annual Report | Research & Planning, Wyoming DWS

9. Chapter 2: Some Industries Experience Wage, Job Growth in 2017Q3
This is the longest chapter in the annual report.
Data in this chapter come from the Quarterly Census of Employment and Wages, or QCEW.
Inside the 2018 Wyoming Workforce Annual Report | Research & Planning, Wyoming DWS

10. Previous Economic Downturn Recent Economic Downturn
Chapter 2: Some Industries Experience Wage, Job Growth in 2017Q3 ES
The Differences in Economic Downturns
Previous Economic Downturn
2009Q1-2010Q1
5 quarters
Coal bed methane collapse
Began during national Great Recession
Other states lost jobs too
Recent Economic Downturn
2015Q2-2016Q4
7 quarters
Oil and natural gas prices fell; demand for coal dropped
Surrounding states saw job growth
People could go elsewhere for work
It’s important to understand the differences in the two periods of economic downturn.
Wyoming’s previous economic downturn lasted 5 quarters (2009Q1-2010Q1). In Wyoming in particular, the downturn was heavily influenced by the collapse of coal bed methane. The previous downturn began during the national Great Recession, as other states were losing jobs as well.
By comparison, the most recent economic downturn lasted at least 7 quarters (2015Q2-2016Q4) and was influenced by the decline in oil and gas prices and a huge decrease in the demand for coal. At the same time, other states experienced job growth, so unemployed Wyoming workers could go elsewhere for work.
Inside the 2018 Wyoming Workforce Annual Report | Research & Planning, Wyoming DWS

11. Chapter 2: Some Industries Experience Wage, Job Growth in 2017Q3
Figure: Over-the-Year Percent Change in Average Monthly Employment in the U.S., Colorado, and Wyoming,
2008Q1-2017Q3
This figure illustrates the differences in the two periods of economic downturn.
During the previous downturn, most surrounding states and the U.S. as a whole entered the Great Recession before Wyoming began losing jobs and wages. Other states continued to lose jobs, so unemployed Wyoming workers didn’t really have a lot of other places to go to look for work.
By comparison, during the most recent downturn, all of Wyoming’s surrounding states experienced job growth. In other words, as Wyoming workers lost jobs, they could move to states such as Colorado and Utah to find work.
See page 15
Inside the 2018 Wyoming Workforce Annual Report | Research & Planning, Wyoming DWS

12. Chapter 2: Some Industries Experience Wage, Job Growth in 2017Q3
Figure: Over-the-Year Percent Change in Average Monthly Employment and Total Wages for Wyoming, 2008Q1-2017Q3
Chapter 2 uses data from the Quarterly Census of Employment and Wages, which comprises some of the real meat of the report. This image kind of sets the framework for a lot of what you’ll see in the annual report, showing 10 years worth of employment and wage data. Using R&P’s definition, the most recent economic downturn ended at the end of 2016, as total wages began to increase in 2017Q1. However, job losses persisted through 2017Q3.
See page 5
Inside the 2018 Wyoming Workforce Annual Report | Research & Planning, Wyoming DWS

13. Chapter 2: Some Industries Experience Wage, Job Growth in 2017Q3
Figure: Average Monthly Employment (Number of Jobs Worked) for Wyoming, 2008Q1-2017Q3
This figure shows Wyoming’s average monthly employment – a count of jobs worked – from 2008Q1 to 2017Q3. The blue line represents a four-quarter moving average, which is used to show the general trend over time. As you can see, Wyoming’s employment declined at a pretty substantial rate during the most recent downturn, before leveling off at a pretty low level in 2017.
See page 8
Inside the 2018 Wyoming Workforce Annual Report | Research & Planning, Wyoming DWS

14. Mining, Quarrying, & Oil & Gas Extraction (NAICS 21)
Chapter 2: Some Industries Experience Wage, Job Growth in 2017Q3 ES
Mining, Quarrying, & Oil & Gas Extraction (NAICS 21)
This table shows employment and wage changes for Wyoming’s mining industry from 2016Q3 to 2017Q3. As you can see, mining added more than 1,900 jobs over the year. The table also shows that mining accounted for 7.2% of all jobs in 2017Q3, and 13.6% of all wages.
The annual report includes this type of table for several other industries, including construction, manufacturing, and health care & social assistance, among others.
See page 10
Inside the 2018 Wyoming Workforce Annual Report | Research & Planning, Wyoming DWS

15. Chapter 2: Some Industries Experience Wage, Job Growth in 2017Q3
Construction (NAICS 23)
This table shows that construction lost 1,540 jobs over the year, and $27.5 million in total wages.
See page 11
Inside the 2018 Wyoming Workforce Annual Report | Research & Planning, Wyoming DWS

16. Manufacturing (NAICS 31-33)
Chapter 2: Some Industries Experience Wage, Job Growth in 2017Q3 ES
Manufacturing (NAICS 31-33)
Manufacturing has been an industry in the news the last couple of years as Wyoming tries to diversify its economy with programs such as ENDOW. Manufacturing added 292 jobs over the year. This industry accounts for a small portion of total employment (3.5%) and wages (4.7%) but it’s an industry that has added jobs and has a relatively high average weekly wage.
See page 11
Inside the 2018 Wyoming Workforce Annual Report | Research & Planning, Wyoming DWS

17. Chapter 2: Some Industries Experience Wage, Job Growth in 2017Q3
Figure: Over-the-Year Percent Change in Average Monthly Employment (Number of Jobs Worked) in Wyoming by County, 2016Q3-2017Q3
This figure shows over-the-year change in average monthly employment (jobs) from 2016Q3 to 2017Q3. The brown counties are ones that lost jobs over the year, while the blue counties are ones that have added jobs.
See page 13
Inside the 2018 Wyoming Workforce Annual Report | Research & Planning, Wyoming DWS

