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Walter Nicholson Christopher Snyder

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1 Walter Nicholson Christopher Snyder
Amherst College Christopher Snyder Dartmouth College PowerPoint Slide Presentation | Philip Heap, James Madison University ©2015 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be scanned, copied or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part.

2 1 Economic Models CHAPTER
©2015 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be scanned, copied or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part.

3 What is Economics? “Economics is the study of the allocation of scarce resources among alternative uses.” “Economics is the study of mankind in the ordinary business of life.” Alfred Marshall “Economics never tells a man how he should act; it merely shows how a man must act if he wants to attain definite ends.” Ludwig von Mises ©2015 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be scanned, copied or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part.

4 What is Microeconomics?
Microeconomics is the study of the economic choices individuals and firms make and how these choices create markets. Examples of economic choices. Repair a bicycle or buy a new one Study for one more hour or go to the movies Invest in stocks or in bonds or both Go for a Master’s program or start working after graduating Add another dish to the restaurant’s menu Cheap and low quality versus expensive and high quality What do these choices have in common? TRADEOFFS ©2015 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be scanned, copied or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part.

5 Economic Models A model is a simple theoretical description that captures the essentials of how the economy works. Simple since it does not capture every detail. But lets you see the overall picture and answer the relevant question. ©2015 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be scanned, copied or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part.

6 The PPF Suppose an economy produces food and clothing
We can show how much food and clothing can be made on a production possibilities frontier diagram. Amount of food per week PPF Amount of clothing per week ©2015 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be scanned, copied or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part.

7 The PPF A PPF shows the possible combination of two goods an economy can produce with a fixed amount of resources. Amount of food per week We can produce 10 food and 3 clothing 10 Or 4 food and 12 clothing 4 Amount of clothing per week 3 12 ©2015 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be scanned, copied or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part.

8 The PPF and Five Basic Principles
We want to use this model to illustrate five basic principles. Scarce resources Scarcity involves opportunity costs Increasing opportunity costs Incentives matter Inefficiency has real costs ©2015 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be scanned, copied or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part.

9 The PPF and Five Basic Principles
Principle 1: Scarce Resources Amount of food per week Points outside the frontier are unattainable since we don’t have enough resources to produce them. We can make 4 food and 12 clothing. 10 But not 4 food and 14 clothing. 4 Amount of clothing per week 3 12 14 ©2015 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be scanned, copied or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part.

10 The PPF and Five Basic Principles
Principle 1: How does the PPF illustrate scarcity? Amount of food per week But not 12 food and 3 clothing. We can make 10 food and 3 clothing. 10 Amount of clothing per week 3 12 ©2015 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be scanned, copied or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part.

11 The PPF and Five Basic Principles
Principle 2: Scarcity involves opportunity cost. Opportunity cost is the cost of producing a good measured by the alternative uses that are foregone producing it. If I am on the PPF the opportunity cost of more clothing is less food. ©2015 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be scanned, copied or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part.

12 The PPF and Five Basic Principles
Principle 2: Scarcity involves opportunity costs Amount of food per week What is the opportunity cost of increasing clothing production from 3 to 4 units? 10 9.5 4 Amount of clothing per week 3 4 12 ©2015 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be scanned, copied or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part.

13 The PPF and Five Basic Principles
Principle 3: Opportunity costs are increasing. As you produce more and more of one good, its opportunity cost in terms of the other good foregone increases. To produce more and more clothing you would have to give up increasing amounts of food. The law of diminishing marginal returns. ©2015 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be scanned, copied or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part.

14 The PPF and Five Basic Principles
Principle 3: Opportunity costs are increasing. Amount of food per week Here the opportunity cost of one more unit of clothing was ½ food 10 9.5 Now to produce one more unit of clothing you give up 2 units of food 4 2 Amount of clothing per week 3 4 12 13 ©2015 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be scanned, copied or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part.

