1. The Public’s Mixed Views of Trade
Bruce Stokes
Director, Global Economic Attitudes
@BruceStokes
OECD April 25, 2017

2. Pew Research Center Established 1996
June, 2015
Pew Research Center
Established 1996
Funded by the Pew Charitable Trusts, other foundations
Non-profit, non-partisan fact tank in Washington
Since 2002, we have surveyed in 93 countries
Research topics:
U.S. politics
Media and the news
Social trends
Internet and technology
Science
Hispanics
Global public opinion and migration
November 10, 2018

3. Chinese, Indians: upbeat about Globalization
November 10, 2018

4. Chinese Have Positive View of Global Economic Engagement
EMBARGOED COPY - NOT FOR DISTRIBUTION OR PUBLICATION UNTIL 18:00 EDT (22:00 GMT) MONDAY, JUNE 13, 2016
Chinese Have Positive View of Global Economic Engagement
Which statement comes closer to your view about China’s involvement in the global economy?
Involvement in the global economy is a good thing for China because it provides our country with new markets and opportunities for growth
TOTAL
60%
Urban 63
Rural 55
Source: Spring 2016 Global Attitudes Survey.
November 10, 2018

5. It’s bad because it lowers wages, costs jobs
Roughly Half of Indians Think India’s Involvement in the Global Economy Is a Good Thing
Which statement comes closer to your view about India’s involvement in the global economy?
It’s bad because it lowers wages, costs jobs
It’s good because it provides India with new markets, opportunities for growth
Neither (VOL)
Don’t know
Source: Spring 2016 Global Attitudes Survey.
November 10, 2018

6. A More Divided View in Europe
November 10, 2018

7. Widely Differing European Views on Economic Engagement
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Widely Differing European Views on Economic Engagement
Our country’s involvement in the global economy is a good thing because it provides our country with new markets and opportunities for growth
NUMBERCHECKED
November 10, 2018

8. Men More Likely to Favor Global Economic Engagement
Our country’s involvement in the global economy is a good thing because it provides our country with new markets and opportunities for growth
Source: Spring 2016 Global Attitudes Survey.
November 10, 2018

9. Those Partial to Populist Parties More Negative on Global Economic Engagement
Our country’s involvement in the global economy is a bad thing because it lowers wages and costs jobs
Source: Spring 2016 Global Attitudes Survey.
November 10, 2018

10. One Reason: Many Doubt the Benefits of Trade and FDI
Trade is good
Trade increases wages
Trade creates jobs
Trade lowers prices
Foreign companies buying domestic companies is good
Foreign companies building factories in our country is good %
Spain 91 28 56 22 43 85
Germany 90 26 19 66 UK 88 34 50 24 39 82
Greece 79 21 44 35 31 67
Poland 78 38 51 40 75
France 73 14 32
Italy 59 7 13 23 61
November 10, 2018

11. Japanese attitudes
November 10, 2018

12. Majority Say Global Economic Engagement is a Good Thing, But Women and Older People Are Less Positive
Involvement in the global economy is a good thing because it provides Japan with new markets and opportunities for growth
Source: Spring 2016 Global Attitudes Survey.
November 10, 2018

13. Japanese Are the Least Enthusiastic in Asia-Pacific About Globalization’s Benefits
Trade
is good
Trade increases wages
Trade creates jobs
lowers prices
Foreign companies buying domestic companies
Foreign companies building factories in our country %
Vietnam 95 72 78 31 59 80
Malaysia 87 47 57 9 45
Chile 85 27 52 28 53 68
Peru 81 42 55 24 70
Mexico 71 43 50 69
Japan 10 15 17 58
U.S. 20 35 75
November 10, 2018

14. Americans Views on trade are counter intuitive, partisan and changing
Sept. 18, 2015 14

15. Rating each a top priority for the president and Congress
Trade Has Never Been a Priority for Most Americans, Although They Are Slightly More Concerned in 2017
Rating each a top priority for the president and Congress
--Bush--
Obama
--Trump--
2007
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017 %
Defending against terrorism 80 76 73 69 71 75
Strengthening nation’s economy 68 85 83 87 86
Reducing health care costs 59 57 61 60 63 64 66
Protecting the environment 41 44 40 43 52 49 51 47 55
Reducing the budget deficit 53 72 56
Dealing with immigration* 46 39
Dealing with global trade issues 34 31 32 38 28 30
Dealing with global climate change+ 26 25 29
*Before 2014, question asked about ‘illegal immigration.’ +Prior to 2016, question asked about ‘global warming.’
Source: Pew Research Center survey, conducted Jan. 4-9, 2017.
November 10, 2018

16. Americans See Foreign Trade as an Opportunity Not a Threat Do you see foreign trade more as an opportunity for economic growth through increased U.S. exports or a threat to the economy from foreign imports? %
Source: Gallup survey, conducted Feb. 1-5, 2017.
2017
November 10, 2018

17. Republicans Less Likely Than Democrats to See Trade as an Opportunity % saying they see foreign trade more as an opportunity for economic growth through increased U.S. exports than as a threat to the economy from foreign imports %
Source: Gallup survey, conducted Feb. 1-5, 2017.
November 10, 2018

18. American Support for NAFTA Has Grown in Recent Years Do you think NAFTA has been good for the U.S. or bad for the U.S.? % 48 46
Source: Gallup survey, conducted Feb. 1-5, 2017.
November 10, 2018

19. But GOP Backing for NAFTA Has Declined NAFTA has been good for the U.S.%
Source: Gallup survey, conducted Feb. 1-5, 2017.
November 10, 2018

20. In Principle Americans Favor Other Free Trade Deals
Free trade agreements between the U.S. and other countries have been a __ for the United States
Source: Pew Research Center Survey, April 5-11, 2017.
November 10, 2018

21. Women, Young People, Minorities Most Supportive of FTAs
Free trade agreements between the U.S. and other countries
have been a good thing for the United States
Note: Whites and blacks include only those who are not Hispanic; Hispanics are of any race.
Source: Pew Research Center Survey, April 5-11, 2017.
November 10, 2018

22. Older White Men Are the Most Negative on Free Trade Deals
Free trade agreements between the U.S. and other
countries have been a __ for the United States
Good thing
Bad thing %
TOTAL Population 52 40
White men 46 47   63 32   49 41   35 55   34 58
Note: Whites include only those who are not Hispanic.
Source: Pew Research Center Survey, April 5-11, 2017.
November 10, 2018

23. And Americans Are Split on the Value of Involvement in the Global Economy When Reminded of the Costs
Which statement comes closer to your view about U.S. involvement in the global economy?
Source: Pew Research Center Survey, April 12-19, 2016.
November 10, 2018

24. And Few Think Free Trade Deals Boost the Economy, Wages or Jobs
Free trade agreements …
Note: “Other” and “Don’t know” responses not shown.
Source: Pew Research Center survey, May 12-18, 2015.
November 10, 2018

25. EMBARGOED COPY - NOT FOR DISTRIBUTION OR PUBLICATION UNTIL 18:00 EDT (22:00 GMT) MONDAY, JUNE 13, 2016
June, 2015
All Pew Research Center reports and data are available online at
November 10, 2018