2. SUDAN SESAME SCENARIO Season 2017/2018
Prepared & Presented by: Wagdi M. MAHGOUB
INDIAN OILSEEDS AND PRODUCE EXPORT PROMOTION COUNCIL (IOPEPC) ANNUAL TRADE MEET
Mahabaleshwar, Maharashtra, 10-12th NOVEMBER 2017

3. THE SUDAN
Sudan enjoys vast lands extending in an area of 728,000 square mile (current).
70 million hectares (equivalent to one-third of the total area) is suitable for agriculture.
Between 15 and 17 million hectares of this area is cultivated through rain-fed agriculture, and between 1.5 to 1.7 million hectares is cultivated through irrigated agriculture.
Sudan, also, enjoys an abundance of water, be it from the River Nile and its tributaries, or rainwater & or groundwater divided as follows:
River Nile: Billion cubic meters;
River Nile’s tributaries: 5 billion cubic meters;
Rainwater: Billion cubic meters;
Groundwater: 5 Billion cubic meters.

4. GADARIF STATE 2017 RAINFALL
AREA
2016
2017
DIFFERENCE (%)
NORTHERN REGION
375.2
144.95
158.8%
CENTRAL REGION
473.7
333.37
42.1%
SOUTHERN REGION
420.2
208.05
101%
WESTERN REGION
404.3
422.70
4.5%
EASTERN REGION
437.5
329.60
32.73
AVERAGE
422.2
287.73 -
* SIGNIFICANT RAINFALL DECREASE IN GADARIF MAIN CULTIVATION AREAS.
* EXCELLENT RAINY SEASON IN BLUE NILE STATE.
( SOURCE: MOA GADARIF STATE -SUDAN)

5. GADARIF STATE 2017 RAINFALL

6. AREAS OF SESAME CULTIVATION
[1] DARFUR
[2] KURDOFAN
[3] GADARIF
[4] WHITE NILE
[5] SINNAR
[6] BLUE NILE 3 1 2 4 5 6

7. SUMMARY OF CULTIVATED AREAS (2015, 2016 & 2017)
STATE
AVERAGE CULTIVATED AREA (HECTARE)
CULTIVATED
SESAME TYPE
DIFFERENCE (%)
15/2016
16/2017
17/2018
GEDARIF
294,000
341,880
White
63.78%
KURDUFAN
661,500
1,377,180
1,350,000
Red/White
1.96%
DARFUR
79,800
404,460
170,000
37.91%
BLUE NILE
121,800
126,840
252,000
98.67%
SINNAR
220,500
317,100
363,657
14.68%
WHITE NILE
113,400
232,260
250,000
7.63%
OTHERS
63,000
7,980
8,000 -
TOTAL
1,554,000
2,807,700
2,602,397
( SOURCE: MOA -SUDAN)

8. SESAME CULTIVATED AREAS, HARVESTED AND PRODUCTION SEASONS 2015-2018
(Hectare)
Harvested
Average Productivity
(KG/Hectare)
Production MT
2014/2015
2,940,000
2,499,000
216 (Kg / HA )
540
2015/2016
1,554,200
1,197,000
200 (Kg / HA )
245
2016/2017
2,807,000
2,125,500
247 (Kg / HA )
525
2017/2018
2,602,397
2,140,000
200(Kg / HA )
455*
* Estimated Data
( SOURCE: MOA -SUDAN)

9. EXPECTED PRODUCTION SEASON 2017 / 2018
STATE
PRODUCTION/MT 2017/2018
(ESTIMATE)
PRODUCTION/MT 2016/2017
(ACTUAL)
Difference
(%)
GEDARIF
75,000
93,000
44%
KURDUFAN
170,000
157,000
8.3%
DARFUR
40,000
97,000
58.7%
BLUE NILE
52,000
34,000
52.9%
SINNAR
76,000
89,000
14.6%
WHITE NILE
54,000
35%
OTHERS
2,000
1,000 -
TOTAL
455,000
525,000
21.8%

10. YEAR PRICE USD JAN-DEC. 2014 2100 JAN-DEC. 2015 1250 JAN-DEC. 2016
SUDANESE SESAME HISTORICAL AVERAGE PRICES
NATURAL (FOB PORT SUDAN - USD)
YEAR
PRICE USD
JAN-DEC. 2014
2100
JAN-DEC. 2015
1250
JAN-DEC. 2016
JAN-NOV. 2017
1150
( SOURCE: SUDAN TRADE POINT – SESAME REPORT )

11. SUDANESE SESAME AVERAGE PRICES JAN-DEC 2016/ JAN-NOV 2017
( SOURCE: SUDAN TRADE POINT – SESAME REPORT )

12. SUDANESE SESAME AVERAGE PRICES JAN-NOV 2017
WHITISH (FOB PORT SUDAN - USD)
PERIOD
PRICE USD
JAN-FEB
1050
MARCH-APRIL
1100
MAY-JUNE
1150
JULY-AUG
1200
SEPTEMBER
OCTOBER
NOVEMBER
( SOURCE: SUDAN TRADE POINT – SESAME REPORT )

13. SUDANESE SESAME AVERAGE PRICES JAN-NOV 2017
( SOURCE: SUDAN TRADE POINT – SESAME REPORT )

14. EXCHANGE RATE
The financial authorities in each country pay extra attention to exchange rate as the strength and stability of the national economy is closely linked to its rate against other foreign currencies.
Exchange rate importance also stems from being the main source of country's reserve; as well as being the instrument by which the country pays its imports and fulfills its obligations towards the outer world.
The exchange rate policies have a direct impact in reducing the rate of inflation and cost of economical and structural reform of different sectors.