15 The PPF and Five Basic Principles
Principle 4: Incentives Matter People will make decisions based on opportunity costs. When the opportunity cost of some activity increases, people are more likely to engage in that activity. Sometimes it is difficult to see the true opportunity costs of the activity. ©2015 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be scanned, copied or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part.

16 The PPF and Five Basic Principles
Principle 5: Inefficiencies involve real costs Why are points inside the frontier inefficient? Amount of food per week Because we could produce more clothing without giving up any food. 10 Or more food without giving up clothing Or make more of both goods 4 Amount of clothing per week 3 12 ©2015 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be scanned, copied or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part.

17 Opportunity Costs of College Education
A typical US student pays $20000 in tuition fees Is the cost of 4 years of college equal to $80000? Room and board are likely to be paid for anyway Foregone wages and salaries $20000 today are worth more compared to $20000 four years later Room and board are $7000 annually, which brings “pure” tuition down to $13000 A regular job would get you $20000 a year, but as a student you could make $2000, so $18000 is what you “lose” by not working because of studying Tuition + Foregone Job = $ $18000 = $31000 Adjusting for time (see Chapter 16), the total cost of your education is less than 4x$31000 and is estimated to be about $114000

18 Basic Supply-Demand Model
A Supply-Demand Model is a model that describes how a good’s price is determined by the behavior of the people who buy the good and of the firms that sell the good. The model relates buyers’ preferences (demand) to production costs (supply). ©2015 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be scanned, copied or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part.

19 Adam Smith and the Invisible Hand
What did Smith mean by the “invisible hand”? The invisible hand directed resources to where they would be most valuable. Prices in the market tell buyers and sellers the relative value of goods: prices act as signals. This enables them to make efficient choices. ©2015 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be scanned, copied or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part.

20 Adam Smith’s Model Prices of goods depend on the relative value of labor used to produce the goods. If it takes twice as long to make clothing as to grow food, one unit of clothing should trade for _______ units of food. two Labor is the only determinant of the cost of producing a good and hence its price ©2015 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be scanned, copied or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part.

21 Adam Smith’s Model Price 2 Quantity per week
©2015 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be scanned, copied or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part.

22 David Ricardo’s Model Do you see a problem with Adam Smith’s model of price given our discussion of the PPF? Diminishing returns – the cost of producing one more unit of a good rises as more of that good is produced. Consistent with the idea of increasing opportunity costs. As we produce more clothing, the price of clothing in terms of food should rise. ©2015 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be scanned, copied or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part.

23 David Ricardo’s Model Price Quantity per week
©2015 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be scanned, copied or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part.

24 The “Dismal Science” of Ricardo
Ricardo’s model was more realistic compared to Smith’s since it took account of scarcity of the production resources so prices would go up as more of anything is produced Ricardo’s model, though, predicted that prices could be anything, and as population grew, infinite prices were a major fear, hence ‘dismal science’, see also Malthus. However, in the 19th century prices did not increase significantly. In fact, many of them fell, consumption increased, and quality rose. Subsistence no longer could explain the observed level of consumption.

25 Marshall’s Model of Supply and Demand
What are the problems with Smith’s and Ricardo’s models? Smith’s model ignores rising opportunity costs. Ricardo’s model is inconsistent with the falling prices that occurred during the 19th century. Neither model truly considered the demand side of the market. ©2015 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be scanned, copied or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part.

26 Marshall’s Model of Supply and Demand
What matters is the value of the last or marginal unit produced or consumed. On the demand side, the amount that people are willing to pay falls as they consume more. Or, as the price falls, people are willing to buy more Marshall’s model shows how prices are simultaneously determined by demand and supply. ©2015 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be scanned, copied or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part.

27 Law of Demand Demand: As price falls, consumers are willing to buy more: this reflects decreasing marginal value. Price Demand Quantity ©2015 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be scanned, copied or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part.

28 Law of Supply Supply: As price rises, firms are able to produce more: this reflects increasing marginal costs. Price Supply Demand Quantity ©2015 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be scanned, copied or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part.

