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The Basics of Capital Budgeting: Evaluating Cash Flows
Chapter 10 The Basics of Capital Budgeting: Evaluating Cash Flows
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Net Present Value (NPV)
Net Present Value (NPV). Net Present Value is found by subtracting the present value of the after-tax outflows from the present value of the after-tax inflows.
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If NPV > 0, accept the project If NPV < 0, reject the project
Net Present Value (NPV) Net Present Value (NPV). Net Present Value is found by subtracting the present value of the after-tax outflows from the present value of the after-tax inflows. Decision Criteria If NPV > 0, accept the project If NPV < 0, reject the project If NPV = 0, indifferent
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Net Present Value (NPV)
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Net Present Value (NPV)
Using the Bennett Company data from Table 9.1, assume the firm has a 10% cost of capital. Based on the given cash flows and cost of capital (required return), the NPV can be calculated as shown in Figure 9.2
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Net Present Value (NPV)
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Internal Rate of Return (IRR)
The Internal Rate of Return (IRR) is the discount rate that will equate the present value of the outflows with the present value of the inflows. The IRR is the project’s intrinsic rate of return.
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Capital Budgeting (NPV)
Advantages: Cash flows rather than profits are analyzed Recognizes the time value of money Acceptance criterion is consistent with the goal of maximizing value Disadvantage: Detailed, accurate long-term forecasts are required to evaluate a project’s acceptance
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If IRR > k, accept the project If IRR < k, reject the project
Internal Rate of Return (IRR) The Internal Rate of Return (IRR) is the discount rate that will equate the present value of the outflows with the present value of the inflows. The IRR is the project’s intrinsic rate of return. Decision Criteria If IRR > k, accept the project If IRR < k, reject the project If IRR = k, indifferent
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The Internal Rate of Return (IRR)
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Capital Budgeting (IRR)
Advantages: Cash flows rather than profits are analyzed Recognizes the time value of money Acceptance criterion is consistent with the goal of maximizing value Disadvantages: Detailed, accurate long-term forecasts are required to evaluate a project’s acceptance Difficult to solve for IRR without a financial calculator or spreadsheet
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NPV versus IRR When NPV>0, a project is acceptable because the firm will earn a return greater than its required rate of return (k) if it invests in the project. When IRR>k, a project is acceptable because the firm will earn a return greater than its required rate of return (k) if it invests in the project. When NPV>0, IRR>k for a project—that is, if a project is acceptable using NPV, it is also acceptable using IRR
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Net Present Value Profiles
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IRR and Mutually Exclusive Projects
If you choose one, you can’t choose the other Example: You can choose to attend graduate school next year at either Harvard or Stanford, but not both Intuitively you would use the following decision rules: NPV – choose the project with the higher NPV IRR – choose the project with the higher IRR
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Example With Mutually Exclusive Projects
Period Project A Project B -500 -400 1 325 2 200 IRR 19.43% 22.17% NPV 64.05 60.74 The required return for both projects is 10%. Which project should you accept and why?
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NPV profiles
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Conflicts Between NPV and IRR
NPV directly measures the increase in value to the firm Whenever there is a conflict between NPV and another decision rule, you should always use NPV IRR is unreliable in the following situations Non-conventional cash flows Mutually exclusive projects
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To Find the Crossover Rate
Find cash flow differences between the projects. See data at the beginning of the case. Enter these differences in cash flow register, then press IRR. Crossover rate = 7.2% Can subtract S from L or vice versa, but easier to have first CF negative If profiles don’t cross, one project dominates the other.
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Two Reasons NPV Profiles Cross
Size (scale) differences. A smaller project frees up funds at t = 0 for investment. The higher the opportunity cost, the more valuable these funds, so high r favours small projects. Timing differences. The project with faster payback provides more CF in early years for reinvestment. If r is high, early CF is especially good, NPVS > NPVL.
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Reinvestment Rate Assumptions
NPV assumes reinvesting at r (opportunity cost of capital, WACC). IRR assumes reinvesting at IRR. Reinvesting at opportunity cost, r, is more realistic, so NPV method is best. NPV should be used to choose between mutually exclusive projects if a conflict exists.
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Multiple IRRS: A Problem With IRR
Normal vs. nonnormal cash flows Typical cash flow patterns NPV profile for Project M Copyright © 2014 by Nelson Education Ltd.
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Normal vs. Nonnormal Cash Flows
Normal Cash Flow Project: Cost (negative CF) followed by a series of positive cash inflows One change of signs Nonnormal Cash Flow Project: Two or more changes of signs Most common: Cost (negative CF), then string of positive CFs, then cost to close project For example, nuclear power plant or strip mine
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Conclusions on Capital Budgeting Methods
Quantitative methods provide valuable information, but they should not be used as the sole criteria for accept/reject decisions in capital budgeting process. NPV is the single most important method showing the absolute profitability. IRR is ranked second of importance. Payback is still used significantly among small businesses.
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Conclusions on Capital Budgeting Methods (cont’d)
Quantitative methods should not be used as a substitute for sound managerial judgment. In a perfectly competitive economy, projects with high NPV result from some market imperfections only. Managers should strive to develop nonreplicable sources of competitive advantage.
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