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Published byMinna Jasmin Glöckner Modified over 6 years ago
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Overview of Economic Development Theories
“Frame of Reference”
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Economic Growth Theories
Conventional Neo-Classical Models (1) Harrod-Domar Model focusing on Capital (2) Solow Model (Representative Neo-Classical Model) focusing mainly on Capital and Technology New Growth Models =Endogenous Growth Models (3) Endogenous Growth Models -Some taking Human Capital seriously - World Bank Model taking Social Capital seriously -Others focusing on Government Leadership, Natural Resources(Endowment), financial development, etc. - Some focusing on Value System of Specific Culture/Society one of them is Japanese Economic Growth Model based on Neo-Cofuncianism Other Growth Models (4) Lewis Model – focusing on Duality (5) Rostow Model – focusing on Take-Off and Structural Changes
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(1) Basic Features of Conventional Neo-Classical Economics
1) Supply Matters Economic growth = an Increase in aggregate output comes from an increase in L; an increase in K; and/or improvement of T
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3) Specific Institutions do not matter
2) Aggregate Demand does not matter for long-run growth of income up to a certain stage of development -> In a developed country, a lack of demand can cause long-tern stagnation -> Until then, Macroeconomic Policies of Government should not matter for Y in the long-run 3) Specific Institutions do not matter No room in production function for institutions, such as government leadership, system; the only governing principle is competition and efficiency. 4) Universality of the Model’s Application All countries will go through the same process
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Basic Math ‘aggregate production function’ Y = f (K, L; T)
“Cobb-Douglas Production Function”: Y = A K a L 1-a, and a<1 Growth function dY = f (dK, dL; dT)
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*Why are the features of evolution of a growing economy?
Anything that grows goes through a biological growth pattern- “S curve” Stages of Acceleration (Youth) and Deceleration (Maturity) In the end ther e will be Convergence
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(1)Harrod-Domar model focuses simply on K
- How K is accumulated “The more K, the better” - how efficiently K is used. “ICOR” (2)Solow Model focuses on Savings/Capital Accumuation and Technology. -There is a specific value of optimal saving rate leading to the Golden Rule - Excessive savings, or external injection of capital is not dynamically sustainable in the long-run. - Eventually all countries converge with falling growth rates as K rises. - Only T innovation can lead to a ultimately Sustained growth against the rule of Convergence,
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