29 Equilibrium Market Equilibrium: The equilibrium price is the price at which the quantity demanded is equal to the quantity supplied. Price Supply P* Demand Quantity QD=QS=Q* ©2015 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be scanned, copied or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part.

30 Desirability of Market Equilibrium
Market equilibrium is desirable since Consumers can buy exactly as many units as they want at the market price: no excess demand Producers can sell exactly as many units as they want at the market price: no excess supply Both consumers and producers satisfy their needs at the market price Equilibrium is desirable in the economic sense, but it has nothing to do with fairness ©2015 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be scanned, copied or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part.

31 Stability of Market Equilibrium
What does it mean to be at equilibrium? What would happen if the price was set above or below the equilibrium price? What would cause the equilibrium price to rise or fall? ©2015 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be scanned, copied or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part.

32 Nonequilibrium Outcomes
If something causes the price to be set above P*, demanders would wish to buy less than Q* while suppliers would produce more than Q* Excess supply Prices pushed down If something causes the price to be set below P*, demanders would wish to buy more than Q* while suppliers would produce less than Q* Excess demand Prices pushed up As a result, market equilibrium is a stable outcome.

33 A Change in Demand What happens if demand increases?
Price Supply P** Demand shifts to the right. Price and quantity increase. P* D D’ Quantity per period Q* Q** ©2015 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be scanned, copied or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part.

34 A Change in Supply What happens if supply decreases?
Price S P** Supply shifts to the left. Price increases and quantity decreases. P* D Quantity per period Q** Q* ©2015 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be scanned, copied or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part.

35 Changes in Market Equilibrium
If demand increases (shifts right) P* will __ and Q* will ___. rise; rise If demand decreases (shifts left), P* will __ and Q* will ___. fall; fall If supply increases (shifts right) P* will __ and Q* will ___. fall; rise If supply decreases (shifts left) P* will __ and Q* will ___. rise; fall ©2015 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be scanned, copied or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part.

36 Changes in Market Equilibrium
What happens to P* and Q* when both demand and supply change? Suppose demand and supply increase: We know that Q* rises, but P* may rise or fall. Suppose demand increases but supply decreases: We know P* rises, but Q* may rise or fall. ©2015 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be scanned, copied or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part.

37 Bono against US Agricultural Subsidies
The Spring 2002 trip to Africa by the Irish rock star Bono and U.S. Treasury Secretary Paul O’Neill sparked much interesting dialogue about economics Bono claimed that recently enacted agricultural subsidies in the U.S. were harming struggling farmers in Africa The Economist documents the event

38 U.S. Subsidies Reduce African Exports
African exports without US subsidies African exports with US subsidies P S P* With subsidies, African exports drop, farmers’ incomes decline However, subsidies increase welfare of African consumers P** Pa D QD Q’D Q’S QS Q

39 How Economists Verify Models
Two methods: Testing Assumptions: Verifying economic models by examining validity of assumptions upon which models are based Is it reasonable to assume that people are rational, that firms maximize profits etc. Testing Predictions: Verifying economic models by asking whether models can accurately predict real-world events If the model predicts events well, then the theory is useful even if the assumption may not appear to be valid. ©2015 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be scanned, copied or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part.

40 Positive-Normative Distinction
What’s the difference between the following two statements? An increase in the minimum wage leads to more unemployment. We should increase the minimum wage to help low income workers. The first is a positive statement: it looks at “what is”. The second is a normative statement: it looks at “what should be”. Is Economics a positive or normative science? ©2015 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be scanned, copied or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part.

41 Summary Since resources are scarce, we must make choices about how we use them. We can use the PPF model to illustrate important concepts such as opportunity cost and efficiency. The supply and demand model shows how prices are determined, and how changes in demand and/or supply influence the price. Judge the validity of economic models by how well they explain actual economic events. ©2015 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be scanned, copied or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part.


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