1. Presidential Election What Happened and Why
Daryl Montgomery
November 30, 2016
Copyright 2016, All Rights Reserved

2. 2016 Presidential Candidates
Gary Johnson, Jill Stein, Donald Trump, Hillary Clinton

3. The Results √ Electoral Vote: Trump 306, Clinton 232
√ Popular Vote (millions): Trump 62.4, Clinton 64.6
√ Last polls said Hillary (4-way race) was ahead: NBC/SM, Monmouth CBS, Fox, ABC/WaPo, Economist/YouGov, Gravis Bloomberg, Reuters/Ipsos Rasmussen* (almost exact) IBD
Media, pundits, political establishment and Clinton campaign shocked by her loss (corrupt & clueless).
Reps had pervasive landslide: House + Senate, Dems have Gov and 2 legislatures in only 4 states.

4. Electoral Maps
Red Republican, Blue Democrat

5. Electoral Map
Red Republican, Blue Democrat

6. States Trump Won That Obama Won
Red Circle 2008, Solid Red 2012

7. Vote Shift Trump, Hillary >= 5% Over 2012
Trump: Pink 5%-9%, Red >=10%, Hillary Light Blue 5%-9%, Dark Blue >= 10%

8. County Map of 2016 Election
Red Republican, Blue Democratic

9. Counties Obama Won That Trump Won
Dark Orange Obama Twice, Light Orange Obama Once

10. What Caused Electon Results
√ Clinton had turnout issues with heavy DEM groups <30’s and AAs. Was lower than 2012 and % of vote less. Trump groups, higher turnout.
√ Clinton got lower % women’s vote than Obama, lower % among Hispanics and Blacks.
Working class base abandoned Dems in Midwest (fed up with globalization). Unions lost control.
The Dems war on coal (WV, KY, PA, OH).
Mainstream media lost control of political message.
Wikileaks DNC and Podesta s. FBI investigations.

11. The Global Perspective
Trump’s election is part of a global trend: anti-globalist, anti-multiculturalism, nationalist.
This is neither Right, nor Left, but Popularist.
Showed up 1st in EU Parliamentary elections 2014.
Major victory with BREXIT in June.
Italian Referendum next test on Dec 4th.
French, Dutch, and German elections in Wilders likely winner in Holland, Le Pen in France (would mean end of EU). Merkel defeat, blow to EU

12. The End