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Renewing Growth, Renewing Opportunity
An Integrated Approach to Infrastructure Investment, Workforce Development, and Re- Employment March 9, 2017 Presented by Brent Orrell Vice President Family Self-Sufficiency
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The Basic Facts Analysts hypothesize that a decisive factor in President Trump’s victory was the wave of dissatisfaction in states affected by de-industrialization, off-shoring, automation, and displacement of domestic workers by immigrant workers Trump has called for a variety of policies (trade and immigration restrictions) to slow or reverse some of these trends He has also called for significant new spending on infrastructure-related projects to restore heavy industry jobs Electrical Grid Modernization Transportation Clean Water Cyber-Security Tax Expenditures, Direct Spending, Infrastructure Bank Presentation Title 11/11/2018
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The Challenge: Labor Market Constraints on Infrastructure-Led Growth
Proposed investments occur in the context of “full-employment” – 4.3% in January Virginia rate 3.8%, Fairfax County rate 3% Labor Force Participation Rate (LFPR) at 62%, lowest since 1977 Male LFPR has fallen almost 20 percent since 1950, from 87% to 69% Equals rates seen during Great Depression (Eberstadt, 2016) Virginia rate below national average, almost 65% 2 - 7 million prime-age (25-54) men neither working nor looking for work Demographics, disability, dependency, addiction, criminal records Industry competing for available, skilled workers Housing construction unemployment: 5.2%; an additional 500,000 to 600,000 workers needed just to meet anticipated housing demand (Washington Post, 6/07/16) Utilities: applicants can’t pass drug screen Industry will chase skills with wages; labor shortages will impede economic growth Presentation Title 11/11/2018
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The Infrastructure Conundrum
Reduced immigration + Skilled labor shortage + Infrastructure spending = Inefficiency, Bottlenecks, and Inflation Presentation Title 11/11/2018
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Expand the EITC to childless individuals
Policy Solutions Tailored solutions for skill building aligned to regional economic development patterns Expand the EITC to childless individuals Reform child support enforcement to increase access to workforce development services Expand training and placement for targeted populations (e.g. felony records, limited education and work histories Leverage infrastructure investments to increase employment opportunities in male-dominated fields Presentation Title 11/11/2018
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Port Covington, Baltimore
September 2016 – City of Baltimore approved $535 million in “tax increment financing” for redevelopment of Port Covington 2016 Effort led by Under Armour CEO, Kevin Plank and Sagamore Associates (real estate developer) Authorizing legislation requires 30% of all new jobs go to Baltimore City residents “Who benefits?” key question for all major redevelopment projects ICF contract to develop “workforce intermediary” to recruit, train, place and retain Baltimore residents in Port Covington jobs Construction and go-forward manufacturing, hospitality and operations/support Building partnerships with Baltimore faith-based and community organizations for recruitment of job seekers, linking to training resources, referring to employers Presentation Title 11/11/2018
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Port Covington Employment Impacts
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Types of Projected Port Covington Jobs
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Problem Solution ICF Expertise
Infrastructure investments will drive higher rates of economic growth expanding opportunity for workers at all levels of the economy Insufficient supply of skilled labor currently and in the long-term Solution Expand supply of domestic skilled labor and improve workforce participation Increase labor market participation by workers currently at the margins ICF Expertise Effective design and implementation of infrastructure projects In-depth local/regional labor market and skills-gap analysis Recruitment, assessment, and referral to training and supportive services Alignment of workforce development and training resources with identified, employer-driven skills needs Community outreach and engagement (e.g. fatherhood, FBCO expertise) Performance measurement and evaluation Presentation Title 11/11/2018
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