1. Here Be Dragons...
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Salmon & Romenska

2. Beyond Distance Research Alliance University of Leicester, UK
Collaborative Strategic Foresight
CALF Project in collaboration with ELKS
29 June 2011
Dr. Sandra Romenska
Beyond Distance Research Alliance
University of Leicester, UK
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3. Expected Outcomes Outline key ideas from strategy theory,
cognitive theories for foresight,
employability.
Adapt and reuse the ideas and principles of a model for student engagement in collaborative workshops for strategic foresight
Have f*n.
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Romenska

4. The Creating Academic Learning Futures Project (CALF)
AIM
To involve students in creating and exploring a variety of plausible ‘alternative futures’ for learning and teaching in higher education.
To inform teachers, managers and policy-makers of the “student voice” for the future of learning.

5. What is Foresight?
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6. Why think about the Future?
Selective advantage
The Prospective Brain Hypothesis (Schacter et al. 2007)
Episodic memory
Future planning-
Chronesthesia
Goal-directed actions

7. Learning Futures Approach
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8. Learning Futures Model
“The brain combines incoming information with stored information to build “mental representations,” or internal models, of the external world.
The mental representation of a past event is a memory.
the mental representation of a present event is a perception.
the mental representation of a future event is a simulation.”
Gilbert et al. (2007) Prospection: Experiencing the Future, Science V. 317, N. 1351
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9. What is a strategy?
Strategy = method, plan, guidance, pattern choices and actions for achieving goals in a particular situation
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10. Why use the Learning Futures Model Ideas?

11. THEN NOW Year 1530 books writing; author; “The multitude of ….
is a great evil.
There is no limit to this fever for …..
writing;
every one must be an ….
author;
some out of vanity, to acquire celebrity and raise up a name, others for the sake of mere gain.”
Martin Luther
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12. Why use the Learning Futures Model Ideas?
Emphasis on planning from the future.
Focus on the long-term preferred future.
Explicit discussion of pedagogic vision, values and institutional mission.
Examination of a range of possible futures in creative dialogues fostered by the Learning Futures model that can generate new ideas.
A platform for examining resources that may become available in the future for teaching and learning.
The model ensures stakeholder participation and empowerment.

14. What If…. Human History into 1 Year
15.5 billion year life-span
Jan
Feb
Mar
Apr
May
June
July
Aug
Sept
Oct
Nov
Dec
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15. What If…. Human History into 1 Year
15.5 billion year life-span
Jan
Feb
Mar
Apr
May
June
July
Aug
Sept
Oct
Nov
Dec
Dinosaurs appear around Christmas time….
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16. What If…. Human History into 1 Year
Humans appear at 22:30 New Year’s Eve
Jan
Feb
Mar
Apr
May
June
July
Aug
Sept
Oct
Nov
Dec
All of human history on record happens during the last TEN SECONDS of the year.

17. Change is Happening Faster
—37, 000 years ago Cro-magnon Man user of language;
—6,000 Sumerian clay tablets;
—3,000 years ago, the Greek alphabet arrived;
—500 years ago, the printing press;
—160 years ago, the telegraph;
—119 years ago, the telephone;
—50 years ago, + / - television;
—cable television,
— ENIAC, first general-purpose electronic computer
—the Internet;
—cellular telephones
…………………… list goes on
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18. Change is Happening Faster…
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19. Does this look familiar?
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20. And now?
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21. Implications for students employability
The speed of innovation entails dealing with:
Rapid change;
New opportunities;
Opaque others;
Pronounced differences;
Pervasive technologies;
Abundant information;
Instant communication;
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22. Implications for students employability
“To succeed in a chaotic environment, graduates will need to be intellectually resilient, cross-culturally and scientifically literate, technologically adept, ethically anchored, and fully prepared for a future of continuous and cross-disciplinary learning” (The National Leadership Council for Liberal Education and America's Promise, 2007, P.15)
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23. Employability skills CALF workshops can develop
Knowledge and skills necessary for developing successful strategies and future scenarios, target-setting and planning for future employment.
Improved skills for independent and group problem-solving and decision-making.
Improved self-presentation and communication skills.
Improved skills for multi-tasking, time-management and prioritising.
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24. Employability skills CALF workshops can develop
Improved skills for identifying and validating sources of information.
Improved networking and team-working skills.
Improved skills for communicating ideas effectively, using a variety of media in diverse settings, making effective presentations, including impromptu presentations.
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25. How can you adapt the CALF model

