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Board of Trustees Review
Contra Costa Community College District Board of Trustees Review Review of Student Achievement Gap Data November 2016 Office of Research and Planning Contra Costa Community College District
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Measuring an achievement gap
We will be examining two complimentary approaches to identifying and quantifying student achievement gaps. The Dashboard on the next slide summarizes whether a gap exists for each student population relative to the overall District average for each of the five primary Scorecard metrics. The data charts in the subsequent slides highlight the five year trends for each student population and then calculates the gap between the top and bottom performing student population over the last five years. The two approaches are complimentary in that the Dashboard provides a quick identification of the presence of a gap for a particular population while the charts provide information on the broad trend and scale of the gap.
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Dashboard summary table
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What does equity success look like?
Shrinking the equity or achievement gap sounds straight forward, but it can manifest itself in very different ways
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Success by Cohort Scenario #1: Upward spread
100% Success by Cohort 95% Scenario #1: Upward spread Average Performance 90% 85% +% 80% 75% Performance Gap 70% +% 65% 60% 55% Upward spread interventions help all groups but less so for bottom. 50% Base Year Outcome Year
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Success by Cohort Scenario #2: Rising Tide
100% Success by Cohort 95% Scenario #2: Rising Tide Average Performance 90% 85% +% 80% 75% Performance Gap 70% Unchanged 65% 60% 55% Rising Tide interventions help all groups equally. 50% Base Year Outcome Year
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Success by Cohort Scenario #3: Zero-Sum
100% Success by Cohort 95% Scenario #3: Zero-Sum 90% 85% Average Performance 80% Unchanged 75% Performance Gap 70% -% 65% 60% 55% Zero-Sum interventions help the bottom but harm the top 50% Base Year Outcome Year
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Success by Cohort Scenario #4a: Bottom-up
100% Success by Cohort 95% Scenario #4a: Bottom-up Average Performance 90% 85% +% 80% Performance Gap 75% -% 70% 65% 60% 55% An illustration (not actual data) Bottom-up interventions help the bottom and hold the top harmless 50% Base Year Outcome Year
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Success by Cohort Scenario #4b: Win-Win Average Performance
100% Success by Cohort 95% Average Performance Scenario #4b: Win-Win 90% +% 85% 80% Performance Gap 75% -% 70% 65% 60% 55% An illustration (not actual data) Win-Win interventions help everyone but raise the bottom more than the top 50% Base Year Outcome Year
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Improving equity ≠ closing the achievement gap
What’s the best way to frame the challenge? Improving equity ≠ closing the achievement gap Improving equity = Bringing up the bottom (at a pace faster than the top)
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Average rate (dashed line)
Overall completion rate by student ethnicity Percent of completion-oriented students that earn a credential or transfer within 6 years Performance Gap 29% 35% 26% 32% 30% Net chng in gap: +1% Source: 2016 Scorecard COMPLETION RATE (STUDENT PROGRESS AND ATTAINMENT RATE) Definition: The percentage of first-time students with minimum of 6 units earned who attempted any Math or English in the first three years and achieved any of the following outcomes within six years of entry: • Earned AA/AS or credit Certificate (Chancellor’s Office approved) • Transfer to four-year institution (students shown to have enrolled at any four-year institution of higher education after enrolling at a CCC) • Achieved “Transfer Prepared” (student successfully completed 60 UC/CSU transferable units with a GPA >= 2.0) Outcome (Achieve the following outcome): • A student must successfully transfer to the following segments during an academic year. o University of California o California State University o In-State Private (ISP), Non-Profit and For-Profit o Out-of-State (OOS), Public, Non-Profit and For-Profit Average rate (dashed line) -4%
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Equity, preparedness & completion
% of 4CD Students Unprepared 4CD student Completion Rate Asian 62% 66% White 66% 59% Filipino 71% 56% Hispanic 80% 45% Afr-American 87% 37% The more students that arrive unprepared The lower their completion rate
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4CD Completion Rates by Student Ethnicity
