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Chapter 1 INTRODUCTION TO ENGINEERING EONOMICS

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1 Chapter 1 INTRODUCTION TO ENGINEERING EONOMICS
ENGINEERING ECONOMICS (BPK 30902) Chapter 1 INTRODUCTION TO ENGINEERING EONOMICS ZUIKARNAIN BIN DAUD 1

2 Contents Introduction of engineering economics
Origins of Engineering Economic Principles of Engineering Economic Important concepts in engineering economics Steps in making the best decision Scope of engineering economics Engineering Economic and the Design Process

3 Learning Outcomes The scope of engineering economics
The importance & concepts in engineering economy Types of business organization The nature and types of engineering economic decisions Format of four financial statements

4 Introduction To Engineering Economics

5 Engineering Projects – Assessment Of Project’s Investment
Definition Engineering Economy Economic Approach Solving Problem Engineering Projects – Assessment Of Project’s Investment 5

6 Definition Engineering Economy involves the systematic evaluation of the economic merits of proposed solutions to engineering problems. To be economically acceptable or affordable, solutions to engineering problems must demonstrate a positive balance of long-term cost.

7 Definition Solutions to engineering problems also must;
Promote the well-being and survival of an organisation Embody creative & innovative technology & ideas Permit identification & scrutiny of their estimate outcomes Translate profitability to “the bottom line” through a valid & acceptable measure of merits

8 Origins of Engineering Economic

9 Economy Economy is the study of how limited resources are used optimally to satisfy unlimited human wants Resources are known as factors of production employed to produce goods and services. Four type of resources Land Labor Capital Entrepreneur

10 Resources Land Land is the gifts of nature, such as land, water, air, minerals, sunshine, plant & jungle, which is applied to the production process Labor Labor is the efforts, skills, & knowledge of human resources which are applied to the production process

11 Resources ….. (continued)
Capital Money Capital Money is financial resources which are used in the production process Physical Capital Physical capital is something can be hold like equipment & machineries, tools, buildings, vehicles which are used in production Human Capital Human capital is an education & training applied to labor in the production process

12 Resources ….. (continued)
Entrepreneur Entrepreneur is individual who takes risk to develop a business by using land, labor & capital effectively, & efficiently

13 General Economic Environment
Consumer goods Consumer goods & services are those that are directly used by end consumers. Producer goods and services Producer goods/services are those used in the production process of consumer goods and services. For instance inventories, raw materials, factory building, machineries etc. Utility is a measure of the value which consumers place on that product or service

14 General Economic Environment …… continued
Demand is total required products/services by the consumer in the particular market Supply is amount of required products/services offered by the firms or sellers Market Competition Level The level of competition in the market are perfect competition (many sellers and product almost the same), monopoly (one or two sellers), oligopoly (few sellers and product has few distinctiveness) , monopolistic (many sellers & product has different features)

15 Important Concepts In Engineering Economics

16 Concepts in Engineering Economics
Time value of money Interest rate and rate of return Equivalence concept Cash flows Marginal revenue must exceed marginal cost Additional risk is not taken without the expected additional return

17 1. Time Value Of Money Time value of money is a change in money value for certain time of period. The RM1 we receive today is worth more than RM1 in the future because the opportunity cost or interest rate that we could have earned if we have RM1 sooner. Some measures of worth are: Present worth (PW) Future worth (FW) Annual worth (AW) Rate of return (ROR)/ IRR Benefit/ cost ratio (B/C) Payback period

18 2. Interest Rate & Rate of Return
Interest is the financial charge for borrowing money A cost to the borrower and an income to a lender Interest is expressed in percentage rate Example, 5% interest rate for a RM20,000 loan Interest payment is RM1,000 (0.05 x RM20,000) The interest earned is known as rate of return (ROR) In Islam, interest element is totally prohibited

19 3. Equivalence Concept The concept in time value of money and interest rate can direct to the creation of economic equivalence concept Economic equivalence means the different sum of money in a different period has the same economic value

20 4. Cash Flows A cash flow is a summation of total cash receipts & total cash disbursements for a given period of time Cash flow are very important in engineering economics because they are the main basis for alternatives evaluation

21 Categories Of Cash Flow
Initial cost – acquisition cost-to build, to buy & to install. Operations & maintenance (O&M) – annual expenditure Salvage value – the remaining value of asset at the end of its life usage. Revenues – annual receipts due to sale of products & services

