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Chapter 2: Science as a Way of Knowing: Critical Thinking about the Environment
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Understanding What Science Is
Scientific understanding of life and its environment is based on scientific method. Science is a process A way of knowing Results in conclusions, generalizations and sometimes laws Allows us to explain a phenomenon and make predictions (based on knowledge at the present time)
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Science as a way of knowing
Continuous process Sometimes a science undergoes a fundamental revolution in ideas Science begins with observations E.g. How many birds nest at Lake Orion? What food do they eat? Deals only with statements that can be disproved.
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Disprovability A statement can be said to be scientific if someone can state a method by which it could be disproved. Many ways of looking at the world Distinction between scientific statement and nonscientific is not a value judgment Simply a philosophical one
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Assumptions of Science
Events in the natural world follow patterns. Basic patterns and rules are the same throughout the universe. Based on a type of reasoning known as induction. Generalizations can be tested and disproved. New evidence can disprove existing scientific theories, but can never provide absolute proof.
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Deductive reasoning Example 1
Premise: a straight line is the shortest distance between two points. Premise: The line from A to B is the shortest distance between points A and B. Conclusion: Therefore, the line from A to B is a straight line. Proof does not require that the premises be true, only that the reasoning foolproof.
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Deductive reasoning Example 2
Premise: Humans are the only toolmaking organisms. Premise: the woodpecker finch uses tools. Conclusion: Therefore, the woodpecker finch is a human being.
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Inductive reasoning Science requires not only logical reasoning but also correct premises. Generalizations based on a number of observations = inductive reasoning.
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All male eared grebes have golden feathers during the breeding season.
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Probability A way of expressing our certainty
Our estimation of how good our observations are How confident we are of our predictions Scientific reasoning combines induction and deduction
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Measurements and Uncertainty
When we add numbers to our analysis Obtain another dimension of understanding Visualize relationships Make predictions Analyze strength of relationships
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Measurements and Uncertainty
Measurements are limited Meaningless unless it is accompanied by an estimate of its uncertainty. Two sources of uncertainty Real variability in nature Every measurement has some error Called experimental error
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Accuracy and Precision
Accuracy refers to what we know. Precision refers to how well we measure.
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Accuracy versus Precision
Accuracy refers to the proximity of a measurement to the true value of a quantity. Precision refers to the proximity of several measurements to each other.
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Observations, Facts, Inferences, and Hypotheses
Obs. - may be made by any of the five senses or instruments that measure beyond what we sense. Inference - a generalization that arises from a set of obs. Fact – obs about a particular thing agreed by all
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Hypothesis Type of statement used
When scientists wish to test an inference Can be disproved If a hypothesis has not been disproved Is still not proven true Only found to be probably true
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Variables Dependent variable – rate of photosynthesis
Independent variable – amount of light Manipulated variable – ind var because can be changed Responding variable – dep var because it response to change
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Controlled Experiment
Experiment compared to a standard, or control. An exact duplicate of the experiment except the condition of one variable being tested. Any difference in outcome attributed to the independent variable.
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Repeatability Operational definitions – variables described in terms of what one would have to do to duplicate the variable’s measurements. Oper. def. allows other scientist to repeat experiments exactly and check results.
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Data Quantitative- numerical Qualitative- nonnumerical
E.g. diameter of a tree trunk Qualitative- nonnumerical E.g. species of tree
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Models and Theories Scientists use accumulated knowledge to develop explanations. A Model is a “deliberately simplified construct of nature”. Models that offer broad, fundamental explanations of observation are called theories.
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Scientific Method 1. Make observation and develop a question about the obs. 2. Develop a tentative answer- a hypothesis. 3. Design a controlled experiment to test the hypothesis. 4. Collect data. 5. Interpret data.
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Scientific Method 6. Draw a conclusion from the data.
7. Compare the conclusion to the hypothesis and determine whether the results support or reject the hypothesis. 8. If the hypothesis is supported, conduct additional experiments to test it further. If the hypothesis is rejected, construct a new hypothesis.
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Scientific Method
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Misunderstandings about Science
Scientific theory- grand scheme that relates and explains many observations and is supported by a great deal of evidence. In everyday usage theory may mean a guess, a hypothesis, a prediction, a notion, a belief.
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Science and Technology
Science is a search for understanding Technology is the application of scientific knowledge that benefits humans. The two are intertwined. In our daily lives most of us do not encounter science but the products of science.
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Misunderstandings about Science
Myth of objectivity or value free science. Pseudoscientific Untestable, lack empirical evidence or based on faulty reasoning. Frontier science Ideas that may move into realm or science or pseudoscience.
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Environmental Questions and the Scientific Method
Enviro sciences deal w/ especially complex systems. Not as neat as the scientific method. Different approach has been used in environmental sciences. E.g. California Condor
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California Condor Numbers declined to 22 in the 1970’s
Suggestions to help populations Remove all from the wild and breed in zoos Improve habitat; returning it to grassland Population to small to divide into two diff. study groups. Captive breeding begun
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California Condor By 1990’s numbers large enough to start reintroductions. Today there are 300 condors, 158 in the wild. In 2003 first wild chicks fledged. Beginning to find their own food. Effort appears to be a success.
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Historical Evidence Frequency of fires in the BWCA of MN.
Three kinds of data used Written records Tree-ring records Buried records (fossil and pre-fossil org deposits) Fire scars could be seen in record.
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Historical Evidence By examining cross sections
Possible to determine the date of each fire Number of years between fires Heinselman determined it burned once per century. Forests shown to be integral part of forests.
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Historical Evidence Historical info meets the primary requirement of scientific method Ability to disprove a statement Major source of data that can be used to test hypotheses in ecology.
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Modern Catastrophes and Disturbances as Experiments
Eruption of Mount St Helens in 1980 Allowed for study of dynamics of ecological systems 1988 Wildfire in Yellowstone NP Carefully monitored before and after.
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Learning about Science
Open-ended process Students often perceive science as a body of facts to be memorized. Really a set of currently accepted truths, always subject to change.
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