26. Structure Inspire Challenge Create and collaborate Present Discuss
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27. TASK 1 – Choose a theme
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28. Ask questions : “What will happen next”?
TASK 2 – think OF A story
Ask questions : “What will happen next”?
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29. TASK 3: Add context, INSIGHT AND HINDSIGHt
STEEPLE:
Social
Technological
Economic
Environment (natural)
Political
Legal
Ethical
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30. Task 4 – involvement: Actors, stakeholders and agency
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31. TASK 5 – action points
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32. TASK 6 – present
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33. Can you tell a Red Herring from a Cloud?
CALF Activity 1
Can you tell a Red Herring from a Cloud?
Foreshadowing is a technique used by authors to provide clues for the reader to be able to predict what might occur later in the story.
Red Herrings
A hint that is designed to mislead the ‘audience’ is referred to as a red herring.
An example of foreshadowing is the self-fulfilling prophecy - that directly or indirectly causes itself to become true

34. Red herrings for learning
“Content is King” “Everything you need for e-learning in one box…” “Build it and they will come…” .
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35. Indistinctly prophetic….
“E-learning makes look like a rounding error”
“Everyone knows how to learn with technology”
“Classrooms are for kids”
“Online no one knows you’re a dog”
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36. Warm up 1. What if ... you had no training rooms?
2. What if ... everyone went to university before working?
3. What if… the days allocated by organisations for employees training are reduced by two-thirds?
4. What if… the budget for training in your organisation is reduced by two-thirds?
5. What if ...all the resources you needed to train at DWP was were openly published on the web?
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37. Warm up: What if?
6. What if ...all formal exams and tests were banned?
7. What if… everyone working for DWP owned an iphone?
8. What if...there was no paper in the world
9. What if the internet/web crashed/melted down...
10. What if… all the training in your organisation is
delivered using internal shared resources?
11. What if… all the training in your organisation was outsourced?
12. What if… the volume of learning in your organisation needs to increase threefold?
13. What if … the content of what employees need to know for their job changes every 2 months?
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38. The Tools….
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39. PUBLISHING TOOLS….

40. There is no right or wrong way…

41. WIKIS

43. WHAT ARE GOOGLE DOCS? Software like Microsoft Office, with some
unique features.

44. Basic Functions Document = Word Presentation = Power Point
             
            
Presentation = Power Point
Spreadsheet = Excel
                Forms populate a spreadsheet
Google Docs applications are more basic.
Toolbars and button functions are similar and familiar 44

45. Must Have Three Things Internet access Email account
Google account (attached to the address you chose)

46. "Create a future" Google-opoly

47. "Create a future" Google-opoly
A competitive game, set up in Google Maps
The participants are divided into groups and given locations on a Google Map prepared in advance.
At each location on the map the participants have to solve a challenge which would give them an answer to one of the questions above, in this way gradually constructing a scenario narrative.
The workshops conclude with presentations by each group of participants of their scenarios and a discussion.
Participants discuss the application of digital and web technologies and possible ways in which they could change the future of learning and are encouraged to think about the likelihood of future scenarios.
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48. Your turn

49. Let’s create a Googleopoly….
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50. Present and discuss
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51. Thanks for taking part! Never doubt the power of a small
group of people to change the world.
Nothing else ever has.
Margaret Mead
Thanks for taking part!
Every society honors its live conformists and its dead troublemakers." Mignon McLaughlin
No budgets or humans were harmed in the making of this presentation
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