18. ES
Chapter 3: Economic Impacts of Growing and Potential Industries on the Wyoming Economy
This was the most recent data that became available while we were preparing the annual report. The reason we decided to include this information is the over-the-year increase in jobs late in 2017, the first time since early 2015.
Inside the 2018 Wyoming Workforce Annual Report | Research & Planning, Wyoming DWS

19. What Happens When Jobs Are Added to an Industry?
Chapter 3: Economic Impacts of Growing and Potential Industries on the Wyoming Economy ES
What Happens When Jobs Are Added to an Industry?
IMPLAN economic impact modeling system helps R&P analysts understand the effects of adding jobs to an industry.
Three types of impact:
Direct impacts: Result of actual project spending
Indirect impacts: Result of business-to-business spending
Induced impacts: Result of household spending
For chapter three, two of our economists used a program called IMPLAN to determine what happens when 100 jobs are added to an industry. There are three types of impact:
Direct, which is the 100 jobs.
Indirect, which results from business-to-business spending.
Induced, which results from household spending.
Inside the 2018 Wyoming Workforce Annual Report | Research & Planning, Wyoming DWS

20. Example: A new construction project.
Chapter 3: Economic Impacts of Growing and Potential Industries on the Wyoming Economy ES
What Happens When Jobs Are Added to an Industry?
Example: A new construction project.
Direct impacts: A construction manager is hired for the project.
Indirect impacts: The construction company purchases lumber from a local supplier.
Induced impacts: The construction manager takes his family out to dinner and a movie.
For example, if we look at a new construction project, these are the impact if 100 jobs are added:
Direct: a construction manager is hired for the project.
Indirect: the construction company purchases lumber from a local supplier.
Induced: the construction manager takes his family out to dinner and a movie.
Inside the 2018 Wyoming Workforce Annual Report | Research & Planning, Wyoming DWS

21. What Happens When Jobs Are Added to an Industry?
Chapter 3: Economic Impacts of Growing and Potential Industries on the Wyoming Economy ES
What Happens When Jobs Are Added to an Industry?
For this analysis, four industries were chosen as examples:
Coal mining (NAICS 2121) - established industry.
Wind electric power generation (NAICS ) - emerging industry.
Commercial-scale slaughterhouse (animal slaughter except poultry; NAICS ) - potential diversification industry.
Limited-service restaurants (NAICS ) - low impact industry.
For this study, our analysts picked four types of industries:
Coal mining – established industry.
Wind electric power generation – emerging industry.
Commercial scale slaughterhouse – potential diversification industry.
Limited-service restaurants – low impact industry.
Inside the 2018 Wyoming Workforce Annual Report | Research & Planning, Wyoming DWS

22. What Happens When Jobs Are Added to an Industry?
Chapter 3: Economic Impacts of Growing and Potential Industries on the Wyoming Economy ES
What Happens When Jobs Are Added to an Industry?
Figure: Direct, Indirect, and Induced Impacts on Employment when 100 Jobs are Added to Four Selected Industries in Wyoming
So what happens when 100 jobs are added to each industry?
1. Very little indirect or induced impact on the low impact industry.
2. For coal mining and wind electric power generation (our established and emerging industries), 100 new jobs resulted in about 200 more indirect induced jobs.
3. For the commercial slaughterhouse (our possible diversification industry), the addition of 100 jobs resulted in more than 500 indirect jobs and 59 induced jobs.
Table 3.2 in chapter 3 gives a breakdown of the types of industries those indirect and induced jobs would be found in.
See page 16
Inside the 2018 Wyoming Workforce Annual Report | Research & Planning, Wyoming DWS

23. Beef cattle ranching & farming, including feedlots: 249 jobs
Chapter 3: Economic Impacts of Growing and Potential Industries on the Wyoming Economy ES
Example: Adding 100 Jobs to a Commercial Slaughterhouse (animal slaughter except poultry):
Beef cattle ranching & farming, including feedlots: 249 jobs
Animal production, except cattle & poultry & eggs: 101 jobs
Truck transportation: 43 jobs
See pages 19-20
Table 3.2 in chapter 3 gives a breakdown of the types of industries those indirect and induced jobs would be found in. For example, adding 100 jobs to a commercial slaughterhouse would add 249 jobs to beef cattle ranching & farming, 101 jobs to animal production, and 43 jobs to truck transportation.
Inside the 2018 Wyoming Workforce Annual Report | Research & Planning, Wyoming DWS

24. Chapter 4: Wyoming Population Declines from 2016 to 2017
This was the most recent data that became available while we were preparing the annual report. The reason we decided to include this information is the over-the-year increase in jobs late in 2017, the first time since early 2015.
Inside the 2018 Wyoming Workforce Annual Report | Research & Planning, Wyoming DWS

25. Wyoming Population Estimates
Chapter 4: Wyoming Population Declines from 2016 to 2017 ES
Wyoming Population Estimates
2016 Population: 584,910
2017 Population: 579,315
Change: -5,595, or -1.0%
Natural increase of 2,666 individuals (7,513 births versus 4,847 deaths)
Net migration = -8,285
According to data from the U.S. Census Bureau, Wyoming’s population declined by 5,595 individuals (-1.0%) from 2016 to 2017.
Natural increase: 2,666 more births than deaths.
Net migration: -2,825.
Source: U.S. Census Bureau.
Inside the 2018 Wyoming Workforce Annual Report | Research & Planning, Wyoming DWS

