1. program framework Articulate program goals
Develop system level model for goal attainment
Assess current management efforts – identify gaps
Develop management strategy
Develop monitoring program
Assess performance
Manage adaptively

2. program framework Articulate program goals explicit unambiguous
measurable
realistic
attainable

3. program framework Articulate program goals
Describe factors influencing goal attainment
Assess current management efforts – identify gaps
Develop management strategy
Develop monitoring program
Assess performance
Manage adaptively

4. program framework Describe factors influencing goal attainment
what has to be managed to attain goal
simple model of system
can be improved as knowledge/time permit

5. Success implementing EBM requires a theory of change
What must be done to produce the necessary and desired outcomes?
Adequately articulated, the theory of change:
organizes action
enables monitoring
facilitates adaptive management

6. Logic models

7. monitoring to reduce uncertainty
Validating assumptions about system behavior

8. Goal modeling identification of factors potentially affecting attainment
biological factors
fauna
flora
microorganisms
physical factors
structure
hydrology
temperature
chemical factors
salinity pH
nutrients
toxics
human factors
use objectives
modification of system
knowledge

10. program framework Articulate program goals
Develop system level model for goal attainment
Assess current management efforts – identify gaps
Develop management strategy
Develop monitoring program
Assess performance
Manage adaptively

11. program framework Assess current management efforts – identify gaps
simple initial assessment
critical factors not currently managed
opportunities for coordination
Develop management strategy
explicit, measurable intervention
clear, observable outcome

12. program framework Articulate program goals
Develop system level model for goal attainment
Assess current management efforts – identify gaps
Develop management strategy
Develop monitoring program
Assess performance
Manage adaptively

13. program framework Develop monitoring program
monitoring reflects management priorities
monitoring designed to reduce uncertainty in system model
indicators link condition and management efforts
monitoring data is appropriate to decision thresholds for adaptive management

14. Adaptive management Monitoring must
uncertainties
Monitoring must
Document conditions
Status and trends
Document interventions
Track implementation of management strategies
Reduce uncertainty
Validate assumptions about system behavior
model
BMP performance
stressor trajectories
system behavior

15. program framework Articulate program goals
Develop system level model for goal attainment
Assess current management efforts – identify gaps
Develop management strategy
Develop monitoring program
Assess performance
Manage adaptively

16. Establishing performance expectations
response
time
time
response
time
response

17. Establishing performance expectations
response
Identifying uncertainty
time
time
response
time
response

18. program framework Articulate program goals
Develop system level model for goal attainment
Assess current management efforts – identify gaps
Develop management strategy
Develop monitoring program
Assess performance
Manage adaptively

19. program framework articulate program goals
refine system level model for goal attainment
re-assess current management efforts – identify gaps
revise management strategy
adjust monitoring program
assess performance
manage adaptively