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Developing Country Vaccine Markets
Presentation to 2015 DCVMN Meeting Amie Batson Chief Strategy Officer, PATH October 2015 PATH/Eric Becker
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Agenda What is the “developing country” vaccine market?
Globally financed developing country vaccine market – Demand Supply Financing Opportunities and challenges for the future 2
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Changing Demand Landscape - 2006
Source: UNICEF public data 3
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Changing Demand Landscape - 2007
Source: UNICEF public data 4
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Changing Demand Landscape - 2008
Source: UNICEF public data 5
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Changing Demand Landscape - 2009
Source: UNICEF public data 6
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Changing Demand Landscape - 2010
Source: UNICEF public data 7
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Changing Demand Landscape - 2011
Rapid adoption of PCV Source: UNICEF public data 8
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Changing Demand Landscape - 2012
Source: UNICEF public data 9
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Changing Demand Landscape - 2013
Source: UNICEF public data 10
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Changing Demand Landscape - 2014
Source: UNICEF public data 11
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New Product Combinations – DTP Family 1998-2014
Source: UNICEF public data 12
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New Product Combinations – Measles Family 2014-2030
Source: PATH Global Vaccines Market Model. Provided for illustrative purposes only 13
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Increasing Value (UNICEF Contracts 2001-14)
Source: UNICEF public data 14
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New Markets (Gavi Graduation 2015-30)
Source: PATH Global Vaccines Market Model. Provided for illustrative purposes only. 15
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New Markets (Gavi Graduation 2015-30)
Source: PATH Global Vaccines Market Model. Provided for illustrative purposes only. 16
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New Markets (Gavi Graduation 2015-30)
Source: PATH Global Vaccines Market Model. Provided for illustrative purposes only. 17
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New Markets (Gavi Graduation 2015-30)
Source: PATH Global Vaccines Market Model. Provided for illustrative purposes only. 18
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New Products in the Pipeline
Source: WHO public data; PATH and partners’ analysis, July 2015 19
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Examples of Manufacturers Leading the Way
Chengdu Institute of Biological Products (CDIBP) Japanese encephalitis Serum Institute of India Ltd. Meningitis A 20
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DCVM diversity Market Driver Product Portfolio/ Production Scale
Emerging MNCs New Entrants Parastatal Global Actors Local Gatekeepers Niche Largest Product Portfolio/ Production Scale Privately Held State-owned Market Driver
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DCVM diversity Market Driver Product Portfolio/ Production Scale
Parastatal Global Actors Local Providers State-owned Market Driver Emerging MNCs New Entrants Privately Held Niche Largest Product Portfolio/ Production Scale
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DCVM diversity Product Portfolio/ Production Scale Local Providers New
Parastatal Global Actors Local Providers Emerging MNCs New Entrants State-owned Privately Held Niche Largest Market Driver Product Portfolio/ Production Scale Not exhaustive
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Opportunities and Challenges for the Future
Regulatory Approval/PQ GAVI Graduation Access to high margin markets Shift to combination vaccine Advantage for Regional Products? Market Knowledge Lower Cost Creative partnership
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twitter.com/PATHtweets twitter.com/AmieBatson
Connect with Me twitter.com/PATHtweets twitter.com/AmieBatson 25
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