26. Figure: Estimated Resident Population of Wyoming, 2008-2017
Chapter 4: Wyoming Population Declines from 2016 to 2017 ES
Figure: Estimated Resident Population of Wyoming,
This figure illustrates Wyoming’s estimated population over the last 10 years. As you can see, Wyoming’s population increased during the previous economic downturn, but decreased from 2015 to 2017.
The U.S. Census Bureau usually publishes more detailed population estimates (gender, single year of age) by the end of June each year.
See page 21
Inside the 2018 Wyoming Workforce Annual Report | Research & Planning, Wyoming DWS

27. Chapter 5: Demographics of Wyoming’s WorkforceES
Chapter 5: Demographics of Wyoming’s Workforce
This was the most recent data that became available while we were preparing the annual report. The reason we decided to include this information is the over-the-year increase in jobs late in 2017, the first time since early 2015.
Inside the 2018 Wyoming Workforce Annual Report | Research & Planning, Wyoming DWS

28. Total Number of Persons Working in Wyoming at Any Time
Chapter 5: Demographics of Wyoming’s Workforce ES
Total Number of Persons Working in Wyoming at Any Time
2016 Total: 353,917
2017 Total: 340,986
Change: -12,931, or -3.7%
Source: Wage Records database. Research & Planning, WY DWS.
From 2016 to 2017, the number of persons working in Wyoming at any time declined by 12,931 (-3.7%).
The numbers of individuals working in Wyoming are based on employers’ quarterly wage and employment reports to the Unemployment Insurance (UI) tax section of the Wyoming Department of Workforce Services; these are referred to as wage records.
R&P is able to link the wage records database to other administrative database to identify demographic characteristics of Wyoming’s workforce, such as age and gender.
Inside the 2018 Wyoming Workforce Annual Report | Research & Planning, Wyoming DWS

29. Persons Working at Any Time
Chapter 5: Demographics of Wyoming’s Workforce ES
Persons Working at Any Time
Figure: Total Number of Persons Working in Wyoming at Any Time,
In 2017, there were fewer people working in Wyoming than at any other time during the past 10 years.
See page 23
Inside the 2018 Wyoming Workforce Annual Report | Research & Planning, Wyoming DWS

30. Persons Working by Gender
Chapter 5: Demographics of Wyoming’s Workforce ES
Persons Working by Gender
Figure: Total Persons Working in Wyoming
at Any Time by Gender,
In 2017, 40.4% of people working in Wyoming were women, while 46.8% were men. The remaining 12.8% were nonresidents, or individuals for whom demographic data could not be identified. These are typically individuals who come to work in Wyoming from another state.
See page 25
Inside the 2018 Wyoming Workforce Annual Report | Research & Planning, Wyoming DWS

31. Figure: Total Persons Working in Wyoming at Any Time by Age, 2008-2017
Chapter 5: Demographics of Wyoming’s Workforce ES
Figure: Total Persons Working in Wyoming at Any Time by Age,
This figure shows the change in people working in Wyoming by age from 2008 to 2017.
Under 20: -35.2%
20-24: -27.3%
45-54: -26.8%
55+: 18.2%
The change in and 55+ are largely driven by demographics. Baby boomers moved from the age bracket in 2008 to the 55+ age bracket in 2017.
See page 26
Inside the 2018 Wyoming Workforce Annual Report | Research & Planning, Wyoming DWS

32. Gender Wage Gap 2017 Average Annual Wage:
Chapter 5: Demographics of Wyoming’s Workforce ES
Gender Wage Gap
2017 Average Annual Wage:
Women – $28,822
Men – $45,267
Women earned 63.7 cents for every $1 earned by men.
Total wages do not account for several variables:
Occupation
Hours worked
Experience
Education
& more
On average, women working in Wyoming earned 63.7 cents for every $1 worked by men. However, this does not account for several variables, such as occupation, hours worked, experience, education, and others.
Inside the 2018 Wyoming Workforce Annual Report | Research & Planning, Wyoming DWS

33. Scheduled to be published October 2018.
Chapter 5: Demographics of Wyoming’s Workforce ES
Gender Wage Gap
In 2017, Research & Planning was instructed by the Wyoming legislature to complete a comprehensive study on the state’s gender wage gap.
Scheduled to be published October 2018.
Will include variables such as industry, occupation, age, hours worked, and continuous employment.
Research & Planning has been tasked by the Wyoming legislature to complete a more comprehensive study on the state’s gender wage gap that will account for these and other variables.
This publication will be presented to the legislature in October 2018 and published online.
Inside the 2018 Wyoming Workforce Annual Report | Research & Planning, Wyoming DWS

34. ES
Chapter 6: Wyoming’s Unemployment Rate Decreases as Labor Force Shrinks
This was the most recent data that became available while we were preparing the annual report. The reason we decided to include this information is the over-the-year increase in jobs late in 2017, the first time since early 2015.
Inside the 2018 Wyoming Workforce Annual Report | Research & Planning, Wyoming DWS

35. Local Area Unemployment Statistics (LAUS) Definitions
Chapter 6: Wyoming’s Unemployment Rate Decreases as Labor Force Shrinks ES
Local Area Unemployment Statistics (LAUS) Definitions
Labor force: The number of employed plus the number of unemployed individuals. Excludes:
Persons under 16
Inmates of institutions
Member of the Armed Forces
Unemployed: People who don’t have jobs but are currently looking for employment. Counted by place of residence.
Unemployment rate: Number of unemployed people divided by the total number of people in the labor force.
The data discussed in this chapter are estimates from the Local Area Unemployment Statistics program, or LAUS.
Important terms to know are labor force, unemployed, and unemployment rate.
Inside the 2018 Wyoming Workforce Annual Report | Research & Planning, Wyoming DWS