22 Examples of Cash Inflows & Inflows
Revenues (incremental value) Operating cost reduction Asset residual value Loan principal receipts Saving or returns Cash Outflow Initial cost of project Operating cost Periodic maintenance costs Loan interest and principal payments Income taxes Net cash flow = receipts - disbursements = cash inflows - cash outflows All cash flows are assumed occur at the end of a period and can be illustrated by developing the cash flow diagram/time line

23 Statement of Cash Flows
RM Cash flows from operating activities Receipts from revenues Dividends received Payments for expenses Payments to suppliers XX (XX) Net operating cash flows Cash flows from investing activities Cash proceeds from sale of equipment Loan repaid by other entities Purchase of equipment Loans to other entities Net investing cash flows Cash flows from financing activities Cash proceeds from capital contributions Borrowings Repayments of borrowings Drawings by owner Net financing cash flows Net increase (decrease) in cash Plus: Cash at the beginning of year Cash at the end of year XXX Cash Flows Statement XYZ Co. Statement of Cash Flows For Year Ending 31 December 2007

24 5. Marginal Revenue Must Exceed Marginal Cost
In making a decision, an increase in revenue must greater than an increase in cost. Example: the increase of cost should be included into cost price as to maintain profitable level Increase of petrol oil Increase of sugar

25 6. Additional Risk Is Not Taken Without The Expected Additional Return
Generally, we do not take risk if there is no expected higher return One risk must be compensated with return Example: Additional cost for better packaging for higher sales volume or additional promotion expenses for higher sales forecast Spent RM200,000 on advertising for higher sales forecast of RM2 mil

26 Accounting Financial Statements
Financial statements are prepared to communicate important accounting information to users. Four Types of Accounting Financial Statements Income Statement/ Statement of Financial Performance The income statement shows the net income or loss incurred within a certain period of time. Owner’s Equity Statement /Statement of Financial Position This statement summarizes the changes in owner’s equity. Balance Sheet/ Statement of Financial Position A Balance Sheet shows company’s financial position of assets, liabilities and owner’s equity at a point in time. Cash Flows Statement

27 Principles of Engineering Economic

28 Principles of EE Develope the Alternatives Focus on theDifferences
Use a Consistant Viewpoint Use a Common Unit of Measure Consider All Relevent Criteria Make Risk & Uncertainty Explicit Revisit Your Decisions

29 Principles of EE Develop the Alternatives Focus on the Differences
The choice (decision) is among alternatives. The alternatives need to be identified & then defined for subsequent analysis Focus on the Differences Only the differences in expected future outcomes among the alternatives Relevant to their comparison & should be considered in the decision

30 Principles of EE Use a Consistant Viewpoint
The prospective outcomes of the alternatives, economic & other,should be consistently developed from a defined viewpoint (perspectives) Use a Common Unit of Measure Using common unit of measurement to enmerate as many of the prospective outcomes as possible willsimplity the analysis of thealternatives

31 Principles of EE Consider All Relevent Criteria
Selection of a preferred alternative (decision making) requires the use of a criterion (or several criteria). The decision process should consider both the outcomes in the monetary unit & those expressed in some other unit of measurement or made explicit in a descriptive manner

32 Principles of EE Make Risk & Uncertainty Explicit
Risk & uncertainty are inherent in estimating the future outcomes of the alternatives & should be recognized in their analysis & comparison Revisit Your Decisions Improved decision making results from an adaptive process; to the extent practicable, the initial projected outcomes of the selected alternative should be subsequently compared with actual results achieved

33 Engineering Economic & The Design Process

34 EE and the Design Process
An EE study is accomplished using a structured procedure & mathematical modeling techniques. The economic results are then used in a decision situation that normally includes other engineering knowledge & input

35 EE and the Design Process
EE Analysis Procedure Engineering Design Process Step Activity 1. Problem recognition, definition, & evaluation Problem/ need definition 2. Problem/ need formulation & evaluation Development alternative 3. Synthesis of possible solutions (alternatives) Development of the outcomes and cash flows for each alternative 4. Analysis, optimization, & evaluation Selection of a criterion (or criteria) 5. Analysis & comparison of the alternatives 6. Selection of the prefereed alternative Specification of preferred alternative 7. Performance monitoring & post-evaluation of results Communication

36 Engineering Design Process - Problem Definition
Provide basic for analysis Step 1 Problems recognition/ formulation from systems perspective/ evaluation E.g. an operating problem within a company (internal need) or a customer expectation about a product or service (external requirement) /

