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Ira@techie.com http://tvpclub.blogspot.com/ Visualizing The Atmospheric “Greenhouse” Effect Global Warming is real, but how much is due to human activities.

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Presentation on theme: "Ira@techie.com http://tvpclub.blogspot.com/ Visualizing The Atmospheric “Greenhouse” Effect Global Warming is real, but how much is due to human activities."— Presentation transcript:

1 ira@techie.com http://tvpclub.blogspot.com/
Visualizing The Atmospheric “Greenhouse” Effect Global Warming is real, but how much is due to human activities and how big is the risk? Presented to The Villages Philosophy Club 3 January 2014 by Ira Glickstein GOOGLE: Glickstein WUWT

2 X X VISIBLE LIGHT VISIBLE LIGHT How Does a Real Greenhouse Work?
A greenhouse stays warm MAINLY because it is airtight and insulated. The walls and roof STOP CONVECTION and CONDUCTION of Heat Energy! VISIBLE LIGHT INFRARED RADIATION GLASS IS OPAQUE AND ABSORBS INFRARED. GLASS WARMS. X GLASS IS TRANSPARENT TO VISIBLE LIGHT WARM AIR CONVECTION Warm Things Emit INFRARED RADIATION CONDUCTION VISIBLE LIGHT X Light is Absorbed, Warms Plants & Soil Ira Glickstein 2013

3 I’m a Guest Contributor to world’s most viewed climate website
GOOGLE: Glickstein WUWT I wrote a series of postings about Visualizing the “Greenhouse” Effect: A Physical Analogy Atmospheric Windows Emission Spectra Molecules and Photons Light and Heat

4 Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC)
The Atmospheric “Greenhouse” Effect and Global Warming are Real, but not a Big Deal I wrote the “VISUALIZE” series of postings to help some of the skeptics at Watts Up With That? understand the basic physics of the Atmospheric “Greenhouse” Effect. I accept that Global Warming since 1880 is at least 0.5°C (1°F). IPCC claims about 30% more warming (1.5°F). +0.6°C (2014) Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) + 0.8°C (+1.5°F) -0.2°C (1880)

5 The Atmospheric “Greenhouse” Effect and Global Warming are Real , but not a Big Deal
Carbon Dioxide CO2 INCREASES 1996 2014 2035 1960 IPCC PREDICTIONS Global Warming 1979 Satellite data Since 1996 ACTUAL Since 1980

6 The Atmospheric “Greenhouse” Effect and Global Warming are Real , but not a Big Deal
PART OF THE WARMING IS DUE TO HUMAN ACTIVITIES THAT HAVE INCREASED CO2 AND CONTINUE TO DO SO. However, MOST of the warming is due to NATURAL CYCLES not under human control. The IPCC has overestimated the effect of increasing CO2 by a factor of two or three. That is why Global temperatures have stabilized for the past 17 years even as CO2 continues to increase. CO2 INCREASES IPCC PREDICTIONS Since 1996 ACTUAL Since 1980

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22 The Top of The Atmosphere is about -1°F.
-33°F BELOW FREEZING. But the Earth Surface is about 60°F. THANKS to the Atmospheric “Greenhouse” Effect!

23 The Atmospheric “Greenhouse” Effect Warms the Earth to Life-Supporting Temperatures
Absent the Atmospheric “Greenhouse” Effect, the Earth surface would average about -BELOW FREEZING. Too cold for life. The WARMING EFFECT OF “GREENHOUSE” GASES IS ABOUT 60°F. THANK GOODNESS! Since 1880 Atmospheric CO2 is up about 40% (from 280 to nearly 400 ppmv). Mostly Human caused. Global Warming added about 1°F (or 1.5°F if you believe the IPCC)

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30 IPCC PREDICTIONS NO WARMING 17 YEARS ACTUALITY

31 2001 http://thebritishgeographer.weebly.com/global-climate-change.html
IPCC PREDICTIONS ACTUAL 2001

32 Minimum? Modern SC05 SC24 SC01 SC06 SC25 Global Warming Cool-ing? COOL
LITTLE ICE AGE

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35 Stuck in Antarctic Ice from Christmas to New Years 2013-14

36 Rescue by Chinese Helicopter

37 The Atmospheric “Greenhouse” Effect and Global Warming are Real , but not a Big Deal
PART OF THE WARMING IS DUE TO HUMAN ACTIVITIES THAT HAVE INCREASED CO2 AND CONTINUE TO DO SO. However, MOST of the warming is due to NATURAL CYCLES not under human control. The IPCC has overestimated the effect of increasing CO2 by a factor of two or three. That is why Global temperatures have stabilized for the past 17 years even as CO2 continues to increase. CO2 INCREASES IPCC PREDICTIONS Since 1996 ACTUAL Since 1980


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