36. Figure: Wyoming Labor Force and Unemployment Rate, 2008-2017
Chapter 6: Wyoming’s Unemployment Rate Decreases as Labor Force Shrinks ES
Figure: Wyoming Labor Force and Unemployment Rate,
This figure shows Wyoming’s labor force and unemployment rate for 2008 to 2017.
During the previous economic downturn, the labor force continued to grow, so the unemployment rate increased.
During the recent downturn, however, Wyoming’s labor force shrunk as people left the state. With a smaller labor force, the unemployment rate declined in 2017.
See page 30
Inside the 2018 Wyoming Workforce Annual Report | Research & Planning, Wyoming DWS

37. Previous Economic Downturn
Chapter 6: Wyoming’s Unemployment Rate Decreases as Labor Force Shrinks ES
The Differences in Economic Downturns
Previous Economic Downturn
2009Q1-2010Q1
5 quarters
Labor force increases
High unemployment rate
Surrounding states lose jobs
Wyoming workers who lost jobs couldn’t go to another state for work and claimed UI benefits
Recent Economic Downturn
2015Q2-2016Q4
7 quarters
Labor force decreases
Low unemployment rate
Surrounding states gain jobs
Wyoming workers who lost jobs could go elsewhere for work and didn’t file for UI benefits.
We talked earlier about the differences in the two periods of economic downturn. Here are some more ways these downturns differed:
Previous: labor force increased, high unemployment rate
Recent: Labor force decreased, lower unemployment rate
Previous: Surrounding states lost jobs, unemployed Wyoming workers claimed UI benefits
Recent: Surrounding states gained jobs, unemployed Wyoming workers found work elsewhere instead of filing for UI benefits.
Inside the 2018 Wyoming Workforce Annual Report | Research & Planning, Wyoming DWS

38. Chapter 7: Unemployment Insurance Claims Decrease in 2017ES
Chapter 7: Unemployment Insurance Claims Decrease in 2017
This was the most recent data that became available while we were preparing the annual report. The reason we decided to include this information is the over-the-year increase in jobs late in 2017, the first time since early 2015.
Inside the 2018 Wyoming Workforce Annual Report | Research & Planning, Wyoming DWS

39. Chapter 7: Unemployment Insurance Claims Decrease in 2017ES
See page 32
In 2017, the number of people receiving UI benefits decreased by 31.6% compared to 2016.
The number of individuals who exhausted benefits decreased by 38.0%.
Benefits paid decreased by $53.4 million, or -44.0%.
Inside the 2018 Wyoming Workforce Annual Report | Research & Planning, Wyoming DWS

40. Figure: Unemployment Insurance Benefits Paid in Wyoming, 1997-2017
Chapter 7: Unemployment Insurance Claims Decrease in 2017 ES
Figure: Unemployment Insurance Benefits Paid in Wyoming,
This figure shows the total amount of UI benefits paid in Wyoming from 1997 to This number peaked in 2009 and 2010.
See page 35
Inside the 2018 Wyoming Workforce Annual Report | Research & Planning, Wyoming DWS

41. Chapter 8: Mining, Leisure & Hospitality Lead Projected GrowthES
Chapter 8: Mining, Leisure & Hospitality Lead Projected Growth
This was the most recent data that became available while we were preparing the annual report. The reason we decided to include this information is the over-the-year increase in jobs late in 2017, the first time since early 2015.
Inside the 2018 Wyoming Workforce Annual Report | Research & Planning, Wyoming DWS

42. Short-Term Projections, 2017-2019 Based on QCEW data
Chapter 8: Mining, Leisure & Hospitality Lead Projected Growth ES
Short-Term Projections,
Based on QCEW data
Available at industry and occupational levels
Based on recent trends of how employment levels respond to market conditions
Represent a point-in-time estimate
Research Planning recently published short-term industry and occupational projections for It’s important to understand that projections are based on recent trends, so these could change.
Inside the 2018 Wyoming Workforce Annual Report | Research & Planning, Wyoming DWS

43. Wyoming Short-Term Industry Projections, 2017-2019
Chapter 8: Mining, Leisure & Hospitality Lead Projected Growth ES
Wyoming Short-Term Industry Projections,
Wyoming’s employment is projected to grow by 7,333 jobs (2.7%) from 2017 to 2019
Largest job growth is expected in:
Mining, including oil & gas (2,410 jobs, or 12.5%)
Leisure & hospitality (1,643, or 4.5%)
Job growth is forecast for all sectors except:
Information
Public administration
As we have discussed previously, industries are classified using the North American Industry Classification System, or NAICS.
Wyoming is projected to add more than 7,000 new jobs from 2017 to 2019, with the largest increases seen in mining (2,410 jobs) and leisure & hospitality (1,643 jobs).
The only industries that are not projected to grow are information and public administration.
Inside the 2018 Wyoming Workforce Annual Report | Research & Planning, Wyoming DWS

44. Wyoming Short-Term Occupational Projections, 2017-2019
Chapter 8: Mining, Leisure & Hospitality Lead Projected Growth ES
Wyoming Short-Term Occupational Projections,
Occupational projections account for other types of openings:
Growth – new jobs.
Exits – workers leaving the workforce.
Transfers – workers changing occupations.
Total – growth + exits + transfers.
Occupations are classified using the Standard Occupational Classification system, or SOC.
In addition to new jobs, projections also identify other types of openings, including exits and transfers.
Inside the 2018 Wyoming Workforce Annual Report | Research & Planning, Wyoming DWS

45. Wyoming Short-Term Occupational Projections, 2017-2019
Chapter 8: Mining, Leisure & Hospitality Lead Projected Growth ES
Wyoming Short-Term Occupational Projections,
Example: Heavy & Tractor-Trailer Truck Drivers (SOC )
Employment
2017Q2 (Estimated)
6,280
2019Q2 (Projected)
6,529
Openings Due to:
Growth
249
Exits
543
Transfers
805
Total
1,597
As an example, heavy & tractor-trailer truck drivers are expected to add 249 new jobs from 2017 to In addition to that, projections indicate 543 openings due to exits (individuals leaving the workforce) and 805 due to transfers (individuals changing occupations).
Inside the 2018 Wyoming Workforce Annual Report | Research & Planning, Wyoming DWS