37 Engineering Design Process - Development of Alternatives
Each alternative selected is judged Steps 2 search potential alternative/ select smaller group Searching for Superior Alternative Developing Investment alternative /

38 a. Searching for Superior Alternative
The difference between good & great alternatives depends on problem-solving efficiency . Efficiency can be increased in the following ways: Concentrate on redefining one problem at a time Develop many redefinitions for the problems Avoid making judgments as new problems definitions are created Attempt to redefine a problem in terms that different from the problem definition Make sure that the true /

39 b. Developing Investment alternative
Most investment alternatives created by good engineering ideas are drawn from a larger population of equally good problem solutions Classical Brainstorming Deferment of judgment & quantity breeds quality Nominal group technique To obtain group thinking (consensus) Reducing dominance of one or more participants & conflicting ideas /

40 Engineering Design Process - Development of Prospective Outcome
Basic cash flow approach represents economic effects of an alternative in terms of money spend & received Non-monetary factors Meeting /exceeding customer expectations Safety to the employees & to the public Improvement employer satisfaction Maintain feasibility to meet changers demand Achieving good public relation / being member relations /

41 Engineering Design Process
Selection of a Decision Criterion Select the alternative that serve the long-terms interest Reflect a consistent & proper viewpoint Analysis & Comparison of Alternatives TO obtain accurate forecast of cash flows & other factors /

42 Engineering Design Process
Selection of a Preferred Alternative Technical-economic modeling Analysis techniques indicates the quality of the result obtained Recommended course of action Performance Monitoring & Post evaluation of Results Monitoring improves achievement Reduces the variability in desired results Continuing improvement /

43 Steps In Making The Best Decision

44 Decision Making Process
Recognize & evaluate the problem Collect & analyze the related data Identify the feasible alternatives & make a realistic projection (future cash flow expectation) Identify the required criterion for selecting the alternative Assess & compare the alternatives Choose & implement the alternative

45 The Decision Making Process
Non-economic factors: social responsibilities, environment, laws, and politics, the needs of consumer in the marketplace, the affordability of the consumer to purchase the product or services Economic factors: production’s cost, total revenue, financial sources Combination

46 Housing Project Example Affordable for customers Safety
Cost for the company Decision to purchase a long term asset Machines or equipments The engineers have to consider a long-term benefit for the company

47 I M P O R T A N C E (1) Pursuing monetary value in the invention to position as profitable firm (2) Most economical balance the trade off between cost & performance (3) Plays major role in capital investment decisions based on engineers technical knowledge (4) Prevent conflict between engineers & financial department

48 Scope Of Engineering Economics

49 Engineering Economic Project
Most investments made by the engineers will fall into 3 main categories Profit-enhancing programs Cost control programs - to correct errors in system Public improvement programs

50 Investments Programs Categories
1. Profit- enhancing Programs New product development New product acquisition Production capacity expansion Service capacity expansion Improved customer service 2. Cost Control Programs - To Correct Errors In System Improving efficiency Streamlining operations Eliminating waste Reducing liabilities 3. Public Improvement Programs Increased public satisfaction Increased public safety Improved infrastructure

51 Project Ideas These programs will lead to the project ideas like:
Equipment or process selection Equipment replacement New product or product expansion Cost reduction Improvement in service or quality

52 Questions & Problems Explain why the subject of engineering economy is important to the practicing engineer? Briefly discuss what the engineering economic is and give example. What kind of common investment will be made by the engineer? Explain.

53 Questions & Problems The management team of ABC Furniture Company is trying to increase profitability in order to require loan from the bank to purchase a new and modern machine. One proposed solution is to sell waste old equipment instead of using them. Define the company’s problem. Reformulate the problem in other creative ways. Develop at least one potential alternative for your reformulated problems in part (a).

54 Questions & Problems Sheila bought a small terrace house for RM100,000 in a Cheras town. She spent RM10,000 of her own money for the building and got a bank loan for the remaining RM90,000. The annual loan payment is RM10,000. The annual maintenance of the house is RM12,000. The house can be rented for RM1,500 per month. Refer to the decision making process procedure to answer these questions. Does Sheila have a problem? If so, what is it? What are her alternatives (identify at least three) Estimate the economic consequences and other required data for the alternatives in Part (b). Develop a criterion for choosing the alternatives. Analyze and compare the alternatives in view of at least one criterion in addition to cost. What should Sheila do based on the information you and she have generated?

55 Thank You


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