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CHAPTER TWENTY-ONE BOND ANALYSIS
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CAPITALIZATION OF INCOME METHOD
PROMISED YIELD-TO-MATURITY In equation form where P=the current market price of bond n=the number of years to maturity Ct=the annual coupon payment y=the prevailing yield to maturity
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CAPITALIZATION OF INCOME METHOD
INTRINSIC VALUE In equation form
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CAPITALIZATION OF INCOME METHOD
SOLVING FOR V, Given the current market price (P), the investment decision is if V is the intrinsic value and V>P buy the bond V<P don’t buy
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CAPITALIZATION OF INCOME METHOD
ALTERNATIVELY SOLVING FOR y* y*>y bond overprice y*<y bond underpriced
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BOND ATTRIBUTES SIX ATTRIBUTES that affect a bond’s value
LENGTH OF TIME TO MATURITY COUPON RATE CALL PROVISIONS TAX STATUS MARKETABILITY LIKELIHOOD OF DEFAULT
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LENGTH OF TIME TO MATURITY
COUPON RATE AND LENGTH TO MATURITY these attributes determine size and timing of cash flow yield-to-maturity
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TAX STRUCTURE TAX STRUCTURE Taxation affects bond prices and yields
low-coupon bonds selling at a discount provide return in coupon payments gains from price appreciations taxes on appreciations may be deferred until bond sale or maturity discount bonds have a tax advantage
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TAX STRUCTURE TAX STRUCTURE Taxation affects bond prices and yields
because of tax effect, discount bonds should have a slightly lower before-tax yield low-coupon bonds will have a slightly higher intrinsic value
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MARKETABILITY MARKETABILITY
refers to the ability of the investor to resell
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MARKETABILITY MARKETABILITY
bid-ask spread is one indicator of marketability the higher the spread, the less marketable the lower the spread, the more marketable bonds that are actively traded should have a lower YTM and a higher V
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MARKETABILITY MARKETABILITY
bonds that are actively traded should have a lower YTM and a higher V
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LIKELIHOOD OF DEFAULT LIKELILHOOD OF DEFAULT
Bond ratings provided by professional services.
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LIKELIHOOD OF DEFAULT LIKELILHOOD OF DEFAULT Two most famous include
Moody’s Investors Services, Inc. Standard & Poor’s Corporate ratings
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LIKELIHOOD OF DEFAULT LIKELIHOOD OF DEFAULT Categories
investment grade usually the bonds in the top four ratings speculative often called junk bonds
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LIKELIHOOD OF DEFAULT LIKELIHOOD OF DEFAULT
Bond ratings provided by professional services. better ratings are generally associated with larger financial leverage larger firm size larger and steadier profits large cash flows lack of subordination to other debt series
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