46. Wyoming Short-Term Occupational Projections, 2017-2019: Education
Chapter 8: Mining, Leisure & Hospitality Lead Projected Growth ES
Wyoming Short-Term Occupational Projections, : Education
Figure: Projected Total Job Openings in Wyoming by Typical Educational Requirement,
The majority of all projected openings (73.1%) are in jobs requiring a high school diploma or less.
Among all projected openings, 73.1% are in jobs that require a high school diploma or less.
See page 40
Inside the 2018 Wyoming Workforce Annual Report | Research & Planning, Wyoming DWS

47. Wyoming Short-Term Occupational Projections, 2017-2019: Education
Chapter 8: Mining, Leisure & Hospitality Lead Projected Growth ES
Wyoming Short-Term Occupational Projections, : Education
Figure: Wyoming Occupational Fatalities,
See page 42
Table 8.2 in the annual report provides the top five occupations by number of projected openings for each education level.
For example, the top five occupations with the greatest number of total openings in occupations requiring a certificate are:
Heavy & tractor-trailer truck drivers
Nursing assistants
Automotive service technicians and mechanics
Hairdressers, hairstylists, and cosmetologists
Medical assistants
Inside the 2018 Wyoming Workforce Annual Report | Research & Planning, Wyoming DWS

48. Chapter 9: How to Calculate Turnover Rates by County, Industry
This was the most recent data that became available while we were preparing the annual report. The reason we decided to include this information is the over-the-year increase in jobs late in 2017, the first time since early 2015.
Inside the 2018 Wyoming Workforce Annual Report | Research & Planning, Wyoming DWS

49. Chapter 9: How to Calculate Turnover Rates by County, Industry
Figure: Turnover Rate Calculation for Construction (NAICS 23) in Wyoming, 2017Q2
Chapter 9 provides information on how to calculate turnover rates at the industry and county levels. Turnover is made up of hires, exits, both hires and exits, and continuous employment.
For example, construction always has a higher turnover rate (43.2% in 2017Q2) than health care & social assistance (21.5%).
See page 43
Inside the 2018 Wyoming Workforce Annual Report | Research & Planning, Wyoming DWS

50. Hiring Activity Resumes for Some Industries in 2017
Chapter 9: How to Calculate Turnover Rates by County, Industry ES
Hiring Activity Resumes for Some Industries in 2017
2016Q3-2017Q3, total hires increased in:
Mining (916 more hires, or 50.2%)
Wholesale Trade, Transportation, Warehousing, & Utilities (200, or 8.4%)
Agriculture (116, or 18.8%)
See page 44
Turnover data provide us with information on hiring trends in Wyoming.
Inside the 2018 Wyoming Workforce Annual Report | Research & Planning, Wyoming DWS

51. Chapter 10: Intercounty Commuting Patterns for WyomingES
Chapter 10: Intercounty Commuting Patterns for Wyoming
This was the most recent data that became available while we were preparing the annual report. The reason we decided to include this information is the over-the-year increase in jobs late in 2017, the first time since early 2015.
Inside the 2018 Wyoming Workforce Annual Report | Research & Planning, Wyoming DWS

52. Chapter 10: Intercounty Commuting Patterns for WyomingES
Intercounty commuting: individuals traveling from a Wyoming county of residence to another Wyoming county of employment.
Outflow: workers commuting from their county of residence to another county for employment.
Inflow: workers commuting into a county for employment from another county, state, or country.
Research & Planning publishes intercounty turnover data on a quarterly basis. These data consist of individuals who commute from one Wyoming county of residence to another county of employment.
Wyoming residents who commute to another state are not included. However, residents of other states who work in Wyoming are included.
Outflow refers to workers commuting from their county of residence to another county for employment.
Inflow refers to workers commuting into a county for employment from another county, state, or country.
Inside the 2018 Wyoming Workforce Annual Report | Research & Planning, Wyoming DWS

53. In 2017Q3, 2,903 residents of Crook County worked in Wyoming.
Chapter 10: Intercounty Commuting Patterns for Wyoming ES
Outflow
In 2017Q3, 11.9% of Wyoming residents traveled from their county of residence to another county for employment.
In 2017Q3, 2,903 residents of Crook County worked in Wyoming.
39.5% commuted to another county for work.
In total, 11.9% of Wyoming residents who also worked in the state commuted from their county of residence to another county of employment.
Wyoming’s smallest counties tend to have the highest rates of outflow.
As an example, 39.5% of Crook County residents commuted to another county for employment in 2017Q3. The most common destinations were Campbell, Weston, Natrona, Sheridan, and Albany.
Inside the 2018 Wyoming Workforce Annual Report | Research & Planning, Wyoming DWS

54. Many counties rely on residents from other counties and other states.
Chapter 10: Intercounty Commuting Patterns for Wyoming ES
Inflow
In 2017Q3, 25.1% of people working in Wyoming came from a different county, state, or country.
Many counties rely on residents from other counties and other states.
Teton County: 46.2% of persons working came from another state or country.
In 2017Q3, 25.1% of people working in Wyoming came from another county, state, or country.
Many counties rely on residents from other counties, states and countries.
Sublette County inflow rate: 29.2%.
Teton County inflow rate: 46.2%
Inside the 2018 Wyoming Workforce Annual Report | Research & Planning, Wyoming DWS

55. ES
Chapter 11: A New Way to View Employment Data for Occupations in Wyoming
Inside the 2018 Wyoming Workforce Annual Report | Research & Planning, Wyoming DWS