15. COMPARISON OF EXCHANGE RATES 2014- 2017 PARALLEL MARKET (AVERAGE )
DIFFERENCE
(%)
PARALLEL MARKET (AVERAGE )
OFFICIAL RATE
SDG/USD
YEAR
54%
7.7
5.0
2014
56%
9.2
5.9
2015
96%
13.5
6.9
2016 (First half)
83%
16.5
9.0
2016 (Second half)
15% 18
15.6
2017 (First half)
35% 21
2017 (Second half)

16. THE EFFECT OF EXCHANGE RATE ON PRICING
Exchange rate plays essential role in determining exports’ cost.
As an example, below table shows how it costing affected by disparity of exchange rate:-
18.5
19.0
19.5
20.0
20.5
21.0
(Current)
Exchange Rate
SDG/1USD
16.7%
13.5%
10.6%
7.7%
2.5% 0%
Price increase
(%)

17. TOTAL SESAME EXPORTS (2014, 2015, 2016 & 2017)
PERIOD
(QTY. MT)
JAN - MAR
71,659
114,825
75,799
148,582
APR - JUN
66,032
72,641
121,250
136,672
JUL – AUG
46,421
54,687
84,694
21,851
SEPT – OCT
115,595
65,210
185,885
93,912
TOTAL
299,707
307,363
467,628
401,017
* Actual data
( SOURCE: CENTRAL BANK OF SUDAN – SUDAN COSTUMS )

18. SESAME EXPORTS IN METRIC TONS 2014, 2015, 2016 & 2017 *
* Up to October 2017

19. SESAME SEEDS EXPORTS, ANNUAL GROWTH
AND SHARE IN NON OIL EXPORT DURING THE PERIOD
YEAR
VALUE
($000)
QUANTITY
(MT)
NON OIL
EXPORTS
VALUE ANNUAL GROWTH (%)
ANNUAL
GROWTH (%)
SHARE IN NON OIL EXPORTS
(%)
2014
466,338
299,707
3,096,100
1.27
-26.6
8.7
2015
453,478
307,363
2,541,930
-2.75
2.49
17.8
2016
379,347
467,628
2,757,926
-16.35
52.14
13.75
2017
302,368
401,017*
1,943,187 -
15.56
* TOTAL SESAME EXPORTS JAN- OCTOBER 2017 (Actual)
( SOURCE: CENTRAL BANK OF SUDAN – SUDAN COSTUMS )

20. Sesame Import by Major Countries – Jan-July Importing Country’s Growth Rate Compared to Previous Seasons’ Same period
COUNTRY
EXPORT SIZE
GROWTH
VALUE
$ (000)
(%) OF TOTAL
EXPORT VALUE
PREVIOUS SEASON
(%)
CHINA
68,445
31.82
24.76
7.06
EGYPT
27,989
13.01
26.97
13.96
SAUDI ARABIA
15,572
7.24
14.06
6.82
LEBANON
8,209
3.82
9.09
5.27
JORDAN
11,082
5.15
7.84
2.69
INDIA
10,547
4.90
1.78
3.12
TURKEY
18,133
8.43
3.57
4.86
GREECE
6,569
3.05
2.09
0.96
TUNISIA
4,968
2.31
4.96
2.65
UAE
5,606
2.60
0.95
1.65
SYRIA
8,355
3.88
3.18
0.70
( SOURCE: CENTRAL BANK OF SUDAN – SUDAN COSTUMS )

21. IMPORTERS OF SUDANESE SESAME DURING 2017
( SOURCE: CENTRAL BANK OF SUDAN – SUDAN CUSTOMS )

22. 2016/ 2017 SEASON REVIEW Actual harvested Crop (all types): 525,000MT
Total Exports: Jan – October ,000MT (*1)
Local consumption & others: 124,000MT (*2)
Old Crop Stock(s): ,000MT
(*1) Actual data
(*2) Including mixed/red sesame

23. New Crop Arrival: GADARIF: 20,000MT BLUE NILE & SINNAR: 10,000MT
(As of 07/11/2017 approx.)
GADARIF: ,000MT
BLUE NILE & SINNAR: 10,000MT
WHITE NILE: ,000MT
WESTERN STATES: 5,000MT
================================================
Total new crop so far: ,000MT

24. Thank You,
Wagdi M. MAHGOUB