100% 4CD Completion Rates by Student Ethnicity 90% 83% Completion Rates for Prepared Students 80% 77% 73% 71% 70% Asians 67% 66% 60% White 59% 57% Filipinos 56% 50% 49% Completion Rates for Unprepared Students Hispanics 45% 47% 40% Afr Americans 37% 37% 30% 30% 20% Preparedness level explains more of the variation in completion than student ethnicity 10% 0% Overall Completion Prepared Students Unprepared Students
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A brief aside on this terminology
The Scorecard uses the terms “prepared” and “unprepared” What are the implications of this labeling convention? College readiness rest entirely on the student, and therefore we must “prepare” them This college readiness is determined by an assessment of two disciplines: math and English And is accurately and efficiently assessed by a standardized test
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Average rate (dashed line)
Completion rates for “Prepared” students Percent of completion-oriented students that earn a credential or transfer within 6 years Performance Gap 15% 23% 9% 21% 34% Net chng in gap: Source: 2016 Scorecard COMPLETION RATE (STUDENT PROGRESS AND ATTAINMENT RATE) Definition: The percentage of first-time students with minimum of 6 units earned who attempted any Math or English in the first three years and achieved any of the following outcomes within six years of entry: • Earned AA/AS or credit Certificate (Chancellor’s Office approved) • Transfer to four-year institution (students shown to have enrolled at any four-year institution of higher education after enrolling at a CCC) • Achieved “Transfer Prepared” (student successfully completed 60 UC/CSU transferable units with a GPA >= 2.0) Outcome (Achieve the following outcome): • A student must successfully transfer to the following segments during an academic year. o University of California o California State University o In-State Private (ISP), Non-Profit and For-Profit o Out-of-State (OOS), Public, Non-Profit and For-Profit 19% Average rate (dashed line) -2%
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Average rate (dashed line)
Completion rates for “Unprepared” students Percent of completion-oriented students that earn a credential or transfer within 6 years Performance Gap 27% 31% 25% 29% 22% Net chng in gap: -5% Source: 2016 Scorecard COMPLETION RATE (STUDENT PROGRESS AND ATTAINMENT RATE) Definition: The percentage of first-time students with minimum of 6 units earned who attempted any Math or English in the first three years and achieved any of the following outcomes within six years of entry: • Earned AA/AS or credit Certificate (Chancellor’s Office approved) • Transfer to four-year institution (students shown to have enrolled at any four-year institution of higher education after enrolling at a CCC) • Achieved “Transfer Prepared” (student successfully completed 60 UC/CSU transferable units with a GPA >= 2.0) Outcome (Achieve the following outcome): • A student must successfully transfer to the following segments during an academic year. o University of California o California State University o In-State Private (ISP), Non-Profit and For-Profit o Out-of-State (OOS), Public, Non-Profit and For-Profit Average rate (dashed line) -2%
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4CD Starting Cohort 74% Prepared Students Unprepared Students 26%
# in starting cohort # earning 30 units # completing 4CD Starting Cohort 74% 26% Source: 2016 Scorecard, 2009/10 to 2014/15 Cohort. Overall Completion by race/ethnicity. Charts for Board PP, 4CD1. 1,421 1,094 1,058 4,021 2,733 1,773 Prepared Students Unprepared Students
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Milestone achievement by preparedness level
African-American Asian Filipino Hispanic White Other Emerging inequity Significant inequity Modest inequity Prepared Students Unprepared Students
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Basic Skills course work College level course work
The unprepared are not homogeneous Rudimentary completion pathway Unprepared students Prepared students Basic Skills course work College level course work Basic Skills Sequence 4 Levels Below 3 Levels Below 2 Levels Below 1 Level Below Transfer Level
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Likelihood of completing the basic skills math sequence given the student’s initial placement
Percentage of transfer-oriented students completing college–level math within three years of initial placement and based on their level of placement 4 Levels Below 3 Levels Below 2 Levels Below 1 Level Below 70% 35% 17% 8% * Data source: The Basic Skills Cohort Tracker. Data are averages for a Fall 2011 cohort pulled from a sample of California Community Colleges that included all colleges for which the Cohort Tracker had sufficient data over the examined period.
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What percent place 3 or 4 levels below?
A big part of our equity challenge is lurking in the placement of students 4 Levels Below 3 Levels Below 2 Levels Below 1 Level Below 70% What percent place 3 or 4 levels below? 35% Asian & White Af American & Hispanic 17% 25% 55% 8% * This data reflect the distribution for the developmental math sequence only.