56. Occupational Employment Statistics (OES) survey:
Chapter 11: A New Way to View Employment Data for Occupations in Wyoming ES
Occupational Employment Statistics (OES) survey:
Collects data from a sample of employers in May and November each year.
Estimates available at state, substate region, and county level.
This chapter provides detail at the occupational level from the Occupational Employment Statistics (OES) survey.
Wyoming is divided into four substate regions and two metropolitan statistical areas (MSAs).
Inside the 2018 Wyoming Workforce Annual Report | Research & Planning, Wyoming DWS

57. Chapter 11: A New Way to View Employment Data for Occupations in WyomingES
This table shows employment and wage data for financial managers in each county of Wyoming’s southwest region. Hourly wages varied from $48.90 in Sweetwater County to $55.20 in Teton County. Data were nondiscloseable for Lincoln and Sublette counties.
Inside the 2018 Wyoming Workforce Annual Report | Research & Planning, Wyoming DWS

58. Comparing Employment and Wages by Industry: Jobseekers
Chapter 11: A New Way to View Employment Data for Occupations in Wyoming ES
Comparing Employment and Wages by Industry: Jobseekers
Example: An engineer seeking a job in Wyoming may want to know the differences in employment and wages by industry. There are more jobs for engineers in mining (850) that construction (90), and the pay is considerably higher as well ($112,610 vs. $73,432).
Inside the 2018 Wyoming Workforce Annual Report | Research & Planning, Wyoming DWS

59. Comparing Employment and Wages by Region, County: Employers
Chapter 11: A New Way to View Employment Data for Occupations in Wyoming ES
Comparing Employment and Wages by Region, County: Employers
Example: An employer looking to hire an electrician might want to know the average wage for that occupation in Wyoming and the county. An employer in Lincoln County might have to offer hire wages to an electrician (mean wage $77,263) than an employer in Fremont County (mean wage $46,098).
Inside the 2018 Wyoming Workforce Annual Report | Research & Planning, Wyoming DWS

60. Chapter 12: Results from the Wyoming Benefits Survey
Inside the 2018 Wyoming Workforce Annual Report | Research & Planning, Wyoming DWS

61. Full- or part-time status Region Benefit type Employer size More
Chapter 12: Results from the Wyoming Benefits Survey ES
Benefits vary by:
Industry
Full- or part-time status
Region
Benefit type
Employer size
More
The Wyoming Benefits Survey is published annually and provides information at several levels, such as industry, region, employer size, full- and part-time status, benefit types, and more.
Inside the 2018 Wyoming Workforce Annual Report | Research & Planning, Wyoming DWS

62. Benefits Offered by Employer Size
Chapter 12: Results from the Wyoming Benefits Survey ES
Benefits Offered by Employer Size
Figure: Percent of Wyoming Jobs Offered Health Insurance by Employer Size Class, 2016Q3
Larger Wyoming employers are more likely to offer benefits. For example, as shown in this figure, 80.8% of employers with 50 or more employees offered health insurance, compared to 41.2% of employers with employees.
See page 50
Inside the 2018 Wyoming Workforce Annual Report | Research & Planning, Wyoming DWS

63. Benefits Offered by Industry
Chapter 12: Results from the Wyoming Benefits Survey ES
Benefits Offered by Industry
Figure: Percent of Total Wyoming Jobs Offered Health Insurance by Industry, 2016Q3
At the industry level, the industry with the greatest percentage of employers offering benefits were natural resources & mining (90.0%) and educational services (87.4%).
See page 51
Inside the 2018 Wyoming Workforce Annual Report | Research & Planning, Wyoming DWS

64. Chapter 13: Wyoming Employers Add 107,180 New Hires in 2016
Inside the 2018 Wyoming Workforce Annual Report | Research & Planning, Wyoming DWS

65. Wyoming New Hires Job Skills Survey collects information such as:
Chapter 13: Wyoming Employers Add 107,180 New Hires in 2016 ES
New hires: workers who had not previously worked for a particular employer since 1992, the first year for which wage records are available for analyses.
Wyoming New Hires Job Skills Survey collects information such as:
Occupation
License and certification requirements
Number of Hires
Typical job duties
Necessary job skills
Wages and benefits
Demographics
Full-time/part-time status
Turnover
more
The Wyoming New Hires Job Skills Survey is updated annually and is based on eight quarters worth of data.
A new hire is someone who had not previously worked for an employer since 1992, the first year for which wage records are available.
The new hires survey collects information such as occupation, number of hires, wages and benefits, necessary job skills, and more.
Inside the 2018 Wyoming Workforce Annual Report | Research & Planning, Wyoming DWS

66. Retail Salespersons (SOC 41-2031)
Chapter 13: Wyoming Employers Add 107,180 New Hires in 2016 ES
Retail Salespersons (SOC )
For example, there were 6,119 retail salesperson new hires in 2016 with a median wage of $10.00 per hour.
52.9% worked part-time
49.9% were male
Nearly 70% were under age 35
Employers identified service orientation and reading comprehension as the most important job skills.
Inside the 2018 Wyoming Workforce Annual Report | Research & Planning, Wyoming DWS

67. ES
Chapter 14: Wyoming New Business Formation Down During Recent Economic Downturn
Inside the 2018 Wyoming Workforce Annual Report | Research & Planning, Wyoming DWS

68. What kind of business activity
Chapter 14: Wyoming New Business Formation Down During Recent Economic Downturn ES
New business: A business that did not exist before but now actively provides goods or services, and hires employees and pays them wages.
Must register with Unemployment Insurance (UI) division of the Wyoming Department of Workforce Services and must include:
What kind of business activity
County or counties in which the firm will locate
Not included:
New branches of existing firms
Firms reopening after temporarily closing
An article on new business formation is published every two years.
A new business is one that did not previously exist but now provides goods or services, and hires employees and pays them wages.
Not included:
New branches of existing firms
Firms reopening after temporarily closing
Inside the 2018 Wyoming Workforce Annual Report | Research & Planning, Wyoming DWS

