1. FRISBEE: Freight Transport Model in Europe and Russia
January 9, 2003
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2. Parties The Client: Consultants: Interest Groups (Steering Board):
The Finnish Ministry of Communication and Transport
Consultants:
The State Research Center
LT-Consultants Ltd
Matrex Ltd
Interest Groups (Steering Board):
Road Administration
Railway Administration
Customs
Associations
January 9, 2003
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3. Background
strategic level decision making must be enhanced taking into consideration the risks and possibilities involved in the process, using the best data and tools available:
good background information of the past, present and future development
good analytical tools for consistent evaluation of possibilities and scenarios
a will to use analytical information for the best of the country in the decision making process. Truthful information to the people
January 9, 2003
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4. Objectives and the scope
knowledge management system for freight transport on strategic level
an open system for
decision makers
experts and researchers, companies, public organizations, general public
emphasis on the Baltic and Barents areas, also other European countries and continents included
based mostly on the existing data
STEMM
STREAMS
SCENES
EUROSIL etc.
January 9, 2003
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5. Description of the freight transport system (STAN)
Concept
FRISBEE
FRISBEE-board
USERS
User Interface
Description of the freight transport system (STAN)
LINKS
- data-
bases
- research-programs
- etc.
January 9, 2003
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6. Contents Supply: Demand: Costs: Data on general background variables
transport networks and terminals for all the modes
transport services on all the networks and terminals
Demand:
freight flows aggregated to 12 commodity groups between NUTS3 defined zones
Costs:
unit cost for all the modes and commodities
Data on general background variables
population, employment, GNP etc.
January 9, 2003
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7. Cost components By mode and by commodity, for links and transfers:
Operation costs
Risk of damage
Reliability
Value of goods
Transport time
Frequency
January 9, 2003
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8. Possibilities Scenario development, comparison and analysis
Public presentation of certain plans and scenarios (through internet)
Updatable data bank of freight transport system (once a year)
Project development at marginal cost
January 9, 2003
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9. The Modelling software (STAN)
STAN = “Strategic Transportation ANalysis”
The objective of STAN is to assist the strategic planning of multiproduct multimode transportation systems. The aim is to correctly represent the elements of the system, to capture their interactions, and to obtain an overall estimation of the movements of most (all) “products”, by most (all) of the “modes” available, following various assignment criteria and scenario definitions.
The modelling approach as well as the initial version of STAN, were developed in the late 80’s at the Center for Research on Transportation (C.R.T.) of the University of Montréal. Since 1988, technical support and development has been provided by INRO Consultants.
January 9, 2003
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10. Model components (STAN)
January 9, 2003
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11. Data bank
January 9, 2003
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12. Zones
January 9, 2003
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13. Road Network
January 9, 2003
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14. Rail Network
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15. Demand: exports from one zone in Finland (excl. Russia, y. 2000)
January 9, 2003
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16. Demand: import from Russia to one zone in Finland (y. 2000)
January 9, 2003
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17. Possible Frisbee applications in analysis
combination of infrastructure projects
cost/benefit analysis
location of new facilities
alternatives for various types of infrastructure projects
environmental impact studies
energy consumption
shift in modal share
withdraval of services on certain facilities
sensitivity analysis regarding network and cost structure changes
rationalizing of services
toll roads and tunnels
domestic and export/import freight flows
hazardous goods
empty vehicle movements
combined transportarion
intermodal transshipments
traffic restrictions
interperiod warehousing choice
January 9, 2003
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18. Some Case Studies Assumptions:
Fixed demand in level of y. 2000, for 12 commodities
Only imports and exports (no intrazonal flows)
Costs in market prices
Comparisons to base scenario (2000)
January 9, 2003
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19. Reduced Fairway Dues
The fairway due, based on ship size and ice class, was reduced by 50% in the Finnish territorial waters in 2000/2001. Frisbee data bank was tested with the same inputs.
Results:
Transito freight at the Russian border increased by million tons/year; this is in accordance with the real data
truck freight increased by 0.5 million tons/year
Transport work increased inside Finland: million tonkm´s
January 9, 2003
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20. Reduced Fairway Dues 2 changes on the rail network January 9, 2003
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21. Road fees on TEN-road network
Higher road fees on TEN-road network, based on the White Book of EU
Four values tested, min max EUR/vehiclekm
January 9, 2003
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22. Road fees, Some results
Total transport work of Export/Import in the Frisbee area will increase 4…16 bill. tonkm
Road transports in Finland will decrease 15…35%
Rail transports in Finland will increase 10…25%
Total transportation costs in the system will increase 1.3 … 3.0% (1…2 bill. EUR/year)
Cost components related to level of service (reliability, risk of damage, frequency) will increase 9…17%
January 9, 2003
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23. Road fees; Changes on the rail network
January 9, 2003
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24. New Baltic Rail Connection
A quick mental test
A new railway with European standard from Warsaw to Tallinn via Kaunas and Riga
The Baltic states are members of the EU
The new rail connection will be fast and reliable
The sea connections between Finland and Estonia are respectively enhanced (II phase)
January 9, 2003
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25. Baltic Rail Connection; plot 1
Changes on the rail network, I –phase.
(1000 tons/v).
January 9, 2003
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26. Baltic Rail Connection; plot 2
Changes on the rail network, II –phase compared to I-phase. (1000/v).
January 9, 2003
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27. Development
Work is going on to enhance the system in Russia, especially in the St. Petersburg region and North-Western part of Russia
January 9, 2003
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