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Average rate (dashed line)
Basic Skills English Improvement Rate Percent of students completing the Developmental English sequence Performance Gap 26% 35% 31% 33% 31% Net chng in gap: Source: 2016 Scorecard REMEDIAL PROGRESS (MATH, ENGLISH, ESL) Definition: For five cohort years, the percentage of credit students who attempted a course designated at “levels below transfer” in: • Math and successfully completed a college-level course in Math within six years. • English and successfully completed a college-level course in English within six years. • ESL and successfully completed the ESL sequence or a college-level English course within six years. The cohort is defined as the year the student attempts a course at “levels below transfer” in Math, English and/or ESL at that college. Outcomes in Basic Skills Education are reported for Math, English and/or ESL +5% Average rate (dashed line) -1%
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Average rate (dashed line)
Basic Skills Math Improvement Rate Percent of students completing the Developmental Math sequence Performance Gap 28% 29% 28% 25% 20% Net chng in gap: -8% Source: 2016 Scorecard REMEDIAL PROGRESS (MATH, ENGLISH, ESL) Definition: For five cohort years, the percentage of credit students who attempted a course designated at “levels below transfer” in: • Math and successfully completed a college-level course in Math within six years. • English and successfully completed a college-level course in English within six years. • ESL and successfully completed the ESL sequence or a college-level English course within six years. The cohort is defined as the year the student attempts a course at “levels below transfer” in Math, English and/or ESL at that college. Outcomes in Basic Skills Education are reported for Math, English and/or ESL Average rate (dashed line) +4%
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Average rate (dashed line)
ESL Improvement Rate Percent of students completing the ESL sequence Performance Gap Net chng in gap: 14% 22% 18% 12% 13% -1% Source: 2016 Scorecard REMEDIAL PROGRESS (MATH, ENGLISH, ESL) Definition: For five cohort years, the percentage of credit students who attempted a course designated at “levels below transfer” in: • Math and successfully completed a college-level course in Math within six years. • English and successfully completed a college-level course in English within six years. • ESL and successfully completed the ESL sequence or a college-level English course within six years. The cohort is defined as the year the student attempts a course at “levels below transfer” in Math, English and/or ESL at that college. Outcomes in Basic Skills Education are reported for Math, English and/or ESL Average rate (dashed line) -2%
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Average rate (dashed line)
CTE Completion Rate Percent of students pursuing a CTE credential that earn a CTE credential or transfer within 6 years Performance Gap 21% 15% 20% 15% 12% Net chng in gap: Source: 2016 Scorecard CAREER TECHNICAL EDUCATION (CTE) RATE Definition: For five cohort years, the percentage of students who completed a CTE course for the first-time and completed more than 8 units in the subsequent three years in a single discipline (2-digit vocational TOP code where at least one of the courses is occupational SAM B or C) and who achieved any of the following outcomes within six years of entry: • Earned any AA/AS or credit Certificate (Chancellor’s Office approved) • Transfer to four-year institution (students shown to have enrolled at any four-year institution of higher education after enrolling at a CCC) • Achieved “Transfer Prepared” (student successfully completed 60 UC/CSU transferable units with a GPA >= 2.0) -9% Average rate (dashed line) +1%
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List of colleges from lowest to highest completion rate gap
High-Low range limited to race groups with a minimum of 10 in the denominator.
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Summary of five-year trend graphs
Average Gap +1% Overall completion -4% +19% Prepared completion -2% Unprepared completion -2% -5% +1% Milestone completion 0% +5% Basic skills English improvement -1% +4% Basic skills math improvement -8% ESL improvement -2% -1% +1% -9% CTE completion
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Q&A Questions?
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Data tables and definitions related to the dashboard symbols
Data Appendix Data tables and definitions related to the dashboard symbols
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Dashboard Data 'Source: CCCCO, 2016 Scorecard. DOD SPAR dataset.
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Dashboard Data 'Source: CCCCO, 2016 Scorecard. DOD SPAR dataset.
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Dashboard Data 'Source: CCCCO, 2016 Scorecard. DOD SPAR dataset.
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Dashboard Data Source: CCCCO, 2016 Scorecard. DOD SPAR dataset.
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Dashboard Data
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Dashboard Data
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Dashboard Data
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Dashboard Data
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