69. New Business Formation in 2016
Chapter 14: Wyoming New Business Formation Down During Recent Economic Downturn ES
New Business Formation in 2016
2,114 new firms
8.1% formation rate
7,474 initial jobs
$173.2 million in initial wages
In 2016, there were 2,114 new firms (8.1% of all firms) that provided 7,474 initial jobs and $173.2 million in initial total wages.
Inside the 2018 Wyoming Workforce Annual Report | Research & Planning, Wyoming DWS

70. Industries with the Most New Firms
Chapter 14: Wyoming New Business Formation Down During Recent Economic Downturn ES
Industries with the Most New Firms
2,114 new firms
Professional & Business Services (22.7%)
Health Care & Social Assistance (17.5%)
Construction (17.1%)
In 2016, there were 2,114 new firms (8.1% of all firms). The most new firms were in professional & business services, health care & social assistance, and construction.
Inside the 2018 Wyoming Workforce Annual Report | Research & Planning, Wyoming DWS

71. Industries with the Most Initial Jobs
Chapter 14: Wyoming New Business Formation Down During Recent Economic Downturn ES
Industries with the Most Initial Jobs
7,474 Initial Jobs
Leisure & Hospitality (22.5%)
Construction (17.7%)
Health Care & Social Assistance (17.5%)
New business accounted for 7,474 initial jobs, with the most in leisure & hospitality, construction, and health care & social assistance.
Inside the 2018 Wyoming Workforce Annual Report | Research & Planning, Wyoming DWS

72. Industries with the Greatest Total Initial Wages
Chapter 14: Wyoming New Business Formation Down During Recent Economic Downturn ES
Industries with the Greatest Total Initial Wages
$173.2 Million in Total Wages
Construction (23.1%)
Health Care & Social Assistance (18.6%)
Professional & Business Services (16.4%)
$173.2 million in initial total wages. Greatest contributers were construction, health care & social assistance, and professional & business services.
Inside the 2018 Wyoming Workforce Annual Report | Research & Planning, Wyoming DWS

73. Firms, Jobs, and Wages are not Created at Equal Rates
Chapter 14: Wyoming New Business Formation Down During Recent Economic Downturn ES
Firms, Jobs, and Wages are not Created at Equal Rates
Prof. & Business Services: Many firms, high wages, relatively fewer jobs.
Leisure & Hospitality: Fewer firms, lots of jobs, lower wages.
Inside the 2018 Wyoming Workforce Annual Report | Research & Planning, Wyoming DWS

74. New Business Formation by: Industry Region & county Initial firm size
Chapter 14: Wyoming New Business Formation Down During Recent Economic Downturn ES
Read More Online
Topics Include:
New Business Formation by:
Industry
Region & county
Initial firm size
Business Survival
Inside the 2018 Wyoming Workforce Annual Report | Research & Planning, Wyoming DWS

75. Chapter 15: Occupational Fatalities Unchanged from 2015 to 2016
Inside the 2018 Wyoming Workforce Annual Report | Research & Planning, Wyoming DWS

76. Census of Fatal Occupational Injuries (CFOI)
Chapter 15: Occupational Fatalities Unchanged from 2015 to 2016 ES
Census of Fatal Occupational Injuries (CFOI)
About CFOI:
A joint effort of R&P and the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS)
Allows for the collection of national data across states
Includes regular employees, volunteer workers and self-employed individuals
Data sources include:
OSHA reports
Workers’ compensation
Vital records
Coroner’s reports
Media reports
Police and highway patrol reports of vehicle crashes
Inside the 2018 Wyoming Workforce Annual Report | Research & Planning, Wyoming DWS

77. Figure: Wyoming Occupational Fatalities, 1992-2016
Chapter 15: Occupational Fatalities Unchanged from 2015 to 2016 ES
Figure: Wyoming Occupational Fatalities,
There were 34 occupational fatalities in Wyoming in 2016, the same as 2015.
See page 61
Inside the 2018 Wyoming Workforce Annual Report | Research & Planning, Wyoming DWS

78. 34 occupational fatalities in 2016
Chapter 15: Occupational Fatalities Unchanged from 2015 to 2016 ES
34 occupational fatalities in 2016
10 deaths in natural resources & mining (29.4% of all deaths)
Six in agriculture
Four in mining, including oil & gas
10 deaths in trade, transportation, & warehousing (29.4% of all deaths)
Three deaths each in construction, professional & business services, and government
Of those 34:
10 in natural resources & mining (29.4%)
10 in trade, transportation, warehousing & utilities (29.4%).
Inside the 2018 Wyoming Workforce Annual Report | Research & Planning, Wyoming DWS

79. Transportation incidents: 41.2% of all workplace fatalities in 2016
Chapter 15: Occupational Fatalities Unchanged from 2015 to 2016 ES
Transportation incidents:
41.2% of all workplace fatalities in 2016
56.4% of all workplace deaths from
Include highway crashes and incidents involving aircraft and other vehicles
Transportation incidents accounted for 41.2% of all workplace fatalities in 2016, and 56.4% from
This includes highway crashes and incidents involving aircraft and other vehicles.
Inside the 2018 Wyoming Workforce Annual Report | Research & Planning, Wyoming DWS

80. ES
Chapter 16: Wyoming’s Nonfatal Occupational Injury and Illness Incidence Rate Essentially Unchanged in 2016
Inside the 2018 Wyoming Workforce Annual Report | Research & Planning, Wyoming DWS

