1. HIGHER EDUCATION ENROLMENT PLANNING
Prakash Naidoo

2. NATIONAL STUDENT ENROLMENT AND OUTPUT
HE System must contribute to national HR and research priorities
Enrolments to be matched to available resources
Institutions plans must be geared to improve graduation and success rates
Differentiated approach to planning will be applied

3. NATIONAL HEADCOUNT AND SHAPE TARGETS
2005 actual
2010
Growth %
Headcount
82 000
2.1%pa
SHAPE
SET
29%
30%
32 000 1%
BUS
33%
56 600 4%
EDUC
14%
13%
-1%
HUM
28%
24%
-4%

4. OTHER TARGETS
Vocational qualifications – target for diploma studies set at 34% up to 2010
From 2008 DOE approved TIU will be funded
National
Student Outputs
2005 actual
2010
Success rate
71%
77%
Graduates

5. VUT ENROLMENT PLANNING
Headcount versus FTE ratio
Enrolment distribution
Graduation and success rate
Research outputs

6. HEADCOUNT ENROLMENTS BY QUALIFICATION TYPE

7. DOE APPROVED PLAN FOR VUT
2006 (ACTUAL)
DOE
APPR RATIO
2010
TARGET
MIN/MAX
DIPLOMA
15 481
87%
16 095
Minimum
BTECH
1 441
10%
1 850 PG
251 3%
555
Maximum
TOTAL
17 173
100%
18 500

8. HEADCOUNT ENROLMENTS - FIELD OF STUDY
Original Plan
2006
2007
2008
DoE
SET
48.9
49.5 50
50+
Management
46.3
42.3 42 45
Education
0.4
0.3
Other Humanities
5.5
4.4
7.8
5Max

9. FTE ENROLMENTS BY QUALIFICATION TYPE
VUT Ratio of Headcount : FTE
1: : :0.84
Original Plan

10. FTE ENROLMENTS BY MAJOR FIELD OF STUDY
Original Plan
Ratio of Headcount : FTE
Target ?
1: : : :0.89

11. FTE DEGREE CREDITS DOE Target – 2010 = 77%
9488/13575
= 69.9%
8863/12708
= 69.7%
11255/14458
= 77.8%
DOE Target – 2010 = 77%
VUT Success rate target 72%-77% ?

12. GRADUATES BY FIELD OF STUDY
2284/17408
= 13.1%
2398/17186
= 14%
3192/17376
=18.4%
DOE 2010 Target
Graduation rate of 18.3%
VUT Target 16% - 18% ?

13. RESEARCH OUTPUTS Target – 2010:
0.5 per academic staff member ~ 156 (Current)
2005 M 100/145 = 100
2005 D 10/28 = 30
VUT Target 150 ?

14. KEEP LEARNING Learn more about FTEs, TIUs, TOUs,
ROUs, TDG,RDG, Dip,BDeg,M,D, Pubs, HC
Never let the brain idle.
“An idle mind is the devil’s workshop”
The devil’s name is Depression