81. Wyoming incidence rates:
Chapter 16: Wyoming’s Nonfatal Occupational Injury and Illness Incidence Rate Essentially Unchanged in 2016 ES
Survey of Occupational Injuries and Illnesses (SOII)
About SOII:
A joint effort of R&P and the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS).
Survey collects information used to produce summary estimates of nonfatal workplace injuries and illnesses, such as:
Number.
Frequency (incidence rates).
Case characteristics.
Incidence rates: number of injuries and illnesses per 100 full-time workers.
Wyoming incidence rates:
3.6 in 2016.
3.5 in 2015.
3.6 injuries and illnesses per 100 full-time workers in 2016.
3.5 in 2015.
Inside the 2018 Wyoming Workforce Annual Report | Research & Planning, Wyoming DWS

82. Chapter 16: Wyoming’s Nonfatal Occupational Injury and Illness Incidence Rate Essentially Unchanged in 2016 ES
Figure: Detailed Private Industries with the Highest Incidence Rates of Total Nonfatal Occupational Injuries and Illnesses in Wyoming, 2016
In private industry, nursing & residential care facilities had the highest incidence rate, with 9.8.
See page 64
Inside the 2018 Wyoming Workforce Annual Report | Research & Planning, Wyoming DWS

83. Chapter 17: Workers’ Comp Claims Continue Downward TrendES
Chapter 17: Workers’ Comp Claims Continue Downward Trend
Inside the 2018 Wyoming Workforce Annual Report | Research & Planning, Wyoming DWS

84. Chapter 17: Workers’ Comp Claims Continue Downward TrendES
Figure: Rate of Injury per 1,000 Workers Across All Industries in Wyoming, 2007Q1-2016Q4
Over the last 10 years, the rate of injury per 1,000 workers across all industries in Wyoming has consistently declined.
See page 65
Inside the 2018 Wyoming Workforce Annual Report | Research & Planning, Wyoming DWS

85. Average rate of injury: 12.2 per 1,000 workers. High: 15.6 (2007Q1).
Chapter 17: Workers’ Comp Claims Continue Downward Trend ES
Rate of Injury, 2007Q1-2016Q4
Average rate of injury: 12.2 per 1,000 workers.
High: 15.6 (2007Q1).
Low: 9.7 (2016Q2).
First time below 10.0 in over a decade.
Over those 10 years, the average rate of injury was 12.2 per 1,000 workers.
The high was in 2007Q1 (15.6).
The low was in 2016Q2 (9.7). This was the first time it had been below 10.0 in over a decade.
Over the last 10 years, the industries with the highest average rate of injury were manufacturing (19.9) and construction (15.7).
Inside the 2018 Wyoming Workforce Annual Report | Research & Planning, Wyoming DWS

86. Rate of Injury per 1,000 Workers by Selected Industry, 2007Q1-2016Q4
Chapter 17: Workers’ Comp Claims Continue Downward Trend ES
Rate of Injury per 1,000 Workers by Selected Industry, 2007Q1-2016Q4
Manufacturing: 19.9
Construction: 15.7
Natural Resources & Mining: 12.4
Public Administration: 7.7
Financial Activities: 4.8
Over those 10 years, the average rate of injury was 12.2 per 1,000 workers.
The high was in 2007Q1 (15.6).
The low was in 2016Q2 (9.7). This was the first time it had been below 10.0 in over a decade.
Over the last 10 years, the industries with the highest average rate of injury were manufacturing (19.9) and construction (15.7).
See page 65
Inside the 2018 Wyoming Workforce Annual Report | Research & Planning, Wyoming DWS

87. Figure: Most Frequently Occurring Injuries in Wyoming, 2007Q1-2016Q4
Chapter 17: Workers’ Comp Claims Continue Downward Trend ES
Figure: Most Frequently Occurring Injuries in Wyoming, 2007Q1-2016Q4
This figure shows the most frequently occurring injuries in Wyoming over the last 10 years. Of all injuries, sprains (23.7%) and contusions (18.7%) were the most common.
See page 66
Inside the 2018 Wyoming Workforce Annual Report | Research & Planning, Wyoming DWS

88. Email Michael.Moore@wyo.gov to subscribe
Other Products from Research & Planning ES
Publications
to subscribe
Wyoming Labor Force Trends – published monthly
Monthly Unemployment Insurance statistics reports
Quarterly reports on turnover, commuting
Special studies
Inside the 2018 Wyoming Workforce Annual Report | Research & Planning, Wyoming DWS

89. Online resources: http://doe.state.wy.us/LMI
Other Products from Research & Planning ES
Online resources:
Monthly and quarterly news releases
Data updated monthly, quarterly and annually
Quarterly Census of Employment and Wages
Occupational Employment Statistics
Local Area Unemployment Statistics
Demographics data from Wage Records
New Hires Job Skills Survey
More
Inside the 2018 Wyoming Workforce Annual Report | Research & Planning, Wyoming DWS

90. To be published October 2018
Ongoing Special Research and Projects ES
Gender Wage Gap Study
To be published October 2018
Workforce Information Act (WIA)/Workforce Innovation and Opportunity Act (WIOA) Program Evaluation
Retirement Income Security Task Force Survey
Support for Wyoming Workforce Development Council Advisory Groups
Webinars
June 27, 2 p.m.: Nursing Assistants in Wyoming
Inside the 2018 Wyoming Workforce Annual Report | Research & Planning, Wyoming DWS

91. Tony Glover, Manager Tony.Glover@wyo.gov Michael Moore, Editor
Questions? ES
Tony Glover, Manager
Michael Moore, Editor
Research & Planning
Wyoming Department
of Workforce Services
PO Box 2760
246 S. Center St.
Casper, WY (307)
Inside the 2018 Wyoming Workforce Annual Report | Research & Planning, Wyoming DWS